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The authors present a Polynomial Chaos (PC)-based Bayesian inference method for quantifying the uncertainties of the K-Profile Parametrization (KPP) within the MIT General Circulation Model (MITgcm) of the tropical pacific. The inference of…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-21 Ihab Sraj , Sarah E. Zedler , Omar M. Knio , Charles S. Jackson , Ibrahim Hoteit

We present a robust and efficient methodology for parameter estimation of gravitational waves generated during the post-merger phase of binary neutron star mergers. Our approach leverages an analytic waveform model combined with empirical…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2026-01-13 Stamatis Vretinaris , Georgios Vretinaris , Christos Mermigkas , Minas Karamanis , Nikolaos Stergioulas

Parameter estimation for gravitational-wave signals is computationally demanding due to the high dimensionality of the parameter space and the cost of repeated waveform generation in traditional Bayesian inference. These analyses require on…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2026-03-30 Sama Al-Shammari , Alexandre Göttel , Masaki Iwaya , Vivien Raymond

We present a Bayesian perspective on quantifying the uncertainty of graph signals estimated or reconstructed from imperfect observations. We show that many conventional methods of graph signal estimation, reconstruction and imputation, can…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-22 Lennard Rompelberg , Michael T. Schaub

Using observation data to estimate unknown parameters in computational models is broadly important. This task is often challenging because solutions are non-unique due to the complexity of the model and limited observation data. However,…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-18 Jiacheng Wu , Jian-Xun Wang , Shawn C. Shadden

This paper re-examines the problem of parameter estimation in Bayesian networks with missing values and hidden variables from the perspective of recent work in on-line learning [Kivinen & Warmuth, 1994]. We provide a unified framework for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-02-08 Eric Bauer , Daphne Koller , Yoram Singer

When using incorrect or inaccurate signal models to perform parameter estimation on a gravitational wave signal, biased parameter estimates will in general be obtained. For a single event this bias may be consistent with the posterior, but…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2015-06-01 Jonathan R. Gair , Christopher J. Moore

Among the most eagerly anticipated opportunities made possible by Advanced LIGO/Virgo are multimessenger observations of compact mergers. Optical counterparts may be short-lived so rapid characterization of gravitational wave (GW) events is…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2016-03-23 Tyson B. Littenberg , Ben Farr , Scott Coughlin , Vicky Kalogera

Parameter estimation (PE) for compact binary coalescence (CBC) events observed by gravitational wave (GW) laser interferometers is a core task in GW astrophysics. We present a method to compute the posterior distribution efficiently without…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2025-09-09 Jonathan Mushkin , Javier Roulet , Barak Zackay , Tejaswi Venumadhav , Oryna Ivashtenko , Digvijay Wadekar , Ajit Kumar Mehta , Matias Zaldarriaga

We introduce a Bayesian nonparametric inference approach for aggregate adverse event (AE) monitoring across studies. The proposed model seamlessly integrates external data from historical trials to define a relevant background rate and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-10 Shijie Yuan , Kevin Roberts , Noirrit Kiran Chandra , Yuan Ji , Peter Müller

This paper introduces an expectation-maximization (EM) algorithm within a wavelet domain Bayesian framework for semi-blind channel estimation of multiband OFDM based UWB communications. A prior distribution is chosen for the wavelet…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2007-08-13 Sajad Sadough , Mahieddine Ichir , Emmanuel Jaffrot , Pierre Duhamel

We propose a general framework for obtaining probabilistic solutions to PDE-based inverse problems. Bayesian methods are attractive for uncertainty quantification but assume knowledge of the likelihood model or data generation process. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-28 Youngsoo Baek , Wilkins Aquino , Sayan Mukherjee

When combining apparently inconsistent experimental results, one often implements errors on errors. The Particle Data Group's phenomenological prescription offers a practical solution but lacks a firm theoretical foundation. To address…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-08-22 Satoshi Mishima , Kin-ya Oda

Detection of gravitational waves (GW) from compact binary mergers provide a new window into multi-messenger astrophysics. The standard technique to determine the merger parameters is matched filtering, consisting in comparing the signal to…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2020-10-28 Juan Pablo Marulanda , Camilo Santa , Antonio Enea Romano

Towards understanding the fundamental limits of estimation from data of varied quality, we study the problem of estimating a mean parameter from heteroskedastic Gaussian observations where the variances are unknown and may vary arbitrarily…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Yanjun Han , Abhishek Shetty , Jacob Shkrob

Identifying dynamical system (DS) is a vital task in science and engineering. Traditional methods require numerous calls to the DS solver, rendering likelihood-based or least-squares inference frameworks impractical. For efficient parameter…

Computation · Statistics 2024-09-19 Ying Zhou , Jinglai Li , Xiang Zhou , Hongqiao Wang

We provide a comprehensive multi-aspect study on the performance of a pipeline used by the LIGO-Virgo Collaboration for estimating parameters of gravitational-wave bursts. We add simulated signals with four different morphologies…

Spectral estimation (SE) aims to identify how the energy of a signal (e.g., a time series) is distributed across different frequencies. This can become particularly challenging when only partial and noisy observations of the signal are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-15 Felipe Tobar

We develop an empirical Bayes (EB) G-modeling framework for short-panel linear models with nonparametric prior for the random intercepts, slopes, dynamics, and non-spherical error variances. We establish identification and consistency of…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-13 Myunghyun Song , Sokbae Lee , Serena Ng

Integrated sensing and communication is widely acknowledged as a foundational technology for next-generation mobile networks. Compared with monostatic sensing, multi-access point (AP) collaborative sensing endows mobile networks with…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-03 Shengheng Liu , Xingkang Li , Yongming Huang , Yuan Fang , Qingji Jiang , Dazhuan Xu , Ziguo Zhong , Dongming Wang , Xiaohu You
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