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A parametric theory of statistical inference is developed for the moderate deviation probability zone. The new approach to the proofs is based on the Taylor series expansion of the logarithm of the likelihood ratio based on the Hellinger…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Mikhail Ermakov

The projected normal distribution, also known as the angular Gaussian distribution, is obtained by dividing a multivariate normal random variable $\mathbf{x}$ by its norm $\sqrt{\mathbf{x}^T \mathbf{x}}$. The resulting random variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-24 Daniel Herrera-Esposito , Johannes Burge

The odds ratio (OR) is a measure of effect size commonly used in observational research. OR reflects statistical association between a binary outcome, such as the presence of a health condition, and a binary predictor, such as an exposure…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-09 Olga A Vsevolozhskaya , Dmitri V Zaykin

In this paper, we propose a new upper bound on the error probability performance of maximum-likelihood (ML) detection. The proposed approach provides a much tighter upper bound when compared to the traditionally used union bound, especially…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-08-01 Tian Han , Rajitha Senanayake , Peter Smith , Jamie Evans

Under the formalism of annealed averaging of the partition function, two types of random multifractal measures with their probability of multipliers satisfying power distribution and triangular distribution are investigated mathematically.…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2007-05-23 Wei-Xing Zhou , Hai-Feng Liu , Zun-Hong Yu

Following Baraud, Birg\'e and Sart (2017), we pursue our attempt to design a robust universal estimator of the joint ditribution of $n$ independent (but not necessarily i.i.d.) observations for an Hellinger-type loss. Given such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-30 Yannick Baraud , Lucien Birgé

The central limit theorem provides the theoretical foundation for the universality of the normal distribution: under broad conditions, the asymptotic distribution of a sum of independent random variables approaches a Gaussian. Yet, physical…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-03-26 Mario Castro , José A. Cuesta

Out-of-distribution (OOD) detection is an important task in machine learning systems for ensuring their reliability and safety. Deep probabilistic generative models facilitate OOD detection by estimating the likelihood of a data sample.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-16 Jaemoo Choi , Changyeon Yoon , Jeongwoo Bae , Myungjoo Kang

Regularization is a common tool in variational inverse problems to impose assumptions on the parameters of the problem. One such assumption is sparsity, which is commonly promoted using lasso and total variation-like regularization.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-15 Jasper Marijn Everink , Yiqiu Dong , Martin Skovgaard Andersen

This paper introduces and studies a new class of nonparametric prior distributions. Random probability distribution functions are constructed via normalization of random measures driven by increasing additive processes. In particular, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Luis E. Nieto-Barajas , Igor Prunster , Stephen G. Walker

In various stereological problems an $n$-dimensional convex body is intersected with an $(n-1)$-dimensional Isotropic Uniformly Random (IUR) hyperplane. In this paper the cumulative distribution function associated with the…

Applications · Statistics 2024-06-21 Thomas van der Jagt , Geurt Jongbloed , Martina Vittorietti

We introduce a new basic model for independent and identical distributed sequence on the canonical space $(\mathbb{R}^\mathbb{N},\mathcal{B}(\mathbb{R}^\mathbb{N}))$ via probability kernels with model uncertainty. Thanks to the well-defined…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-02 Xinpeng Li

In the Bayes paradigm and for a given loss function, we propose the construction of a new type of posterior distributions, that extends the classical Bayes one, for estimating the law of an $n$-sample. The loss functions we have in mind are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-05 Yannick Baraud

In this paper, we propose a new distribution with unitary support which can be characterized as a ratio of the type $W=X_1/(X_1+X_2)$, where $(X_1, X_2)^\top$ follows a bivariate extreme distribution with Fr\'echet margins, that is, $X_1$…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-03 Roberto Vila , Felipe Quintino

We consider the problem of interval estimation of the odds ratio. An asymptotic confidence interval is widely applied in medical research. Unfortunately that confidence interval has a poor coverage probability: it is significantly smaller…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-19 Zofia Zielińska-Kolasińska , Wojciech Zieliński

We introduce and study deferred N\"{o}rlund statistical convergence in probability, mean of order $r,$ distribution, and study the interrelation among them. Based upon the proposed method to illustrate the findings, we present new Korovkin…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-03 Kuldip Raj , Swati Jasrotia , Reza Saadati

We prove a Central Limit Theorem for probability measures defined via the variation of the sum-of-digits function, in base $b\ge 2$. For $r\ge 0$ and $d \in \mathbb{Z}$, we consider $\mu^{(r)}(d)$ as the density of integers $n\in…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-14 Yohan Hosten , Élise Janvresse , Thierry de la Rue

Robust statistics traditionally focuses on outliers, or perturbations in total variation distance. However, a dataset could be corrupted in many other ways, such as systematic measurement errors and missing covariates. We generalize the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-15 Banghua Zhu , Jiantao Jiao , Jacob Steinhardt

In epidemiological or demographic studies, with variable age at onset, a typical quantity of interest is the incidence of a disease (for example the cancer incidence). In these studies, the individuals are usually highly heterogeneous in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-20 Vivien Goepp , Jean-Christophe Thalabard , Grégory Nuel , Olivier Bouaziz

We present a new model for the propagation of polarized light in a random birefringent medium. This model is based on a decomposition of the higher order statistics of the reduced Stokes parameters along the irreducible representations of…

Optics · Physics 2012-02-06 Salem Said , Nicolas Le Bihan
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