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For supervised classification problems, this paper considers estimating the query's label probability through local regression using observed covariates. Well-known nonparametric kernel smoother and $k$-nearest neighbor ($k$-NN) estimator,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-25 Ruixing Cao , Akifumi Okuno , Kei Nakagawa , Hidetoshi Shimodaira

Time series are often complex and rich in information but sparsely labeled and therefore challenging to model. In this paper, we propose a self-supervised framework for learning generalizable representations for non-stationary time series.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-03 Sana Tonekaboni , Danny Eytan , Anna Goldenberg

Predicting cancer-associated clinical events is challenging in oncology. In Multiple Myeloma (MM), a cancer of plasma cells, disease progression is determined by changes in biomarkers, such as serum concentration of the paraprotein secreted…

Purpose: Automated medical image-based prediction of clinical outcomes, such as overall survival (OS), has great potential in improving patient prognostics and personalized treatment planning. We developed a deep regression framework using…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Sambit Tarai , Ashish Chauhan , Elin Lundström , Johan Öfverstedt , Therese Sjöholm , Veronica Sanchez Rodriguez , Håkan Ahlström , Joel Kullberg

An open scientific challenge is how to classify events with reliable measures of uncertainty, when we have a mechanistic model of the data-generating process but the distribution over both labels and latent nuisance parameters is different…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-02 Luca Masserano , Alex Shen , Michele Doro , Tommaso Dorigo , Rafael Izbicki , Ann B. Lee

Neuroblastoma is a strongly heterogeneous cancer with very diverse clinical courses that may vary from spontaneous regression to fatal progression; an accurate patient's risk estimation at diagnosis is essential to design appropriate tumor…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-02-23 Valerio Maggio , Marco Chierici , Giuseppe Jurman , Cesare Furlanello

Longitudinal voice biomarkers provide a non-invasive source of information for monitoring Parkinson's disease progression, but their statistical analysis is difficult because repeated measurements from the same subject are correlated,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-28 Ran Tong , Lanruo Wang , Tong Wang , Wei Yan

Natural language processing (NLP) shows promise as a means to automate the labelling of hospital-scale neuroradiology magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) datasets for computer vision applications. To date, however, there has been no thorough…

Alzheimer's Disease (AD) research has shifted to focus on biomarker trajectories and their potential use in understanding the underlying AD-related pathological process. A conceptual framework was proposed in modern AD research that…

Applications · Statistics 2024-09-12 Zhuojun Tang , Yuxin Zhu , Kexin Zhang , Zheyu Wang

In order to find effective treatments for Alzheimer's disease (AD), we need to identify subjects at risk of AD as early as possible. To this end, recently developed disease progression models can be used to perform early diagnosis, as well…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-11 Razvan V. Marinescu

Recent work has questioned the reliability of graph learning benchmarks, citing concerns around task design, methodological rigor, and data suitability. In this extended abstract, we contribute to this discussion by focusing on evaluation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Filip Cornell , Oleg Smirnov , Gabriela Zarzar Gandler , Lele Cao

Long-run covariance matrix estimation is the building block of time series inference. The corresponding difference-based estimator, which avoids detrending, has attracted considerable interest due to its robustness to both smooth and abrupt…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-29 Lujia Bai , Weichi Wu

Data-driven methods for modeling dynamic systems have received considerable attention as they provide a mechanism for control synthesis directly from the observed time-series data. In the absence of prior assumptions on how the time-series…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-09-24 Atiye Alaeddini , Siavash Alemzadeh , Afshin Mesbahi , Mehran Mesbahi

Causal variable selection in time-varying treatment settings is challenging due to evolving confounding effects. Existing methods mainly focus on time-fixed exposures and are not directly applicable to time-varying scenarios. We propose a…

This paper studies nonparametric identification in market level demand models for differentiated products with heterogeneous consumers. We consider a general class of models that allows for the individual specific coefficients to vary…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-19 Fabian Dunker , Stefan Hoderlein , Hiroaki Kaido

In the analysis of prognosis studies with time-to-event outcomes, dichotomization of patients is often made. As the evaluations of prognostic capacity, the survivals of groups with high/low expression of the biomarker are often estimated by…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-01 Yi Zhou , Ao Huang , Satoshi Hattori

Linear causal analysis is central to a wide range of important application spanning finance, the physical sciences, and engineering. Much of the existing literature in linear causal analysis operates in the time domain. Unfortunately, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-03-11 Francois W. Belletti , Evan R. Sparks , Michael J. Franklin , Alexandre M. Bayen , Joseph E. Gonzalez

Time series forecasting is a crucial component of many important applications, ranging from forecasting the stock markets to energy load prediction. The high-dimensionality, velocity and variety of the data collected in these applications…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-25 Nikolaos Passalis , Anastasios Tefas , Juho Kanniainen , Moncef Gabbouj , Alexandros Iosifidis

We propose a procedure for imputing missing values of time-dependent covariates in a survival model using fully conditional specification. Specifically, we focus on imputing missing values of a longitudinal marker in joint modeling of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-29 Havi Murad , Nirit Agay , Rachel Dankner

In observational studies, the identification of causal estimands depends on the no unmeasured confounding (NUC) assumption. As this assumption is not testable from observed data, sensitivity analysis plays an important role in observational…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-28 Md Abdul Basit , Mahbub A. H. M. Latif , Abdus S Wahed
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