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Multi-model projections in climate studies are performed to quantify uncertainty and improve reliability in climate projections. The challenging issue is that there is no unique way to obtain performance metrics, nor is there any consensus…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-09-13 Ehsan Mosadegh , Iman Babaeian

In a changing climate, artificial intelligence (AI) weather models have the potential to provide cheaper, faster, and more accurate forecasts of high-impact weather events. To realize this potential and gauge trustworthiness, there is a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-24 Rebecca Baiman , Ankur Mahesh , Elizabeth A. Barnes

We propose a physics-constrained machine learning method-based on reservoir computing- to time-accurately predict extreme events and long-term velocity statistics in a model of turbulent shear flow. The method leverages the strengths of two…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-04-14 Nguyen Anh Khoa Doan , Wolfgang Polifke , Luca Magri

We present the first application of spectral nudging in a probabilistic ensemble forecasting framework, combining the physics-based ECMWF Integrated Forecasting System ensemble (IFS-ENS) with forecasts from the probabilistic machine-learned…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-09 Inna Polichtchouk , Simon Lang , Sarah-Jane Lock , Michael Maier-Gerber , Peter Dueben

Accurate typhoon track forecasting is crucial for early system warning and disaster response. While Transformer-based models have demonstrated strong performance in modeling the temporal dynamics of dense trajectories of humans and vehicles…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Lincan Li , Eren Erman Ozguven , Yue Zhao , Guang Wang , Yiqun Xie , Yushun Dong

Efficient inventory management and accurate sales forecasting are critical challenges in large-scale e-commerce platforms such as Amazon, where stockouts and overstocking can lead to substantial financial losses and operational…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Zheqi Hu , Yiwen Hu , Hanwu Li

Attention and State-Space Models (SSMs) when combined in a hybrid network in sequence or in parallel provide complementary strengths. In a hybrid sequential pipeline they alternate between applying a transformer to the input and then…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-05-29 Mohammad Mahdi Moradi , Walid Ahmed , Shuangyue Wen , Sudhir Mudur , Weiwei Zhang , Yang Liu

Among various soft computing approaches for time series forecasting, Fuzzy Cognitive Maps (FCM) have shown remarkable results as a tool to model and analyze the dynamics of complex systems. FCM have similarities to recurrent neural networks…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-01-11 Omid Orang , Petrônio Cândido de Lima e Silva , Frederico Gadelha Guimarães

Projecting climate change is a generalization problem: we extrapolate the recent past using physical models across past, present, and future climates. Current climate models require representations of processes that occur at scales smaller…

PPMLR-MHD is a new magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) model used to simulate the interactions of the solar wind with the magnetosphere, which has been proved to be the key element of the space weather cause-and-effect chain process from the Sun to…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2016-07-11 Xiangyu Guo , Binbin Tang , Jian Tao , Zhaohui Huang , Zhihui Du

Accurate weather forecasting is essential for understanding and mitigating weather-related impacts. In this paper, we present PuYun, an autoregressive cascade model that leverages large kernel attention convolutional networks. The model's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-13 Shengchen Zhu , Yiming Chen , Peiying Yu , Xiang Qu , Yuxiao Zhou , Yiming Ma , Zhizhan Zhao , Yukai Liu , Hao Mi , Bin Wang

Marine oil spills pose grave environmental and economic risks, threatening marine ecosystems, coastlines, and dependent industries. Predicting and managing oil spill trajectories is highly complex, due to the interplay of physical,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-08-19 Hadas C. Kuzmenko , David Ehevich , Oren Gal

Deep learning models, despite their popularity, face challenges such as long training times and a lack of interpretability. In contrast, fuzzy inference systems offer a balance of accuracy and transparency. This paper addresses the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-06-27 Kaike Sa Teles Rocha Alves , Eduardo Pestana de Aguiar

Simulating spatiotemporal turbulence with high fidelity remains a cornerstone challenge in computational fluid dynamics (CFD) due to its intricate multiscale nature and prohibitive computational demands. Traditional approaches typically…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-07-01 Xiantao Fan , Deepak Akhare , Jian-Xun Wang

The accumulated remote sensing data of altimeters and scatterometers have provided a new opportunity to forecast the ocean states and improve the knowledge in ocean/atmosphere exchanges. Few previous studies have focused on sea level…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-06-16 Guosong Wang , Xidong Wang , Xinrong Wu , Kexiu Liu , Yiquan Qi , Chunjian Sun , Hongli Fu

The prediction of critical heat flux (CHF) using machine learning (ML) approaches has become a highly active research activity in recent years, the goal of which is to build models more accurate than current conventional approaches such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Aidan Furlong , Robert Salko , Xingang Zhao , Xu Wu

Climate models are complicated software systems that approximate atmospheric and oceanic fluid mechanics at a coarse spatial resolution. Typical climate forecasts only explicitly resolve processes larger than 100 km and approximate any…

We develop a hybrid Monte Carlo method to efficiently compute the physical observables from the samplings of the Laughlin and the Moore-Read wave functions of fractional quantum Hall (FQH) systems. With the advancements in methodology,…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2026-02-20 Ting-Tung Wang , Ha Quang Trung , Qianhui Xu , Min Long , Bo Yang , Zi Yang Meng

A model's interpretability is essential to many practical applications such as clinical decision support systems. In this paper, a novel interpretable machine learning method is presented, which can model the relationship between input…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-06 Heming Yao , Harm Derksen , Jessica R. Golbus , Justin Zhang , Keith D. Aaronson , Jonathan Gryak , Kayvan Najarian

Accurate models are essential for design, performance prediction, control, and diagnostics in complex engineering systems. Physics-based models excel during the design phase but often become outdated during system deployment due to changing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Zihan Liu , Prashant N. Kambali , C. Nataraj
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