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Neural Processes (NPs; Garnelo et al., 2018a,b) are a rich class of models for meta-learning that map data sets directly to predictive stochastic processes. We provide a rigorous analysis of the standard maximum-likelihood objective used to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-12 Wessel P. Bruinsma , James Requeima , Andrew Y. K. Foong , Jonathan Gordon , Richard E. Turner

Models of dynamical systems based on predictive state representations (PSRs) are defined strictly in terms of observable quantities, in contrast with traditional models (such as Hidden Markov Models) that use latent variables or statespace…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-09 Matthew Rudary , Satinder Singh , David Wingate

We describe a method to model nonlinear dynamical systems using periodic solutions of delay-differential equations. We show that any finite-time trajectory of a nonlinear dynamical system can be loaded approximately into the initial…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2007-05-23 Alexander N. Jourjine

Population dynamics in fields such as molecular biology, epidemiology, and ecology exhibit highly stochastic and non-linear behaviour. In gene regulatory systems in particular, oscillations and multi-stability are especially common. Despite…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-13 Frederick Truman-Williams , Giorgos Minas

Latent dynamics models have emerged as powerful tools for modeling and interpreting neural population activity. Recently, there has been a focus on incorporating simultaneously measured behaviour into these models to further disentangle…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-29 Cole Hurwitz , Akash Srivastava , Kai Xu , Justin Jude , Matthew G. Perich , Lee E. Miller , Matthias H. Hennig

In this paper, we learn dynamics models for parametrized families of dynamical systems with varying properties. The dynamics models are formulated as stochastic processes conditioned on a latent context variable which is inferred from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Jan Achterhold , Joerg Stueckler

Most real world phenomena such as sunlight distribution under a forest canopy, minerals concentration, stock valuation, exhibit nonstationary dynamics i.e. phenomenon variation changes depending on the locality. Nonstationary dynamics pose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-05 Sahil Garg

Learning time-series models is useful for many applications, such as simulation and forecasting. In this study, we consider the problem of actively learning time-series models while taking given safety constraints into account. For…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-12 Christoph Zimmer , Mona Meister , Duy Nguyen-Tuong

The identification of a nonlinear dynamic model is an open topic in control theory, especially from sparse input-output measurements. A fundamental challenge of this problem is that very few to zero prior knowledge is available on both the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-13 Steeven Janny , Quentin Possamai , Laurent Bako , Madiha Nadri , Christian Wolf

Bayesian modelling of dynamic systems must achieve a compromise between providing a complete mechanistic specification of the process while retaining the flexibility to handle those situations in which data is sparse relative to model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-02 Daniel J. Tait , Bruce J. Worton

Planning is a powerful approach to control problems with known environment dynamics. In unknown environments the agent needs to learn a model of the system dynamics to make planning applicable. This is particularly challenging when the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-11 Nathanael Bosch , Jan Achterhold , Laura Leal-Taixé , Jörg Stückler

Modern recording techniques enable neuroscientists to simultaneously study neural activity across large populations of neurons, with capturing predictor-dependent correlations being a fundamental challenge in neuroscience. Moreover, the…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-04 Ganchao Wei

Dynamical systems theory has long provided a foundation for understanding evolving phenomena across scientific domains. Yet, the application of this theory to complex real-world systems remains challenging due to issues in mathematical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Samuel A. Moore , Brian P. Mann , Boyuan Chen

It is difficult to create robust, reusable, and reactive behaviors for robots that can be easily extended and combined. Frameworks such as Behavior Trees are flexible but difficult to characterize, especially when designing reactions and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-08-07 Chris Paxton , Nathan Ratliff , Clemens Eppner , Dieter Fox

Thanks to novel, powerful brain activity recording techniques, we can create data-driven models from thousands of recording channels and large portions of the cortex, which can improve our understanding of brain-states neuromodulation and…

Neural Processes (NPs) are a family of conditional generative models that are able to model a distribution over functions, in a way that allows them to perform predictions at test time conditioned on a number of context points. A recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-14 Jens Petersen , Gregor Köhler , David Zimmerer , Fabian Isensee , Paul F. Jäger , Klaus H. Maier-Hein

Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) provide flexible function approximations for a wide variety of applications when the input variables are in the form of images or spatial data. Although CNNs often outperform traditional statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-24 Yeseul Jeon , Won Chang , Seonghyun Jeong , Sanghoon Han , Jaewoo Park

The Linear Threshold Model (LTM) is widely used to study the propagation of collective behaviors as complex contagions. However, its dependence on discrete states and timesteps restricts its ability to capture the multiple time-scales…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-01 Ian Xul Belaustegui , Himani Sinhmar , Ling-Wei Kong , Andrew Michael Hein , Naomi Ehrich Leonard

A key objective in spatial statistics is to simulate from the distribution of a spatial process at a selection of unobserved locations conditional on observations (i.e., a predictive distribution) to enable spatial prediction and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-17 Julia Walchessen , Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Raphaël Huser , Mikael Kuusela

Deep Learning Gaussian Processes (DL-GP) are proposed as a methodology for analyzing (approximating) computer models that produce heteroskedastic and high-dimensional output. Computer simulation models have many areas of applications,…

Applications · Statistics 2022-09-07 Laura Schultz , Vadim Sokolov
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