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Quantification is the supervised learning task that consists of training predictors of the class prevalence values of sets of unlabelled data, and is of special interest when the labelled data on which the predictor has been trained and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Pablo González , Alejandro Moreo , Fabrizio Sebastiani

In reliable decision-making systems based on machine learning, models have to be robust to distributional shifts or provide the uncertainty of their predictions. In node-level problems of graph learning, distributional shifts can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-02 Gleb Bazhenov , Denis Kuznedelev , Andrey Malinin , Artem Babenko , Liudmila Prokhorenkova

We consider a machine learning setup where one training dataset is used to train multiple models across slightly different data distributions. This occurs when customized models are needed for various deployment environments. To reduce…

The quantification problem consists of determining the prevalence of a given label in a target population. However, one often has access to the labels in a sample from the training population but not in the target population. A common…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-08 Afonso Fernandes Vaz , Rafael Izbicki , Rafael Bassi Stern

Spectral algorithms leverage spectral regularization techniques to analyze and process data, providing a flexible framework for addressing supervised learning problems. To deepen our understanding of their performance in real-world…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-23 Jun Fan , Zheng-Chu Guo , Lei Shi

In selective classification (SC), a classifier abstains from making predictions that are likely to be wrong to avoid excessive errors. To deploy imperfect classifiers -- either due to intrinsic statistical noise of data or for robustness…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-28 Hengyue Liang , Le Peng , Ju Sun

Anomaly detection (AD) is the machine learning task of identifying highly discrepant abnormal samples by solely relying on the consistency of the normal training samples. Under the constraints of a distribution shift, the assumption that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-25 João B. S. Carvalho , Mengtao Zhang , Robin Geyer , Carlos Cotrini , Joachim M. Buhmann

Consider a multi-class labelling problem, where the labels can take values in $[k]$, and a predictor predicts a distribution over the labels. In this work, we study the following foundational question: Are there notions of multi-class…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Parikshit Gopalan , Lunjia Hu , Guy N. Rothblum

Covariate shift is a common transfer learning scenario where the marginal distributions of input variables vary between source and target data while the conditional distribution of the output variable remains consistent. The existing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-23 Petr Zamolodtchikov , Hanyuan Hang

Proposition. Let $f$ be a predictor trained on a distribution $P$ and evaluated on a shifted distribution $Q$. Under verifiable regularity and complexity constraints, the excess risk under shift admits an explicit upper bound determined by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-23 Chandrasekhar Gokavarapu , Sudhakar Gadde , Y. Rajasekhar , S. R. Bhargava

Approaches based on deep neural networks have achieved striking performance when testing data and training data share similar distribution, but can significantly fail otherwise. Therefore, eliminating the impact of distribution shifts…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-19 Xingxuan Zhang , Peng Cui , Renzhe Xu , Linjun Zhou , Yue He , Zheyan Shen

In supervised learning, training and test datasets are often sampled from distinct distributions. Domain adaptation techniques are thus required. Covariate shift adaptation yields good generalization performance when domains differ only by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-11 Felipe Maia Polo , Renato Vicente

Modern image classifiers are very accurate, but the predictions come without uncertainty estimates. Conformal predictors provide uncertainty estimates by computing a set of classes containing the correct class with a user-specified…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-06 Fatih Furkan Yilmaz , Reinhard Heckel

After deployment, machine learning models often experience performance degradation due to shifts in data distribution. It is challenging to assess post-deployment performance accurately when labels are missing or delayed. Existing proxy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Jakub Białek , Juhani Kivimäki , Wojtek Kuberski , Nikolaos Perrakis

We introduce and analyze Target-Induced Loss Tilting (TILT) for unsupervised domain adaptation under covariate shift. It is based on a novel objective function that decomposes the source predictor as $f+b$, fits $f+b$ on labeled source data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Kakei Yamamoto , Martin J. Wainwright

Distribution shift is a common situation in machine learning tasks, where the data used for training a model is different from the data the model is applied to in the real world. This issue arises across multiple technical settings: from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Nicolas Acevedo , Carmen Cortez , Chris Brooks , Rene Kizilcec , Renzhe Yu

We study efficient algorithms for linear regression and covariance estimation in the absence of Gaussian assumptions on the underlying distributions of samples, making assumptions instead about only finitely-many moments. We focus on how…

A key problem in the theory of meta-learning is to understand how the task distributions influence transfer risk, the expected error of a meta-learner on a new task drawn from the unknown task distribution. In this paper, focusing on fixed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-15 Mikhail Konobeev , Ilja Kuzborskij , Csaba Szepesvári

Covariate-adaptive randomization is widely employed to balance baseline covariates in interventional studies such as clinical trials and experiments in development economics. Recent years have witnessed substantial progress in inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-30 Jiahui Xin , Hanzhong Liu , Wei Ma

Federated learning (FL) in post-deployment settings must adapt to non-stationary data streams across heterogeneous clients without access to ground-truth labels. A major challenge is learning rate selection under client-specific,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Heewon Park , Mugon Joe , Miru Kim , Kyungjin Im , Minhae Kwon