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In the context of increasing demands for long-term multi-energy load forecasting in real-world applications, this paper introduces Patchformer, a novel model that integrates patch embedding with encoder-decoder Transformer-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-17 Qiuyi Hong , Fanlin Meng , Felipe Maldonado

In multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF), accurately modeling the intricate dependencies among multiple variables remains a significant challenge due to the inherent limitations of traditional approaches. Most existing models adopt…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-19 Yuchen Luo , Xinyu Li , Liuhua Peng , Mingming Gong

Transformer-based methods have achieved impressive results in time series forecasting. However, existing Transformers still exhibit limitations in sequence modeling as they tend to overemphasize temporal dependencies. This incurs additional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Tan Wang , Yun Wei Dong , Qi Wang

Time series forecasting is a crucial challenge with significant applications in areas such as weather prediction, stock market analysis, and scientific simulations. This paper introduces an embedded decomposed transformer, 'EDformer', for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Sanjay Chakraborty , Ibrahim Delibasoglu , Fredrik Heintz

Multivariate time series forecasting is crucial across a wide range of domains. While presenting notable progress for the Transformer architecture, iTransformer still lags behind the latest MLP-based models. We attribute this performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Zhiwei Zhang , Xinyi Du , Xuanchi Guo , Weihao Wang , Wenjuan Han

This paper presents \textbf{FreEformer}, a simple yet effective model that leverages a \textbf{Fre}quency \textbf{E}nhanced Trans\textbf{former} for multivariate time series forecasting. Our work is based on the assumption that the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-27 Wenzhen Yue , Yong Liu , Xianghua Ying , Bowei Xing , Ruohao Guo , Ji Shi

Multivariate Time Series (MTS) forecasting involves modeling temporal dependencies within historical records. Transformers have demonstrated remarkable performance in MTS forecasting due to their capability to capture long-term…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-17 Yifan Zhang , Rui Wu , Sergiu M. Dascalu , Frederick C. Harris

Recently, the superiority of Transformer for long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) tasks has been challenged, particularly since recent work has shown that simple models can outperform numerous Transformer-based approaches. This suggests…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Shengsheng Lin , Weiwei Lin , Wentai Wu , Songbo Wang , Yongxiang Wang

In the burgeoning ecosystem of Internet of Things, multivariate time series (MTS) data has become ubiquitous, highlighting the fundamental role of time series forecasting across numerous applications. The crucial challenge of long-term MTS…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-06 Zhenwei Zhang , Linghang Meng , Yuantao Gu

There has been a recent surge of interest in time series modeling using the Transformer architecture. However, forecasting multivariate time series with Transformer presents a unique challenge as it requires modeling both temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-04 Yu-Hsiang Lan , Eric K. Oermann

Transformers have been actively studied for time-series forecasting in recent years. While often showing promising results in various scenarios, traditional Transformers are not designed to fully exploit the characteristics of time-series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Gerald Woo , Chenghao Liu , Doyen Sahoo , Akshat Kumar , Steven Hoi

Although Transformer-based methods have significantly improved state-of-the-art results for long-term series forecasting, they are not only computationally expensive but more importantly, are unable to capture the global view of time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-17 Tian Zhou , Ziqing Ma , Qingsong Wen , Xue Wang , Liang Sun , Rong Jin

The self-attention mechanism in Transformer architecture, invariant to sequence order, necessitates positional embeddings to encode temporal order in time series prediction. We argue that this reliance on positional embeddings restricts the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-21 Yongbo Yu , Weizhong Yu , Feiping Nie , Xuelong Li

Transformer-based models have emerged as powerful tools for multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF). However, existing Transformer models often fall short of capturing both intricate dependencies across variate and temporal dimensions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-10 Juncheng Liu , Chenghao Liu , Gerald Woo , Yiwei Wang , Bryan Hooi , Caiming Xiong , Doyen Sahoo

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) is a crucial aspect of modern society, playing a pivotal role in facilitating long-term planning and developing early warning systems. While many Transformer-based models have recently been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-31 Jiaxin Gao , Wenbo Hu , Yuntian Chen

Reliable uncertainty quantification is critical in multivariate time series forecasting problems arising in domains such as energy systems and transportation networks, among many others. Although Transformer-based architectures have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Rajdeep Pathak , Rahul Goswami , Madhurima Panja , Palash Ghosh , Tanujit Chakraborty

Long-term weather forecasting is critical for socioeconomic planning and disaster preparedness. While recent approaches employ finetuning to extend prediction horizons, they remain constrained by the issues of catastrophic forgetting, error…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Hao Chen , Tao Han , Jie Zhang , Song Guo , Fenghua Ling , Lei Bai

Multi-dimensional time series data, such as matrix and tensor-variate time series, are increasingly prevalent in fields such as economics, finance, and climate science. Traditional Transformer models, though adept with sequential data, do…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Linghang Kong , Elynn Chen , Yuzhou Chen , Yuefeng Han

Multivariate time-series (MTS) forecasting is fundamental to applications ranging from urban mobility and resource management to climate modeling. While recent generative models based on denoising diffusion have advanced state-of-the-art…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Seyed Mohamad Moghadas , Bruno Cornelis , Adrian Munteanu

This paper presents a novel approach to electricity price forecasting (EPF) using a pure Transformer model. As opposed to other alternatives, no other recurrent network is used in combination to the attention mechanism. Hence, showing that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-11 Oscar Llorente , Jose Portela
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