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In this paper we propose a class of structural vector autoregressions (SVARs) characterized by structural breaks (SVAR-WB). Together with standard restrictions on the parameters and on functions of them, we also consider constraints across…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-10 Emanuele Bacchiocchi , Toru Kitagawa

Sparse prediction with categorical data is challenging even for a moderate number of variables, because one parameter is roughly needed to encode one category or level. The Group Lasso is a well known efficient algorithm for selection…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-22 Szymon Nowakowski , Piotr Pokarowski , Wojciech Rejchel

Predicting the behavior of complex systems is critical in many scientific and engineering domains, and hinges on the model's ability to capture their underlying dynamics. Existing methods encode the intrinsic dynamics of high-dimensional…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Jingwen Cheng , Ruikun Li , Huandong Wang , Yong Li

We propose a new class of spatio-temporal models with unknown and banded autoregressive coefficient matrices. The setting represents a sparse structure for high-dimensional spatial panel dynamic models when panel members represent economic…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-19 Zhaoxing Gao , Yingying Ma , Hansheng Wang , Qiwei Yao

Predicting clinical variables from whole-brain neuroimages is a high dimensional problem that requires some type of feature selection or extraction. Penalized regression is a popular embedded feature selection method for high dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-27 Joanne C. Beer , Howard J. Aizenstein , Stewart J. Anderson , Robert T. Krafty

Recently, high dimensional vector auto-regressive models (VAR), have attracted a lot of interest, due to novel applications in the health, engineering and social sciences. The presence of temporal dependence poses additional challenges to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-20 Sagnik Halder , George Michailidis

Interest in the study and analysis of dynamic processes in the social, behavioral, and health sciences has burgeoned in recent years due to the increased availability of intensive longitudinal data. However, how best to model and account…

Conventional variational autoencoders fail in modeling correlations between data points due to their use of factorized priors. Amortized Gaussian process inference through GP-VAEs has led to significant improvements in this regard, but is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-25 Metod Jazbec , Matthew Ashman , Vincent Fortuin , Michael Pearce , Stephan Mandt , Gunnar Rätsch

Sparse modelling or model selection with categorical data is challenging even for a moderate number of variables, because one parameter is roughly needed to encode one category or level. The Group Lasso is a well known efficient algorithm…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-14 Szymon Nowakowski , Piotr Pokarowski , Wojciech Rejchel , Agnieszka Sołtys

We propose a factor network autoregressive (FNAR) model for time series with complex network structures. The coefficients of the model reflect many different types of connections between economic agents ("multilayer network"), which are…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-24 Matteo Barigozzi , Giuseppe Cavaliere , Graziano Moramarco

A novel spatiotemporal framework using diverse econometric approaches is proposed in this research to analyze relationships among eight economy-wide variables in varying market conditions. Employing Vector Autoregression (VAR) and Granger…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-03-25 Lutfu S. Sua , Haibo Wang , Jun Huang

In recent years, the dynamic factor model has emerged as a dominant tool in economics and finance, particularly for investment strategies. This model offers improved handling of complex, nonlinear, and noisy market conditions compared to…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-06 Yilun Wang , Shengjie Guo

Sparse Autoencoders (SAEs) have emerged as a promising approach for interpreting neural network representations by learning sparse, human-interpretable features from dense activations. We investigate whether incorporating variational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-03 Zachary Baker , Yuxiao Li

Predictive linear and nonlinear models based on kernel machines or deep neural networks have been used to discover dependencies among time series. This paper proposes an efficient nonlinear modeling approach for multiple time series, with a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-02 Kevin Roy , Luis Miguel Lopez-Ramos , Baltasar Beferull-Lozano

Non-negative tensor factorization models enable predictive analysis on count data. Among them, Bayesian Poisson-Gamma models can derive full posterior distributions of latent factors and are less sensitive to sparse count data. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-15 Yuan Jin , Ming Liu , Yunfeng Li , Ruohua Xu , Lan Du , Longxiang Gao , Yong Xiang

In multi-state models based on high-dimensional data, effective modeling strategies are required to determine an optimal, ideally parsimonious model. In particular, linking covariate effects across transitions is needed to conduct joint…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-27 Kaya Miah , Jelle J. Goeman , Hein Putter , Annette Kopp-Schneider , Axel Benner

Ventilated acoustic resonator(VAR), a type of acoustic metamaterial, emerge as an alternative for sound attenuation in environments that require ventilation, owing to its excellent low-frequency attenuation performance and flexible shape…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-08-13 Min Woo Cho , Seok Hyeon Hwang , Jun-Young Jang , Jin Yeong Song , Sun-kwang Hwang , Kyoung Je Cha , Dong Yong Park , Kyungjun Song , Sang Min Park

In this paper, we study transfer learning for high-dimensional factor-augmented sparse linear models, motivated by applications in economics and finance where strongly correlated predictors and latent factor structures pose major challenges…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-23 Bo Fu , Dandan Jiang

We discuss the issue of estimating large-scale vector autoregressive (VAR) models with stochastic volatility in real-time situations where data are sampled at different frequencies. In the case of a large VAR with stochastic volatility, the…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-12-06 Sebastian Ankargren , Paulina Jonéus

Tensors are becoming prevalent in modern applications such as medical imaging and digital marketing. In this paper, we propose a sparse tensor additive regression (STAR) that models a scalar response as a flexible nonparametric function of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-08 Botao Hao , Boxiang Wang , Pengyuan Wang , Jingfei Zhang , Jian Yang , Will Wei Sun