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Growth rate of the world Growth Domestic Product (GDP) is analysed to determine possible pathways of the future economic growth. The analysis is based on using the latest data of the World Bank and it reveals that the growth rate between…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-03 Ron W Nielsen

We consider a stochastic population model where the intrinsic or demographic noise causes cycling between states before the population eventually goes extinct. A master equation approach coupled with a WKB (Wentzel-Kramers-Brillouin)…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-12-16 Garrett Nieddu , Lora Billings , Eric Forgoston

Biological entities are inherently dynamic. As such, various ecological disciplines use mathematical models to describe temporal evolution. Typically, growth curves are modelled as sigmoids, with the evolution modelled by ordinary…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-09-12 A. Samoletov , B. Vasiev

Models of population growth and extinction are an increasingly popular subject of study. However, consequences of stochasticity and noise in shaping distributions and outcomes are not sufficiently explored. Here we consider a distributed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-11-11 Bertrand Ottino-Löffler , Mehran Kardar

The recent interest in human dynamics has led researchers to investigate the stochastic processes that explain human behaviour in various contexts. Here we propose a generative model to capture the dynamics of survival analysis,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-09-30 Trevor Fenner , Mark Levene , George Loizou

In the present paper we provide the closed form of the path-like solutions for the logistic and $\theta$-logistic stochastic differential equations, along with the exact expressions of both their probability density functions and their…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-28 Nicola Cufaro Petroni , Salvatore De Martino , Silvio De Siena

The growth function of populations is central in biomathematics. The main dogma is the existence of density dependence mechanisms, which can be modelled with distinct functional forms that depend on the size of the population. One important…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-10-15 Harold P. de Vladar

Forest-fire and avalanche models support the notion that frequent catastrophes prevent the growth of very large populations and as such prevent rare large-scale catastrophes. We show that this notion is not universal. A new model class…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-08-08 N. Dori , H. Behar , H. Brot , Y. Louzoun

Stochastic fluctuations are central to the understanding of extinction dynamics. In the context of population models they allow for the description of the transition from the vicinity of a non-trivial fixed point of the deterministic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-08-04 Claudia Cianci , Duccio Fanelli , Alan J. McKane

Traditionally, frequency dependent evolutionary dynamics is described by deterministic replicator dynamics assuming implicitly infinite population sizes. Only recently have stochastic processes been introduced to study evolutionary dynamics…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Arne Traulsen , Jens Christian Claussen , Christoph Hauert

Continuum models for the spatial dynamics of growing cell populations have been widely used to investigate the mechanisms underpinning tissue development and tumour invasion. These models consist of nonlinear partial differential equations…

Tissues and Organs · Quantitative Biology 2019-07-15 Mark AJ Chaplain , Tommaso Lorenzi , Fiona R Macfarlane

Data describing the historical growth of human population global and regional (Western Europe, Eastern Europe, Asia, former USSR, Africa and Latin America) are analysed. Results are in harmony with the earlier analysis of the historical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-04-21 Ron W Nielsen

This paper presents a canonical dual approach for solving a nonlinear population growth problem governed by the well-known logistic equation. Using the finite difference and least squares methods, the nonlinear differential equation is…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2012-06-13 Ning Ruan , David Y. Gao

Over the past century, nonlinear difference and differential equations have been used to understand conditions for species coexistence. However, these models fail to account for random fluctuations due to demographic and environmental…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-02-12 Sebastian J. Schreiber

Recent methods have been developed to map single-cell lineage statistics to population growth. Because population growth selects for exponentially rare phenotypes, these methods inherently depend on sampling large deviations from finite…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-16 Trevor GrandPre , Ethan Levien , Ariel Amir

We consider a hierarchically structured population in which the amount of resources an individual has access to is affected by individuals that are larger, and that the intake of resources by an individual only affects directly the growth…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-07-15 Carles Barril , Àngel Calsina , József Z. Farkas

Dynamics among central sources (hubs) providing a resource and large number of components enjoying and contributing to this resource describes many real life situations. Modeling, controlling, and balancing this dynamics is a general…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-09-22 Inbar Seroussi , Nir Sochen

Demographic noise causes unlimited population growth in a broad class of models which, without noise, would predict a stable finite population. We study this effect on the example of a stochastic birth-death model which includes…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-08-06 Baruch Meerson , Pavel V. Sasorov

We discuss the population dynamics with selection and random diffusion, keeping the total population constant, in a fitness landscape associated with Constraint Satisfaction, a paradigm for difficult optimization problems. We obtain a phase…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-11-23 Tommaso Brotto , Guy Bunin , Jorge Kurchan

In this article, a stochastic individual-based model describing Darwinian evolution of asexual, phenotypic trait-structured population, is studied. We consider a large population with constant population size characterised by a resampling…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-09 Nicolas Champagnat , Vincent Hass