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Machine learning classification tasks often benefit from predicting a set of possible labels with confidence scores to capture uncertainty. However, existing methods struggle with the high-dimensional nature of the data and the lack of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-08 Rui Luo , Zhixin Zhou

Prediction sets provide a means of quantifying the uncertainty in predictive tasks. Using held out calibration data, conformal prediction and risk control can produce prediction sets that exhibit statistically valid error control in a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-05 Bror Hultberg , Dave Zachariah , Antônio H. Ribeiro

Machine learning (ML) is transforming healthcare, but safe clinical decisions demand reliable uncertainty estimates that standard ML models fail to provide. Conformal prediction (CP) is a popular tool that allows users to turn heuristic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-18 Klaus-Rudolf Kladny , Bernhard Schölkopf , Lisa Koch , Christian F. Baumgartner , Michael Muehlebach

This paper presents a novel approach to catheter and line position detection in chest X-rays, combining multi-task learning with risk-sensitive conformal prediction to address critical clinical requirements. Our model simultaneously…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-29 Long Hui

In safety-critical applications such as medical image segmentation, prediction systems must provide reliability guarantees that extend beyond conventional expected loss control. While risk-controlling prediction sets (RCPS) offer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Jiayi Huang , Amirmohammad Farzaneh , Osvaldo Simeone

Conformalized Quantile Regression (CQR) is a recently proposed method for constructing prediction intervals for a response $Y$ given covariates $X$, without making distributional assumptions. However, existing constructions of CQR can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-16 Raphael Rossellini , Rina Foygel Barber , Rebecca Willett

Conformal Prediction (CP) is a distribution-free method for constructing prediction sets with marginal finite-sample coverage guarantees, making it a suitable framework for reliable uncertainty quantification in safety-critical object…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Christopher Ries , Moussa Kassem Sbeyti , Nicolas Bianco , Nadja Klein

Echocardiography plays a fundamental role in the extraction of important clinical parameters (e.g. left ventricular volume and ejection fraction) required to determine the presence and severity of heart-related conditions. When deploying…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-19 Thierry Judge , Olivier Bernard , Woo-Jin Cho Kim , Alberto Gomez , Arian Beqiri , Agisilaos Chartsias , Pierre-Marc Jodoin

Score-based generative modeling, informally referred to as diffusion models, continue to grow in popularity across several important domains and tasks. While they provide high-quality and diverse samples from empirical distributions,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-29 Jacopo Teneggi , Matthew Tivnan , J. Webster Stayman , Jeremias Sulam

Incidental detection and quantification of coronary calcium in CT scans could lead to the early introduction of lifesaving clinical interventions. However, over-reporting could negatively affect patient wellbeing and unnecessarily burden…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-05 Olivier Jaubert , Salman Mohammadi , Keith A. Goatman , Shadia S. Mikhael , Conor Bradley , Rebecca Hughes , Richard Good , John H. Hipwell , Sonia Dahdouh

We study the problem of quantifying epistemic predictive uncertainty (EPU) -- that is, uncertainty faced at prediction time due to the existence of multiple plausible predictive models -- within the framework of conformal prediction (CP).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Siu Lun Chau , Soroush H. Zargarbashi , Yusuf Sale , Michele Caprio

Objectives To develop and validate a deep learning-based diagnostic model incorporating uncertainty estimation so as to facilitate radiologists in the preoperative differentiation of the pathological subtypes of renal cell carcinoma (RCC)…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-14 Ni Yao , Hang Hu , Kaicong Chen , Chen Zhao , Yuan Guo , Boya Li , Jiaofen Nan , Yanting Li , Chuang Han , Fubao Zhu , Weihua Zhou , Li Tian

As a natural extension to the standard conformal prediction method, several conformal risk control methods have been recently developed and applied to various learning problems. In this work, we seek to control the conformal risk in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-02 Yunpeng Xu , Wenge Guo , Zhi Wei

Deep learning models often achieve expert-level accuracy in medical image classification but suffer from a critical flaw: semantic incoherence. These high-confidence mistakes that are semantically incoherent (e.g., classifying a malignant…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-15 Abolfazl Mohammadi-Seif , Ricardo Baeza-Yates

While deep learning offers tremendous promise for scientific and medical imaging, any failures and hallucinations (predictions that do not coincide with reality) are hard to pinpoint and can have serious downstream consequences. Uncertainty…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-26 Cassandra Tong Ye , Shamus Li , Tyler King , Kristina Monakhova

Measurement quality assurance (QA) practices play a key role in the safe use of Intensity Modulated Radiation Therapies (IMRT) for cancer treatment. These practices have reduced measurement-based IMRT QA failure below 1%. However, these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-16 Kevin He , David Adam , Sarah Han-Oh , Anqi Liu

Modern science, technology, and politics are all permeated by data that comes from people, measurements, or computational processes. While this data is often incomplete, corrupt, or lacking in sufficient accuracy and precision, explicit…

We intend to create a new risk assessment methodology that combines the best characteristics of both risk score and machine learning models. More specifically, we aim to develop a method that, besides having a good performance, offers a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-19 Francisco Valente , Jorge Henriques , Simão Paredes , Teresa Rocha , Paulo de Carvalho , João Morais

In clinical applications, the utility of segmentation models is often based on the accuracy of derived downstream metrics such as organ size, rather than by the pixel-level accuracy of the segmentation masks themselves. Thus, uncertainty…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-03 Matt Y. Cheung , Ashok Veeraraghavan , Guha Balakrishnan

Breast cancer is the most common cancers and early detection from mammography screening is crucial in improving patient outcomes. Assessing mammographic breast density is clinically important as the denser breasts have higher risk and are…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-27 Charles Lu , Ken Chang , Praveer Singh , Jayashree Kalpathy-Cramer