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Related papers: Decision-Focused Fine-Tuning of Time Series Founda…

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Diffusion models have revolutionized generative tasks through high-fidelity outputs, yet flow matching (FM) offers faster inference and empirical performance gains. However, current foundation FM models are computationally prohibitive for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Johannes Schusterbauer , Ming Gui , Frank Fundel , Björn Ommer

Time series forecasting is a critical first step in generating demand plans for supply chains. Experiments on time series models typically focus on demonstrating improvements in forecast accuracy over existing/baseline solutions, quantified…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-15 Steven Klee , Yuntian Xia

Distribution shift is a key challenge for predictive models in practice, creating the need to identify potentially harmful shifts in advance of deployment. Existing work typically defines these worst-case shifts as ones that most degrade…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-08 Kevin Ren , Yewon Byun , Bryan Wilder

Efficiently modeling spatio-temporal (ST) physical processes and observations presents a challenging problem for the deep learning community. Many recent studies have concentrated on meticulously reconciling various advantages, leading to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Hao Wu , Yuxuan Liang , Wei Xiong , Zhengyang Zhou , Wei Huang , Shilong Wang , Kun Wang

Fine-tuning on task-specific question-answer pairs is a predominant method for enhancing the performance of instruction-tuned large language models (LLMs) on downstream tasks. However, in certain specialized domains, such as healthcare or…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-10-18 Shuyang Jiang , Yusheng Liao , Ya Zhang , Yanfeng Wang , Yu Wang

Time series forecasting poses significant challenges in non-stationary environments where underlying patterns evolve over time. In this work, we propose a novel framework that enhances deep neural network (DNN) performance by leveraging…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Amal Saadallah , Abdulaziz Al-Ademi

Large-scale foundation models provide powerful feature representations for downstream object segmentation tasks. However, when adapted to specific tasks through the full-parameter fine-tuning, the enormous parameters being updated often…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Yanguang Sun , Jiawei Lian , Jian Yang , Lei Luo

While diffusion models can successfully generate data and make predictions, they are predominantly designed for static images. We propose an approach for efficiently training diffusion models for probabilistic spatiotemporal forecasting,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-12 Salva Rühling Cachay , Bo Zhao , Hailey Joren , Rose Yu

Process Model Forecasting (PMF) aims to predict how the control-flow structure of a process evolves over time by modeling the temporal dynamics of directly-follows (DF) relations, complementing predictive process monitoring that focuses on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Yongbo Yu , Jari Peeperkorn , Johannes De Smedt , Jochen De Weerdt

Time series foundation models are pre-trained on large datasets and are able to achieve state-of-the-art performance in diverse tasks. However, to date, there has been limited work demonstrating how well these models perform in medical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-21 Mingzhu Liu , Angela H. Chen , George H. Chen

Model selection has been proven an effective strategy for improving accuracy in time series forecasting applications. However, when dealing with hierarchical time series, apart from selecting the most appropriate forecasting model,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-30 Mahdi Abolghasemi , Rob J Hyndman , Evangelos Spiliotis , Christoph Bergmeir

In recent years, deep learning techniques have outperformed traditional models in many machine learning tasks. Deep neural networks have successfully been applied to address time series forecasting problems, which is a very important topic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-09 Pedro Lara-Benítez , Manuel Carranza-García , José C. Riquelme

Time series forecasting requires balancing short-term and long-term dependencies for accurate predictions. Existing methods mainly focus on long-term dependency modeling, neglecting the complexities of short-term dynamics, which may hinder…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-29 Sijia Peng , Yun Xiong , Yangyong Zhu , Zhiqiang Shen

This chapter presents three major reinforcement learning algorithms used for fine-tuning financial forecasters. We propose a clear implementation plan for backpropagating the loss of a reinforcement learning task to a model trained using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-23 Hugo Cazaux , Ralph Rudd , Hlynur Stefánsson , Sverrir Ólafsson , Eyjólfur Ingi Ásgeirsson

Foundation models are at the forefront of AI research, appealing for their ability to learn from vast datasets and cater to diverse tasks. Yet, their significant computational demands raise issues of environmental impact and the risk of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-03 Leyang Xue , Meghana Madhyastha , Randal Burns , Myungjin Lee , Mahesh K. Marina

Financial time series forecasting is particularly challenging for transformer-based time series foundation models (TSFMs) due to non-stationarity, heavy-tailed distributions, and high-frequency noise present in data. Low-rank adaptation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Anthony Bolton , Wuyang Zhou , Zehua Chen , Giorgos Iacovides , Danilo Mandic

The remarkable achievements of large models in the fields of natural language processing (NLP) and computer vision (CV) have sparked interest in their application to time series forecasting within industrial contexts. This paper explores…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Yuwei Fan , Tao Song , Chenlong Feng , Keyu Song , Chao Liu , Dongxiang Jiang

Large pretrained foundation models demonstrate exceptional performance and, in some high-stakes applications, even surpass human experts. However, most of these models are currently evaluated primarily on prediction accuracy, overlooking…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-08 Tang Li , Mengmeng Ma , Xi Peng

Modern IoT deployments for environmental sensing produce high volume spatiotemporal data to support downstream tasks such as forecasting, typically powered by machine learning models. While existing filtering and strategic deployment…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Ragini Gupta , Naman Raina , Bo Chen , Li Chen , Claudiu Danilov , Josh Eckhardt , Keyshla Bernard , Klara Nahrstedt

Distributed computing systems often consist of hundreds of nodes, executing tasks with different resource requirements. Efficient resource provisioning and task scheduling in such systems are non-trivial and require close monitoring and…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2020-08-10 Paul J. Pritz , Daniel Perez , Kin K. Leung
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