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Vector autoregression is an essential tool in empirical macroeconomics and finance for understanding the dynamic interdependencies among multivariate time series. In this study, we expand the scope of vector autoregression by incorporating…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-03-21 Yunyun Wang , Tatsushi Oka , Dan Zhu

Lasso-type estimators are routinely used to estimate high-dimensional time series models. The theoretical guarantees established for these estimators typically require the penalty level to be chosen in a suitable fashion often depending on…

Learning from an imbalanced distribution presents a major challenge in predictive modeling, as it generally leads to a reduction in the performance of standard algorithms. Various approaches exist to address this issue, but many of them…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-11 Samuel Stocksieker , Denys Pommeret , Arthur Charpentier

While visual autoregressive modeling (VAR) strategies have shed light on image generation with the autoregressive models, their potential for segmentation, a task that requires precise low-level spatial perception, remains unexplored.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Rongkun Zheng , Lu Qi , Xi Chen , Yi Wang , Kun Wang , Hengshuang Zhao

High-dimensional time series data appear in many scientific areas in the current data-rich environment. Analysis of such data poses new challenges to data analysts because of not only the complicated dynamic dependence between the series,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-22 Di Wang , Ruey S. Tsay

Visual Autoregressive (VAR) models have recently garnered significant attention for their innovative next-scale prediction paradigm, offering notable advantages in both inference efficiency and image quality compared to traditional…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-24 Tong Wang , Guanyu Yang , Nian Liu , Kai Wang , Yaxing Wang , Abdelrahman M Shaker , Salman Khan , Fahad Shahbaz Khan , Senmao Li

Correspondence analysis, multiple correspondence analysis and their discriminant counterparts (i.e., discriminant simple correspondence analysis and discriminant multiple correspondence analysis) are methods of choice for analyzing…

This paper introduces a framework specifically designed for sparse and irregular time series {risk estimation}. It is based on a Transformer Autoencoder with local attention, which leverages the powerful pattern identification capabilities…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Panteleimon Rodis

In this note we present a generative model of natural images consisting of a deep hierarchy of layers of latent random variables, each of which follows a new type of distribution that we call rectified Gaussian. These rectified Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-03-01 Tim Salimans

This paper proposes a new methodological framework for estimating inferential models with latent variables. It also introduces a new latent variable regression model called LARX: an extension of the ubiquitous autoregressive model with…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-09 Daniil Bargman

Visual Autoregressive (VAR) modeling inefficiently applies a fixed computational depth to each position when generating high-resolution images. While existing methods accelerate inference by pruning tokens using frequency maps, their binary…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Chunliang Li , Tianze Cao , Sanyuan Zhao

We consider covariate adjusted regression (CAR), a regression method for situations where predictors and response are observed after being distorted by a multiplicative factor. The distorting factors are unknown functions of an observable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Damla Şentürk , Hans-Georg Müller

While unsupervised variational autoencoders (VAE) have become a powerful tool in neuroimage analysis, their application to supervised learning is under-explored. We aim to close this gap by proposing a unified probabilistic model for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-15 Qingyu Zhao , Ehsan Adeli , Nicolas Honnorat , Tuo Leng , Kilian M. Pohl

We address the curse of dimensionality in dynamic covariance estimation by modeling the underlying co-volatility dynamics of a time series vector through latent time-varying stochastic factors. The use of a global-local shrinkage prior for…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-07 Gregor Kastner

Multivariate regression techniques are commonly applied to explore the associations between large numbers of outcomes and predictors. In real-world applications, the outcomes are often of mixed types, including continuous measurements,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-19 Aditya Mishra , Dipak K. Dey , Yong Chen , Kun Chen

This paper considers the problem of identifying multivariate autoregressive (AR) sparse plus low-rank graphical models. Based on the corresponding problem formulation recently presented, we use the alternating direction method of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-31 Raphaël Liégeois , Bamdev Mishra , Mattia Zorzi , Rodolphe Sepulchre

Vector autoregressions (VARs) are popular model for analyzing multivariate economic time series. However, VARs can be over-parameterized if the numbers of variables and lags are moderately large. Tensor VAR, a recent solution to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-13 Yiyong Luo , Jim E. Griffin

We present a windowed technique to learn parsimonious time-varying autoregressive models from multivariate timeseries. This unsupervised method uncovers interpretable spatiotemporal structure in data via non-smooth and non-convex…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-21 Kameron Decker Harris , Aleksandr Aravkin , Rajesh Rao , Bingni Wen Brunton

Probabilistic forecasting of high dimensional multivariate time series is a notoriously challenging task, both in terms of computational burden and distribution modeling. Most previous work either makes simple distribution assumptions or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-27 Nam Nguyen , Brian Quanz

In this paper, we consider the Group Lasso estimator of the covariance matrix of a stochastic process corrupted by an additive noise. We propose to estimate the covariance matrix in a high-dimensional setting under the assumption that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-10-26 Jérémie Bigot , Rolando Biscay , Jean-Michel Loubes , Lilian Muniz Alvarez