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In this paper, we study mixed power-exponential moment functionals of nonlinearly perturbed semi-Markov processes in discrete time. Conditions under which the moment functionals of interest can be expanded in asymptotic power series with…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-28 Mikael Petersson

We consider partially observed multiscale diffusion models that are specified up to an unknown vector parameter. We establish for a very general class of test functions that the filter of the original model converges to a filter of reduced…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-28 Andrew Papanicolaou , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

In this paper, we investigate the parameter estimation problem for reflected OU processes. Both the estimates based on continuously observed processes and discretely observed processes are considered. The explicit formulas for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-03 Han Yuecai , Zhang Dingwen

A noncommutative Fornasini-Marchesini system (a multi-variable version of a linear system) can be realized within a weak Markov process (a model for quantum evolution). For a discrete time parameter the resulting structure is worked out…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2015-05-26 Rolf Gohm

In this paper, we apply the recently developed generalized parameter estimation-based observer design technique for state-affine systems to the practically important case of linear time-varying descriptor systems with uncertain parameters.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-22 Romeo Ortega , Alexey Bobtsov , Fernando Castanos , Nikolay Nikolaev

We develop a computational procedure to estimate the covariance hyperparameters for semiparametric Gaussian process regression models with additive noise. Namely, the presented method can be used to efficiently estimate the variance of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Siavash Ameli , Shawn C. Shadden

This article provides an introductory tutorial on structural results in partially observed Markov decision processes (POMDPs). Typically, computing the optimal policy of a POMDP is computationally intractable. We use lattice program- ming…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-12-15 Vikram Krishnamurthy

In various practical situations, we encounter data from stochastic processes which can be efficiently modelled by an appropriate parametric model for subsequent statistical analyses. Unfortunately, the most common estimation and inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-12 Rohan Hore , Abhik Ghosh

This report introduces a parsimonious structure for mixture of autoregressive models, where the weighting coefficients are determined through latent random variables as functions of all past observations. These variables follow a hidden…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-17 S. H. Alizadeh , S. Rezakhah

We present a hybrid scheme for the parameter and state estimation of nonlinear continuous-time systems, which is inspired by the supervisory setup used for control. State observers are synthesized for some nominal parameter values and a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-18 Michelle S. Chong , Dragan Nešić , Romain Postoyan , Levin Kuhlmann

We study the problem of estimating the covariance parameters of a one-dimensional Gaussian process with exponential covariance function under fixed-domain asymptotics. We show that the weighted pairwise maximum likelihood estimator of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-15 François Bachoc , Moreno Bevilacqua , Daira Velandia

We study model selection and model averaging in generalized additive partial linear models (GAPLMs). Polynomial spline is used to approximate nonparametric functions. The corresponding estimators of the linear parameters are shown to be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-03-09 Xinyu Zhang , Hua Liang

Thomas' partial likelihood estimator of regression parameters is widely used in the analysis of nested case-control data with Cox's model. This paper proposes a new estimator of the regression parameters, which is consistent and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Kani Chen

We propose a penalized pseudo-likelihood criterion to estimate the graph of conditional dependencies in a discrete Markov random field that can be partially observed. We prove the convergence of the estimator in the case of a finite or…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-05 Florencia Leonardi , Rodrigo R. S. Carvalho

When a strict subset of covariates are given, we propose conditional quantile treatment effect to capture the heterogeneity of treatment effects via the quantile sheet that is the function of the given covariates and quantile. We focus on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-23 Niwen Zhou , Xu Guo , Lixing Zhu

We consider quasi maximum likelihood (QML) estimation for general non-Gaussian discrete-ime linear state space models and equidistantly observed multivariate L\'evy-driven continuoustime autoregressive moving average (MCARMA) processes. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-19 Eckhard Schlemm , Robert Stelzer

This paper presents an algorithm to simulate Gaussian random vectors whose precision matrix can be expressed as a polynomial of a sparse matrix. This situation arises in particular when simulating Gaussian Markov random fields obtained by…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-07 Mike Pereira , Nicolas Desassis

Discrete Markov random fields form a natural class of models to represent images and spatial data sets. The use of such models is, however, hampered by a computationally intractable normalising constant. This makes parameter estimation and…

Computation · Statistics 2015-05-25 Haakon Michael Austad , Håkon Tjelmeland

We propose sequential Monte Carlo based algorithms for maximum likelihood estimation of the static parameters in hidden Markov models with an intractable likelihood using ideas from approximate Bayesian computation. The static parameter…

Computation · Statistics 2013-11-19 Sinan Yildirim , Sumeetpal Singh , Thomas Dean , Ajay Jasra

This work is about parameter estimation for a fast-slow stochastic system with non-Gaussian $\alpha$-stable L\'evy noise. When the observations are only available for slow components, a system parameter is estimated and the accuracy for…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-02-28 Ying Chao , Pingyuan Wei , Jinqiao Duan
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