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In this paper we discuss and address the challenges of predicting extreme atmospheric events like intense rainfall, hail, and strong winds. These events can cause significant damage and have become more frequent due to climate change.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-06 Mikhail Mozikov , Ilya Makarov , Alexandr Bulkin , Daria Taniushkina , Roland Grinis , Yury Maximov

This paper proposes an innovative Multi-Modal Transformer framework (MMF-Trans) designed to significantly improve the prediction accuracy of the Chinese stock market by integrating multi-source heterogeneous information including…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-29 Lumen AI , Tengzhou No. 1 Middle School , Shihao Ji , Zihui Song , Fucheng Zhong , Jisen Jia , Zhaobo Wu , Zheyi Cao , Xu Tianhao

Tropical cyclone (TC) forecasting is critical for disaster warning and emergency response. Deep learning methods address computational challenges but often neglect physical relationships between TC attributes, resulting in predictions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Lei Liu , Xiaoning Yu , Kang Chen , Jiahui Huang , Tengyuan Liu , Hongwei Zhao , Bin Li

Accurate prediction of typhoon trajectories is essential for mitigating the impact of these extreme weather events. This study proposes a functional data analysis (FDA) framework for modeling and forecasting typhoon paths using historical…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-06 Jimin Kim

An impact of climate change is the increase in frequency and intensity of extreme precipitation events. However, confidently predicting the likelihood of extreme precipitation at seasonal scales remains an outstanding challenge. Here, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-15 Daniel Salles Civitarese , Daniela Szwarcman , Bianca Zadrozny , Campbell Watson

Understanding how typhoons respond to localized perturbations in their environmental fields is fundamental to assessing the limits of predictability and exploring the potential for track or intensity intervention. This study develops a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-22 Yuehua Peng , Yuchen Zhang , Qin Huang , Chengzhi Ye , Jingsong Yang

Current operational air quality forecasts are computationally expensive, sensitive to errors in physics and emissions, and often neglect weather-related uncertainty. To address these limitations, we present AirFusion, a hybrid,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-24 Ao Ding , Aoxing Zhang , Tzung-May Fu , Yuanlong Huang , Qianjie Chen , Yuyang Chen , Jiajia Mo , Wei Tao , Wai-Chi Cheng , Lei Zhu , Xin Yang , Guy Brasseur

Hybrid modeling aims to augment traditional theory-driven models with machine learning components that learn unknown parameters, sub-models or correction terms from data. In this work, we build on FluxRGNN, a recently developed hybrid model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-09 Fiona Lippert , Bart Kranstauber , Patrick Forré , E. Emiel van Loon

Understanding and accurately predicting hydrogen diffusion in materials is challenging due to the complex interactions between hydrogen defects and the crystal lattice. These interactions span large length and time scales, making them…

Machine Learning (ML)-based force fields are attracting ever-increasing interest due to their capacity to span spatiotemporal scales of classical interatomic potentials at quantum-level accuracy. They can be trained based on high-fidelity…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2024-06-03 Sebastien Röcken , Julija Zavadlav

The advents of Artificial Intelligence (AI)-driven models marks a paradigm shift in risk management strategies for meteorological hazards. This study specifically employs tropical cyclones (TCs) as a focal example. We engineer a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-04-30 Kairui Feng , Dazhi Xi , Wei Ma , Cao Wang , Yuanlong Li , Xuanhong Chen

Early fault detection and timely maintenance scheduling can significantly mitigate operational risks in NPPs and enhance the reliability of operator decision-making. Therefore, it is necessary to develop an efficient Prognostics and Health…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-11-14 Siwei Li , Jiayan Fang , Yichun Wua , Wei Wang , Chengxin Li , Jiangwen Chen

Quantifying changes in the probability and magnitude of extreme flooding events is key to mitigating their impacts. While hydrodynamic data are inherently spatially dependent, traditional spatial models such as Gaussian processes are poorly…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-06 Reetam Majumder , Brian J. Reich , Benjamin A. Shaby

Accurately predicting when and how materials fail is critical to designing safe, reliable structures, mechanical systems, and engineered components that operate under stress. Yet, fracture behavior remains difficult to model across the…

Accurate prediction of future agent trajectories is a critical challenge for ensuring safe and efficient autonomous navigation, particularly in complex urban environments characterized by multiple plausible future scenarios. In this paper,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-07-29 Haichuan Li , Tomi Westerlund

Forecasting geopolitical conflict from data sources like the Global Database of Events, Language, and Tone (GDELT) is a critical challenge for national security. The inherent sparsity, burstiness, and overdispersion of such data cause…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-27 Hsin-Hsiung Huang , Hayden Hampton

Tropical cyclone (TC) intensity forecasting is crucial for early disaster warning and emergency decision-making. Numerous researchers have explored deep-learning methods to address computational and post-processing issues in operational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-31 Xinyu Wang , Lei Liu , Kang Chen , Tao Han , Bin Li , Lei Bai

Physical motion models offer interpretable predictions for the motion of vehicles. However, some model parameters, such as those related to aero- and hydrodynamics, are expensive to measure and are often only roughly approximated reducing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Alexandra Baier , Zeyd Boukhers , Steffen Staab

We present a hybrid continuum-atomistic scheme which combines molecular dynamics (MD) simulations with on-the-fly machine learning techniques for the accurate and efficient prediction of multiscale fluidic systems. By using a Gaussian…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2016-03-16 David Stephenson , James R Kermode , Duncan A Lockerby

Machine learning (ML)-based weather models have rapidly risen to prominence due to their greater accuracy and speed than traditional forecasts based on numerical weather prediction (NWP), recently outperforming traditional ensembles in…

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