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Image generation can provide physicians with an imaging diagnosis basis in the prediction of Alzheimer's Disease (AD). Recent research has shown that long-term AD predictions by image generation often face difficulties maintaining…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Xin Hong , Xinze Sun , Yinhao Li , Yen-Wei Chen

Accurately modeling the correlation structure of errors is critical for reliable uncertainty quantification in probabilistic time series forecasting. While recent deep learning models for multivariate time series have developed efficient…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-11 Vincent Zhihao Zheng , Lijun Sun

Tree-based methods are popular nonparametric tools in studying time-to-event outcomes. In this article, we introduce a novel framework for survival trees and ensembles, where the trees partition the dynamic survivor population and can…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-14 Yifei Sun , Sy Han Chiou , Mei-Cheng Wang

We propose a nonparametric method for dynamic prediction in event history analysis with high-dimensional, time-dependent covariates. The approach estimates future conditional hazards by combining landmarking supermodels with gradient…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Oliver Lunding Sandqvist

Biomarkers are critical tools in the diagnosis and monitoring of neurodegenerative diseases. Reliable quantification depends on assay validity, especially the demonstration of parallelism between diluted biological samples and the assay's…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-26 Axel Petzold , Joachim Pum , David P Crabb

The Latent Block Model (LBM) is a model-based method to cluster simultaneously the $d$ columns and $n$ rows of a data matrix. Parameter estimation in LBM is a difficult and multifaceted problem. Although various estimation strategies have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-26 Vincent Brault , Christine Keribin , Mahendra Mariadassou

Recent advancements in medicine have confirmed that brain disorders often comprise multiple subtypes of mechanisms, developmental trajectories, or severity levels. Such heterogeneity is often associated with demographic aspects (e.g., sex)…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-08 Magdalini Paschali , Yu Hang Jiang , Spencer Siegel , Camila Gonzalez , Kilian M. Pohl , Akshay Chaudhari , Qingyu Zhao

We propose a difference-based nonparametric methodology for the estimation and inference of the time-varying auto-covariance functions of a locally stationary time series when it is contaminated by a complex trend with both abrupt and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-12 Yan Cui , Michael Levine , Zhou Zhou

Ratio-based biomarkers (RBBs), such as the proportion of necrotic tissue within a tumor, are widely used in clinical practice to support diagnosis, prognosis, and treatment planning. These biomarkers are typically estimated from…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Jiameng Li , Teodora Popordanoska , Aleksei Tiulpin , Sebastian G. Gruber , Frederik Maes , Matthew B. Blaschko

Personalized head and neck cancer therapeutics have greatly improved survival rates for patients, but are often leading to understudied long-lasting symptoms which affect quality of life. Sequential rule mining (SRM) is a promising…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2023-09-28 Carla Floricel , Andrew Wentzel , Abdallah Mohamed , C. David Fuller , Guadalupe Canahuate , G. Elisabeta Marai

Deep neural networks are often applied to medical images to automate the problem of medical diagnosis. However, a more clinically relevant question that practitioners usually face is how to predict the future trajectory of a disease.…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-20 Huy Hoang Nguyen , Matthew B. Blaschko , Simo Saarakkala , Aleksei Tiulpin

Anomaly detection on multivariate time-series is of great importance in both data mining research and industrial applications. Recent approaches have achieved significant progress in this topic, but there is remaining limitations. One major…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-07 Hang Zhao , Yujing Wang , Juanyong Duan , Congrui Huang , Defu Cao , Yunhai Tong , Bixiong Xu , Jing Bai , Jie Tong , Qi Zhang

The parametric estimators applied by rolling are commonly used in the analysis of time series with nonlinear features, such as structural change due to time varying parameters and local trends. This paper examines the properties of rolling…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-16 Christian Gourieroux , Joann Jasiak

Predictive modelling is vital to guide preventive efforts. Whilst large-scale prospective cohort studies and a diverse toolkit of available machine learning (ML) algorithms have facilitated such survival task efforts, choosing the…

Graph classification in medical imaging and drug discovery requires accuracy and robust uncertainty quantification. To address this need, we introduce Conditional Prediction ROC (CP-ROC) bands, offering uncertainty quantification for ROC…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Yujia Wu , Bo Yang , Elynn Chen , Yuzhou Chen , Zheshi Zheng

In non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) clinical trials, tumor burden (TB) is a key longitudinal biomarker for assessing treatment effects. Typically, standard-of-care (SOC) therapies and some novel interventions initially decrease TB;…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-28 Yixiang Qu , Ethan M. Alt , Weibin Zhong , Jeen Liu , Chenguang Wang , Joseph G. Ibrahim

The propensity score is widely used for causal inference in observational studies, but common parametric estimators can produce biased and inefficient effect estimates when model assumptions are violated. Nonparametric approaches reduce…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-09 Maosen Peng , Yan Li , Chong Wu , Liang Li

Clinical case reports encode temporal patient trajectories that are often underexploited by traditional machine learning methods relying on structured data. In this work, we introduce the forecasting problem from textual time series, where…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Shahriar Noroozizadeh , Sayantan Kumar , Jeremy C. Weiss

In modern experimental science, there is a common problem of estimating the coefficients of a linear regression in a context where the variables of interest cannot be observed simultaneously. When there is a categorical variable that is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-10 Polina Arsenteva , Mohamed Amine Benadjaoud , Hervé Cardot

Accurate diagnostic tests are essential for effective screening and treatment. However, individual biomarkers often fail to provide sufficient diagnostic accuracy, as they typically capture only one aspect of the complex disease process.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-08 Ainesh Sewak , Sandra Siegfried , Torsten Hothorn