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We present a purely deep neural network-based approach for estimating long memory parameters of time series models that incorporate the phenomenon of long-range dependence. Parameters, such as the Hurst exponent, are critical in…

The paper deals with a question of robustness of inferences, carried out on a continuous-time stationary process contaminated by a small trend, to this departure from stationarity. We show that a smoothed periodogram approach to parameter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-27 M. S. Ginovyan , A. A. Sahakyan

This paper introduces a novel periodogram-like function, called the expectile periodogram, for modeling spectral features of time series and detecting hidden periodicities. The expectile periodogram is constructed from trigonometric…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Tianbo Chen , Ta-Hsin Li , Hanbing Zhu , Wenwu Gao

The development of robust generative models for highly varied non-stationary time series data is a complex yet important problem. Traditional models for time series data prediction, such as Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), are inefficient and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-18 Anton Johansson , Arunselvan Ramaswamy

We suggest an adaptive sampling rule for obtaining information from noisy signals using wavelet methods. The technique involves increasing the sampling rate when relatively high-frequency terms are incorporated into the wavelet estimator,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Peter Hall , Spiridon Penev

We consider the problem of estimating the period of an unknown periodic function observed in additive noise sampled at irregularly spaced time instants in a semiparametric setting. To solve this problem, we propose a novel estimator based…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-01-03 Céline Lévy-Leduc , Eric Moulines , François Roueff

Researchers have used many different methods to detect the possibility of long-term dependence (long memory) in stock market returns, but evidence is in general mixed. In this paper, three different tests, (namely Rescaled Range (R/S), its…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-02 Adel Sharkasi , Heather J. Ruskin , Martin Crane

In this paper we present a wavelet based algorithm that is able to detect superimposed periodic signals in data with low signal-noise ratio. In this context, the results given by classical period determination methods highly depend on the…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 X. Otazu , M. Ribo , M. Peracaula , J. M. Paredes , J. Nunez

We look into the nonparametric regression estimation with additive and multiplicative noise and construct adaptive thresholding estimators based on Laguerre series. The proposed approach achieves asymptotically near-optimal convergence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-23 Rida Benhaddou

This paper introduces a novel multivariate volatility modeling framework, named Long Short-Term Memory enhanced BEKK (LSTM-BEKK), that integrates deep learning into multivariate GARCH processes. By combining the flexibility of recurrent…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-04 Haoyuan Wang , Chen Liu , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Chao Wang

This work proposes a new procedure for estimating the non-stationary spatial covariance function for Spatial-Temporal Deformation. The proposed procedure is based on a monotonic function approach. The deformation functions are expanded as a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-05 Yangyang Chen , Pedro Alberto Morettin , Ronaldo Dias , Chang Chiann

This article combines wavelet analysis techniques with machine learning methods for univariate time series forecasting, focusing on three main contributions. Firstly, we consider the use of Daubechies wavelets with different numbers of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-14 Guy P Nason , James L. Wei

For time series data observed at non-random and possibly non-equidistant time points, we estimate the trend function nonparametrically. Under the assumption of a bounded total variation of the function and low-order moment conditions on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-13 Michael H. Neumann , Anne Leucht

We provide a simple method to estimate the parameters of multivariate stochastic volatility models with latent factor structures. These models are very useful as they alleviate the standard curse of dimensionality, allowing the number of…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-02-15 Giorgio Calzolari , Roxana Halbleib , Christian Mücher

This paper investigates the use of bootstrap-based bias correction of semi-parametric estimators of the long memory parameter in fractionally integrated processes. The re-sampling method involves the application of the sieve bootstrap to…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-28 D. S. Poskitt , Gael M. Martin , Simone D. Grose

Estimating value-at-risk on time series data with possibly heteroscedastic dynamics is a highly challenging task. Typically, we face a small data problem in combination with a high degree of non-linearity, causing difficulties for both…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-22 Weronika Ormaniec , Marcin Pitera , Sajad Safarveisi , Thorsten Schmidt

This paper is first devoted to study an adaptive wavelet based estimator of the long memory parameter for linear processes in a general semi-parametric frame. This is an extension of Bardet {\it et al.} (2008) which only concerned Gaussian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-12-08 Jean-Marc Bardet , Hatem Bibi

Spectral singularities at non-zero frequencies play an important role in investigating cyclic or seasonal time series. The publication [2] introduced the generalized filtered method-of-moments approach to simultaneously estimate singularity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-13 Antoine Ayache , Myriam Fradon , Ravindi Nanayakkara , Andriy Olenko

The paper considers two-phase random design linear regression models. The errors and the regressors are stationary long-range dependent Gaussian. The regression parameters, the scale parameters and the change-point are estimated using a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-06-10 Gabriela Ciuperca

The purpose of this note is to prove a lower bound for the estimation of the memory parameter of a stationary long memory process. The memory parameter is defined here as the index of regular variation of the spectral density at 0. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-01-25 Philippe Soulier