Trend estimation for time series with polynomial-tailed noise
Statistics Theory
2025-02-13 v1 Statistics Theory
Abstract
For time series data observed at non-random and possibly non-equidistant time points, we estimate the trend function nonparametrically. Under the assumption of a bounded total variation of the function and low-order moment conditions on the errors we propose a nonlinear wavelet estimator which uses a Haar-type basis adapted to a possibly non-dyadic sample size. An appropriate thresholding scheme for sparse signals with an additive polynomial-tailed noise is first derived in an abstract framework and then applied to the problem of trend estimation.
Cite
@article{arxiv.2502.08280,
title = {Trend estimation for time series with polynomial-tailed noise},
author = {Michael H. Neumann and Anne Leucht},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2502.08280},
year = {2025}
}