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We study the asymptotic behaviour of a critical decomposable 3-type Galton-Watson process with immigration when its offspring mean matrix is triangular with diagonal entries 1. It is proved that, under second or fourth order moment…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-17 Matyas Barczy , Dániel Bezdány

Wright-Fisher diffusions and their dual ancestral graphs occupy a central role in the study of allele frequency change and genealogical structure, and they provide expressions, explicit in some special cases but generally implicit, for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Martina Favero , Paul A. Jenkins

We study survival properties of inhomogeneous Galton-Watson processes. We determine the so-called branching number (which is the reciprocal of the critical value for percolation) for these random trees (conditioned on being infinite), which…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-22 Erik Broman , Ronald Meester

Take a continuous-time Galton-Watson tree. If the system survives until a large time $T$, then choose $k$ particles uniformly from those alive. What does the ancestral tree drawn out by these $k$ particles look like? Some special cases are…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-14 Simon C. Harris , Samuel G. G. Johnston , Matthew I. Roberts

We describe the asymptotic behavior of the conditional least squares estimator of the offspring mean for subcritical strongly stationary Galton--Watson processes with regularly varying immigration with tail index $\alpha \in (1,2)$. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-24 Matyas Barczy , Bojan Basrak , Péter Kevei , Gyula Pap , Hrvoje Planinić

Recruitment dynamics, or the distribution of the number of offspring among individuals, is central for understanding ecology and evolution. Sweepstakes reproduction (heavy right-tailed offspring number distribution) is central for…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-16 Bjarki Eldon

Diffusion is a commonly used technique for spreading information from point to point on a graph. The rationale behind diffusion is not clear. And the multi-types Galton-Watson forest is a random model of population growth without space or…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-03-23 Yanjiao Zhu , Qilin Li , Wanquan Liu , Chuancun Yin , Zhenlong Gao

This paper deals with a transient random walk in Dirichlet environment, or equivalently a linearly edge reinforced random walk, on a Galton-Watson tree. We compute the stationary distribution of the environment seen from the particle of an…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-21 Dongjian Qian , Yang Xiao

Consider a population evolving as a discrete-time supercritical multi-type Galton--Watson process. Suppose we run the process for $T$ generations, then sample $k$ individuals uniformly at generation $T$ and trace their genealogy backwards…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-13 Janique Krasnowska , Paul Jenkins , Adam Johansen

Begin continuous time random walks from every vertex of a graph and have particles coalesce when they collide. We use a duality relation with the voter model to prove the process is site recurrent on bounded degree graphs, and for…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-19 Itai Benjamini , Eric Foxall , Ori Gurel-Gurevich , Matthew Junge , Harry Kesten

We consider branching random walks built on Galton--Watson trees with offspring distribution having a bounded support, conditioned to have $n$ nodes, and their rescaled convergences to the Brownian snake. We exhibit a notion of ``globally…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-01-28 Jean-François Marckert

Branching processes in a random environment are natural generalisations of Galton-Watson processes. In this paper we analyse the asymptotic decay of the survival probability for a sequence of slightly supercritical branching processes in an…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-23 Florin Boenkost , Götz Kersting

We study a class of Cannings models with population size $N$ having a mixed multinomial offspring distribution with random success probabilities $W_1,\ldots,W_N$ induced by independent and identically distributed positive random variables…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-01 Thierry Huillet , Martin Möhle

Coalescence processes have received a lot of attention in the context of conditional branching processes with fixed population size and non-overlapping generations. Here we focus on similar problems in the context of the standard…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-25 Nicolas Grosjean , Thierry Huillet

A branching process in random environment $(Z_n, n \in \N)$ is a generalization of Galton Watson processes where at each generation the reproduction law is picked randomly. In this paper we give several results which belong to the class of…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-15 Vincent Bansaye , Julien Berestycki

In this work, we study asymptotics of the genealogy of Galton--Watson processes conditioned on the total progeny. We consider a fixed, aperiodic and critical offspring distribution such that the rescaled Galton--Watson processes converges…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Thomas Duquesne

The paper contains the complete analysis of the Galton-Watson models with immigration, including the processes in the random environment, stationary or non-stationary ones. We also study the branching random walk on $Z^d$ with immigration…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-14 Dan Han , Stanislav Molchanov , Joseph Whitmeyer

We consider a random walk on a Galton-Watson tree whose offspring distribution has a regular varying tail of order $\kappa\in (1,2)$. We prove the convergence of the renormalised height function of the walk towards the continuous-time…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-27 Dongjian Qian , Yang Xiao

We calculate the probability distribution of repetitions of ancestors in a genealogical tree for simple neutral models of a closed population with sexual reproduction and non-overlapping generations. Each ancestor at generation g in the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 B. Derrida , S. C. Manrubia , D. H. Zanette

We consider a model of random loops on Galton-Watson trees with an offspring distribution with high expectation. We give the configurations a weighting of $\theta^{\#\text{loops}}$. For many $\theta>1$ these models are equivalent to certain…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2018-12-05 Volker Betz , Johannes Ehlert , Benjamin Lees