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Stochastic dynamic models have been extensively used for the description of processes with uncertainties arising in the operations research, behavioral sciences, and many other application areas. A large class of the problems from these…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-06-01 Thi Kim Thoa Thieu , Roderick Melnik

Neural processes are a family of models which use neural networks to directly parametrise a map from data sets to predictions. Directly parametrising this map enables the use of expressive neural networks in small-data problems where neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-20 Wessel P. Bruinsma

Conditional Density Estimation (CDE) models deal with estimating conditional distributions. The conditions imposed on the distribution are the inputs of the model. CDE is a challenging task as there is a fundamental trade-off between model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-31 Vincent Dutordoir , Hugh Salimbeni , Marc Deisenroth , James Hensman

In this work, we want to learn to model the dynamics of similar yet distinct groups of interacting objects. These groups follow some common physical laws that exhibit specificities that are captured through some vectorial description. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-05 Joao A. Candido Ramos , Lionel Blondé , Stéphane Armand , Alexandros Kalousis

Neural processes (NPs) are models for transfer learning with properties reminiscent of Gaussian Processes (GPs). They are adept at modelling data consisting of few observations of many related functions on the same input space and are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-24 Miguel Garcia-Ortegon , Andreas Bender , Sergio Bacallado

Clinical time series data from electronic health records and medical registries offer unprecedented opportunities to understand patient trajectories and inform medical decision-making. However, leveraging such data presents significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Muhammad Aslanimoghanloo , Ahmed ElGazzar , Marcel van Gerven

We report measurements of the brain activity of subjects engaged in behavioral exchanges with their environments. We observe brain states which are characterized by coordinated oscillation of populations of neurons that are changing rapidly…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Walter J. Freeman , Giuseppe Vitiello

A central challenge in neuroscience is understanding how neural system implements computation through its dynamics. We propose a nonlinear time series model aimed at characterizing interpretable dynamics from neural trajectories. Our model…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-10-28 Yuan Zhao , Il Memming Park

Neural populations exhibit complex recurrent structures that drive behavior, while continuously receiving and integrating external inputs from sensory stimuli, upstream regions, and neurostimulation. However, neural populations are often…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-24 Parsa Vahidi , Omid G. Sani , Maryam M. Shanechi

We extend Neural Processes (NPs) to sequential data through Recurrent NPs or RNPs, a family of conditional state space models. RNPs model the state space with Neural Processes. Given time series observed on fast real-world time scales but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-07 Timon Willi , Jonathan Masci , Jürgen Schmidhuber , Christian Osendorfer

Many complex dynamical phenomena can be effectively modeled by a system that switches among a set of conditionally linear dynamical modes. We consider two such models: the switching linear dynamical system (SLDS) and the switching vector…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-18 Emily B. Fox , Erik B. Sudderth , Michael I. Jordan , Alan S. Willsky

Differential equations are a ubiquitous tool to study dynamics, ranging from physical systems to complex systems, where a large number of agents interact through a graph with non-trivial topological features. Data-driven approximations of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-04-26 Vaiva Vasiliauskaite , Nino Antulov-Fantulin

Complex systems in science and engineering sometimes exhibit behavior that changes across different regimes. Traditional global models struggle to capture the full range of this complex behavior, limiting their ability to accurately…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-24 Okezzi F. Ukorigho , Opeoluwa Owoyele

Dynamic Causal Modeling (DCM) is a Bayesian framework for inferring on hidden (latent) neuronal states, based on measurements of brain activity. Since its introduction in 2003 for functional magnetic resonance imaging data, DCM has been…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-04-08 Inês Pereira , Stefan Frässle , Jakob Heinzle , Dario Schöbi , Cao Tri Do , Moritz Gruber , Klaas E. Stephan

The neural activity in the visual processing is influenced by both external stimuli and internal brain states. Ideally, a neural predictive model should account for both of them. Currently, there are no dynamic encoding models that…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-18 Finn Schmidt , Polina Turishcheva , Suhas Shrinivasan , Fabian H. Sinz

The time it takes for a classifier to make an accurate prediction can be crucial in many behaviour recognition problems. For example, an autonomous vehicle should detect hazardous pedestrian behaviour early enough for it to take appropriate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-27 Joel Janek Dabrowski , Johan Pieter de Villiers , Ashfaqur Rahman , Conrad Beyers

In applied sciences, we often deal with deterministic simulation models that are too slow for simulation-intensive tasks such as calibration or real-time control. In this paper, an emulator for a generic dynamic model, given by a system of…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-06 Carlo Albert

Dynamics of a chaotic spiking neuron model are being studied mathematically and experimentally. The Nonlinear Dynamic State neuron (NDS) is analysed to further understand the model and improve it. Chaos has many interesting properties such…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-10-29 Mohammad Alhawarat , Waleed Nazih , Mohammad Eldesouki

High dimensional time series are endemic in applications of machine learning such as robotics (sensor data), computational biology (gene expression data), vision (video sequences) and graphics (motion capture data). Practical nonlinear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-07-26 Andreas C. Damianou , Michalis K. Titsias , Neil D. Lawrence

Many real world systems exhibit a quasi linear or weakly nonlinear behavior during normal operation, and a hard saturation effect for high peaks of the input signal. In this paper, a methodology to identify a parsimonious discrete-time…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-05-17 Rishi Relan , Koen Tiels , Anna Marconato , Philippe Dreesen , Johan Schoukens