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We consider a discrete time semi-Markov process where the characteristics defining the process depend on a small perturbation parameter. It is assumed that the state space consists of one finite communicating class of states and, in…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-21 Mikael Petersson

We study generalized additive partial linear models, proposing the use of polynomial spline smoothing for estimation of nonparametric functions, and deriving quasi-likelihood based estimators for the linear parameters. We establish…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-12-13 Li Wang , Xiang Liu , Hua Liang , Raymond J. Carroll

This article investigates parameter estimation of affine term structure models by means of the generalized method of moments. Exact moments of the affine latent process as well as of the yields are obtained by using results derived for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-08-10 Jaroslava Hlouskova , Leopold Sögner

This paper is devoted to filtering, smoothing, and prediction of polynomial processes that are partially observed. These problems are known to allow for an explicit solution in the simpler case of linear Gaussian state space models. The key…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-10 Jan Kallsen , Ivo Richert

Multi-type Markov point processes offer a flexible framework for modelling complex multi-type point patterns where it is pertinent to capture both interactions between points as well as large scale trends depending on observed covariates.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-15 Ib Thorsgaard Jensen , Jean-François Coeurjolly , Rasmus Waagepetersen

A novel approach to the problem of partial state estimation of nonlinear systems is proposed. The main idea is to translate the state estimation problem into one of estimation of constant, unknown parameters related to the systems initial…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-04-08 Ortega Romeo , Bobtsov Alexey , Pyrkin Anton , Aranovskiy Stanislav

We consider a problem of parameter estimation for the state space model described by linear stochastic differential equations. We assume that an unobservable Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process drives another observable process by the linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-25 Masahiro Kurisaki

We consider the semi-parametric estimation of a scale parameter of a one-dimensional Gaussian process with known smoothness. We suggest an estimator based on quadratic variations and on the moment method. We provide asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-22 Jean-Marc Azaïs , François Bachoc , Agnès Lagnoux , Thi Mong Ngoc Nguyen

We consider chemical reaction networks modeled by a discrete state and continuous in time Markov process for the vector copy number of the species and provide a novel particle filter method for state and parameter estimation based on exact…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-24 Muruhan Rathinam , Mingkai Yu

Covariance parameter estimation of Gaussian processes is analyzed in an asymptotic framework. The spatial sampling is a randomly perturbed regular grid and its deviation from the perfect regular grid is controlled by a single scalar…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-09 François Bachoc

In this article we consider likelihood-based estimation of static parameters for a class of partially observed McKean-Vlasov (POMV) diffusion process with discrete-time observations over a fixed time interval. In particular, using the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-12 Ajay Jasra , Mohamed Maama , Raul Tempone

We consider covariance parameter estimation for Gaussian processes with functional inputs. From an increasing-domain asymptotics perspective, we prove the asymptotic consistency and normality of the maximum likelihood estimator. We extend…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-16 Lucas Reding , Andrés F. López-Lopera , François Bachoc

Partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) provide an elegant mathematical framework for modeling complex decision and planning problems in stochastic domains in which states of the system are observable only indirectly, via a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-06-02 M. Hauskrecht

The paper proposes a formal estimation procedure for parameters of the fractional Poisson process (fPp). Such procedures are needed to make the fPp model usable in applied situations. The basic idea of fPp, motivated by experimental data…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-08 Dexter Cahoy , Vladimir V. Uchaikin , Wojbor A. Woyczynski

We derive an asymptotic theory of nonparametric estimation for a time series regression model $Z_t=f(X_t)+W_t$, where \ensuremath\{X_t\} and \ensuremath\{Z_t\} are observed nonstationary processes and $\{W_t\}$ is an unobserved stationary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Hans Arnfinn Karlsen , Terje Myklebust , Dag Tjøstheim

We consider the problem of sequential estimation of the unknowns of state-space and deep state-space models that include estimation of functions and latent processes of the models. The proposed approach relies on Gaussian and deep Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Yuhao Liu , Marzieh Ajirak , Petar Djuric

In this paper, we propose a class of efficient, accurate, and general methods for solving state-estimation problems with equality and inequality constraints. The methods are based on recent developments in variable splitting and partially…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-02 Rui Gao , Filip Tronarp , Simo Särkkä

In this paper, we study the estimation for a partial-linear single-index model. A two-stage estimation procedure is proposed to estimate the link function for the single index and the parameters in the single index, as well as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-05-14 Jane-Ling Wang , Liugen Xue , Lixing Zhu , Yun Sam Chong

In many practical settings control decisions must be made under partial/imperfect information about the evolution of a relevant state variable. Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes (POMDPs) is a relatively well-developed framework…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-30 Yanling Chang , Alfredo Garcia , Zhide Wang , Lu Sun

We consider the estimation of high-dimensional network structures from partially observed Markov random field data using a penalized pseudo-likelihood approach. We fit a misspecified model obtained by ignoring the missing data problem. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-08-16 Yves F. Atchade
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