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Off-the-shelf machine learning algorithms for prediction such as regularized logistic regression cannot exploit the information of time-varying features without previously using an aggregation procedure of such sequential data. However,…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-26 C. Gary Mena , Arno De Caigny , Kristof Coussement , Koen W. De Bock , Stefan Lessmann

Random forests is a state-of-the-art supervised machine learning method which behaves well in high-dimensional settings although some limitations may happen when $p$, the number of predictors, is much larger than the number of observations…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-01 Louis Capitaine , Robin Genuer , Rodolphe Thiébaut

We introduce a new algorithm, Regression based Supervised Learning (RSL), for learning per instance Neural Network (NN) defined heuristic functions for classical planning problems. RSL uses regression to select relevant sets of states at a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-07-08 Stefan O'Toole , Miquel Ramirez , Nir Lipovetzky , Adrian R. Pearce

To improve nonparametric estimates of lifetime distributions, we propose using the increasing odds rate (IOR) model as an alternative to other popular, but more restrictive, ``adverse ageing'' models, such as the increasing hazard rate one.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-13 Tommaso Lando , Idir Arab , Paulo Eduardo Oliveira

W. D. Hamilton's celebrated formula for the age-specific force of natural selection furnishes predictions for senescent mortality due to mutation accumulation, at the price of reliance on a linear approximation. Applying to Hamilton's…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-07-04 Kenneth W. Wachter , Steven N. Evans , David R. Steinsaltz

Existing person re-identification models are poor for scaling up to large data required in real-world applications due to: (1) Complexity: They employ complex models for optimal performance resulting in high computational cost for training…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-12-06 Hanxiao Wang , Shaogang Gong , Tao Xiang

In life insurance, life tables are used to estimate the survival distribution of individuals from a given population. However, these tables only provide survival probabilities at integer ages but no information about the distribution of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-19 Jean-Loup Dupret , Edouard Motte

A major challenge of climate change adaptation is to assess the effect of changing weather on human health. In spite of an increasing literature on the weather-related health subject, many aspect of the relationship are not known, limiting…

We suggest a new method, called Functional Additive Regression, or FAR, for efficiently performing high-dimensional functional regression. FAR extends the usual linear regression model involving a functional predictor, $X(t)$, and a scalar…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-15 Yingying Fan , Gareth M. James , Peter Radchenko

Harrel's concordance index is a commonly used discrimination metric for survival models, particularly for models where the relative ordering of the risk of individuals is time-independent, such as the proportional hazards model. There are…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-27 A. Gandy , T. J. Matcham

Tree-structured models are a powerful alternative to parametric regression models if non-linear effects and interactions are present in the data. Yet, classical tree-structured models might not be appropriate if data comes in clusters of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-23 Nikolai Spuck , Matthias Schmid , Moritz Berger

In this manuscript we analyze a data set containing information on children with Hodgkin Lymphoma (HL) enrolled on a clinical trial. Treatments received and survival status were collected together with other covariates such as demographics…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-03-29 Cédric Beaulac , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal , Qinglin Pei , Debra Friedman , Suzanne Wolden , David Hodgson

This paper studies optimal consumption, investment, and healthcare spending under Epstein-Zin preferences. Given consumption and healthcare spending plans, Epstein-Zin utilities are defined over an agent's random lifetime, partially…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-03 Joshua Aurand , Yu-Jui Huang

This paper investigates the valuation of variable annuity contracts with an early surrender option under non-Markovian models. Moreover, policyholders are provided with guaranteed minimum maturity and death benefits to protect against the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-23 Wenyuan Li , Haoqi Lyu

The stage and severity of Parkinson's disease (PD) is an important factor to consider for taking effective therapeutic decisions. Although the Movement Disorder Society-Unified Parkinson's Disease Rating Scale (MDS-UPDRS) provides an…

Applications · Statistics 2018-05-30 R. Prashanth , Sumantra Dutta Roy

Stochastic-process-based degradation modeling is a core approach for estimating the distribution of remaining useful life (RUL); however, the selection of an appropriate stochastic process has not been sufficiently addressed. Existing model…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Hanbyeol Park , Hyerim Bae

We develop a prediction-based prescriptive model for learning optimal personalized treatments for patients based on their Electronic Health Records (EHRs). Our approach consists of: (i) predicting future outcomes under each possible therapy…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-06 Ruidi Chen , Ioannis Paschalidis

The United Nations released official probabilistic population projections (PPP) for all countries for the first time in July 2014. These were obtained by projecting the period total fertility rate (TFR) and life expectancy at birth ($e_0$)…

Applications · Statistics 2016-08-08 Hana Ševčíková , Nan Li , Vladimíra Kantorová , Patrick Gerland , Adrian E. Raftery

The Fractional Stochastic Regularity Model (FSRM) is an extension of Black-Scholes model describing the multifractal nature of prices. It is based on a multifractional process with a random Hurst exponent $H_t$, driven by a fractional…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-13 Daniele Angelini , Matthieu Garcin

Within the nonparametric regression model with unknown regression function $l$ and independent, symmetric errors, a new multiscale signed rank statistic is introduced and a conditional multiple test of the simple hypothesis $l=0$ against a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Angelika Rohde