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Recurrent neural networks such as the GRU and LSTM found wide adoption in natural language processing and achieve state-of-the-art results for many tasks. These models are characterized by a memory state that can be written to and read from…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-06-10 Dirk Weissenborn , Tim Rocktäschel

We use the illness-death model (IDM) for chronic conditions to derive a new analytical relation between the transition rates between the states of the IDM. The transition rates are the incidence rate (i) and the mortality rates of people…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-23 Maryam Saem , Ralph Brinks

We consider a parametric modelling approach for survival data where covariates are allowed to enter the model through multiple distributional parameters, i.e., scale and shape. This is in contrast with the standard convention of having a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-17 Fatima-Zahra Jaouimaa , Il Do Ha , Kevin Burke

Ridge regression (RR) is an important machine learning technique which introduces a regularization hyperparameter $\alpha$ to ordinary multiple linear regression for analyzing data suffering from multicollinearity. In this paper, we present…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-08-03 Chao-Hua Yu , Fei Gao , Qiao-Yan Wen

The reliability of machine learning systems critically assumes that the associations between features and labels remain similar between training and test distributions. However, unmeasured variables, such as confounders, break this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-17 Megha Srivastava , Tatsunori Hashimoto , Percy Liang

Forecasts of mortality provide vital information about future populations, with implications for pension and health-care policy as well as for decisions made by private companies about life insurance and annuity pricing. Stochastic…

Applications · Statistics 2018-06-21 Jason Hilton , Erengul Dodd , Jonathan J. Forster , Peter W. F. Smith

The analysis of samples of random objects that do not lie in a vector space is gaining increasing attention in statistics. An important class of such object data is univariate probability measures defined on the real line. Adopting the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-07 Yaqing Chen , Zhenhua Lin , Hans-Georg Müller

We present a statistical modelling framework for implementing Distributed Lag Models (DLMs), encompassing several extensions of the approach to capture the temporally distributed effect from covariates via regression. We place DLMs in the…

Randomised signature has been proposed as a flexible and easily implementable alternative to the well-established path signature. In this article, we employ randomised signature to introduce a generative model for financial time series data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-09 Francesca Biagini , Lukas Gonon , Niklas Walter

Heart failure (HF) affects at least 26 million people worldwide, so predicting adverse events in HF patients represents a major target of clinical data science. However, achieving large sample sizes sometimes represents a challenge due to…

We propose new parametric frameworks of regression analysis with the conditional mode of a bounded response as the focal point of interest. Covariate effects estimation and prediction based on the maximum likelihood method under two new…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-22 Haiming Zhou , Xianzheng Huang

The aim of this paper is to present a new estimation procedure that can be applied in many statistical frameworks including density and regression and which leads to both robust and optimal (or nearly optimal) estimators. In density…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-23 Yannick Baraud , Lucien Birgé , Mathieu Sart

We investigate jointly modeling Age-specific rates of various causes of death in a multinational setting. We apply Multi-Output Gaussian Processes (MOGP), a spatial machine learning method, to smooth and extrapolate multiple cause-of-death…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-15 Nhan Huynh , Mike Ludkovski

Survival models are a popular tool for the analysis of time to event data with applications in medicine, engineering, economics, and many more. Advances like the Cox proportional hazard model have enabled researchers to better describe…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-16 Stefan Groha , Sebastian M Schmon , Alexander Gusev

An essential task in predictive maintenance is the prediction of the Remaining Useful Life (RUL) through the analysis of multivariate time series. Using the sliding window method, Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) and conventional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-11 Yexu Zhou , Yuting Gao , Yiran Huang , Michael Hefenbrock , Till Riedel , Michael Beigl

We propose a series of methods and models in order to explore the Global Burden of Disease Study and the provided healthy life expectancy HALE estimates from the World Health Organization WHO based on the mortality mx of a population…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-03-09 Christos H Skiadas

Machine learning is rapidly making its path into natural sciences, including high-energy physics. We present the first study that infers, directly from experimental data, a functional form of fragmentation functions. The latter represent a…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-01-14 Nour Makke , Sanjay Chawla

Predicting Remaining Useful Life (RUL) plays a crucial role in the prognostics and health management of industrial systems that involve a variety of interrelated sensors. Given a constant stream of time series sensory data from such…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-07 Zhihao Wen , Yuan Fang , Pengcheng Wei , Fayao Liu , Zhenghua Chen , Min Wu

Intensive Care Units usually carry patients with a serious risk of mortality. Recent research has shown the ability of Machine Learning to indicate the patients' mortality risk and point physicians toward individuals with a heightened need…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-03 Korbinian Randl , Núria Lladós Armengol , Lena Mondrejevski , Ioanna Miliou

We present a new paradigm for speeding up randomized computations of several frequently used functions in machine learning. In particular, our paradigm can be applied for improving computations of kernels based on random embeddings. Above…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-04-26 Krzysztof Choromanski , Francois Fagan
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