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We consider the genealogical tree of a stationary continuous state branching process with immigration. For a sub-critical stable branching mechanism, we consider the genealogical tree of the extant population at some fixed time and prove…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-21 Romain Abraham , Jean-François Delmas , Hui He

We consider the simple random walk on Galton-Watson trees with supercritical offspring distribution, conditioned on non-extinction. In case the offspring distribution has finite support, we prove an upper bound for the annealed return…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-22 Peter Müller , Jakob Stern

We consider the evolution of populations under the joint action of mutation and differential reproduction, or selection. The population is modelled as a finite-type Markov branching process in continuous time, and the associated…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-02-23 Ellen Baake , Hans-Otto Georgii

A population genetics model based on a multitype branching process, or equivalently a Galton-Watson branching process for multiple alleles, is pre- sented. The diffusion limit forward Kolmogorov equation is derived for the case of neutral…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-02-21 Conrad J. Burden , Yi Wei

We consider a class of multiplicative processes which, added with stochastic reset events, give origin to stationary distributions with power-law tails -- ubiquitous in the statistics of social, economic, and ecological systems. Our main…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-26 Damián H. Zanette , Susanna Manrubia

Branching processes pervade many models in statistical physics. We investigate the survival probability of a Galton-Watson branching process after a finite number of generations. We reveal the finite-size scaling law of the survival…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-11-26 Rosalba Garcia-Millan , Francesc Font-Clos , Alvaro Corral

We consider a continuous-time Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson process with logistic competition in a regime of weak competition, or equivalently of a large carrying capacity. Individuals reproduce at random times independently of each other but…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-29 Raphaël Forien

Consider an arbitrary large population at the present time, originated at an unspecified arbitrary large time in the past, where individuals in the same generation reproduce independently, forward in time, with the same offspring…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-05 Airam Blancas , Sandra Palau

We consider a Galton-Watson process $\mathbf{Z}% (n)=(Z_{1}(n),Z_{2}(n))$ with two types of particles. Particles of type 2 may produce offspring of both types while particles of type 1 may produce particles of their own type only. Let…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-28 Charline Smadi , Vladimir A. Vatutin

Power law distributions have been repeatedly observed in a wide variety of socioeconomic, biological and technological areas. In many of the observations, e.g., city populations and sizes of living organisms, the objects of interest evolve…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Predrag R. Jelenkovic , Jian Tan

We introduce a simple technique for proving the transience of certain processes defined on the random tree $\mathcal{G}$ generated by a supercritical branching process. We prove the transience for once-reinforced random walks on…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Andrea Collevecchio

The classical Galton--Watson process works with a fixed probability of fission at each time step. One of the generalizations is that the probabilities depend on time. We consider one of the most complex and interesting cases when we do not…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-23 Anton A. Kutsenko

Distinguishing between continuous and first-order phase transitions is a major challenge in random discrete systems. We study the topic for events with recursive structure on Galton-Watson trees. For example, let $\mathcal{T}_1$ be the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-05 Tobias Johnson

We study a density-dependent Markov jump process describing a population where each individual is characterized by a type, and reproduces at rates depending both on its type and on the population type distribution. We are interested in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-26 Madeleine Kubasch

A recursive function on a tree is a function in which each leaf has a given value, and each internal node has a value equal to a function of the number of children, the values of the children, and possibly an explicitly specified random…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-24 Nicolas Broutin , Luc Devroye , Nicolas Fraiman

Consider a branching process with a homogeneous reproduction law. Sampling a single cell uniformly from the population at a time $T > 0$ and looking along the sampled cell's ancestral lineage, we find that the reproduction law is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-30 David Cheek , Samuel G. G. Johnston

We investigate the inhomogeneous Galton--Watson processes with immigration, where $\rho_n$ the offspring means in the $n^\textrm{th}$ generation tends to 1. We show that if the second derivatives of the offspring generating functions go to…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-19 Peter Kevei

We define a model of Galton Watson processes in dynamical environments where the environment evolves according to a dynamical system (X, T). Three behaviours are possible: uniformly subcritical, critical, and uniformly supercritical. We…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-10-28 Thomas Morand

Birth-and-death processes are widely used to model the development of biological populations. Although they are relatively simple models, their parameters can be challenging to estimate, because the likelihood can become numerically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-26 Anthony C. Davison , Sophie Hautphenne , Andrea Kraus

We present elliptical processes, a family of non-parametric probabilistic models that subsume Gaussian processes and Student's t processes. This generalization includes a range of new heavy-tailed behaviors while retaining computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-23 Maria Bånkestad , Jens Sjölund , Jalil Taghia , Thomas B. Schöon