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Conformal prediction provides prediction sets with finite-sample marginal coverage, but many applications require coverage guarantees that adapt to individual test points, a subpopulation, or a structural component of the data. Existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-27 Yinjie Min , Liuhua Peng , Changliang Zou

We introduce directional regularity, a new definition of anisotropy for multivariate functional data. Instead of taking the conventional view, which determines anisotropy as a notion of smoothness along a dimension, directional regularity…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Omar Kassi , Sunny G. W. Wang

Numerous studies have focused on learning and understanding the dynamics of physical systems from video data, such as spatial intelligence. Artificial intelligence requires quantitative assessments of the uncertainty of the model to ensure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Aoming Liang , Qi Liu , Lei Xu , Fahad Sohrab , Weicheng Cui , Changhui Song , Moncef Gabbouj

Functional data analysis almost always involves smoothing discrete observations into curves, because they are never observed in continuous time and rarely without error. Although smoothing parameters affect the subsequent inference,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-07 Sunny G. W. Wang , Valentin Patilea , Nicolas Klutchnikoff

Conformal prediction is a framework for providing prediction intervals with distribution-free validity, guaranteeing predictive coverage for data drawn from any distribution. Its two main variants are full conformal prediction and split…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Aabesh Bhattacharyya , Boxuan Zhang , Rina Foygel Barber

Estimation of the mean and covariance parameters for functional data is a critical task, with local linear smoothing being a popular choice. In recent years, many scientific domains are producing multivariate functional data for which $p$,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-24 Alexander Petersen

Conformal prediction is a generic methodology for finite-sample valid distribution-free prediction. This technique has garnered a lot of attention in the literature partly because it can be applied with any machine learning algorithm that…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-12 Yachong Yang , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

When functional data manifest amplitude and phase variations, a commonly-employed framework for analyzing them is to take away the phase variation through a function alignment and then to apply standard tools to the aligned functions. A…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-30 Sungwon Lee , Sungkyu Jung

In robotic inspection, joint registration of multiple point clouds is an essential technique for estimating the transformation relationships between measured parts, such as multiple blades in a propeller. However, the presence of noise and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-09-17 Lingjie Su , Wei Xu , Shuyang Zhao , Yuqi Cheng , Wenlong Li

Conformal prediction is a theoretically grounded framework for constructing predictive intervals. We study conformal prediction with missing values in the covariates -- a setting that brings new challenges to uncertainty quantification. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-06 Margaux Zaffran , Aymeric Dieuleveut , Julie Josse , Yaniv Romano

The function-on-function linear regression model in which the response and predictors consist of random curves has become a general framework to investigate the relationship between the functional response and functional predictors.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-03 Ufuk Beyaztas , Han Lin Shang

Functional data analyses typically proceed by smoothing, followed by functional PCA. This paradigm implicitly assumes that rough variation is due to nuisance noise. Nevertheless, relevant functional features such as time-localised or short…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-19 Marie-Hélène Descary , Victor M. Panaretos

The problem of estimating trend and seasonal variation in time-series data has been studied over several decades, although mostly using single time series. This paper studies the problem of estimating these components from functional data,…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-25 Liang-Hsuan Tai , Anuj Srivastava , Kyle A. Gallivan

Functional time series analysis, whether based on time of frequency domain methodology, has traditionally been carried out under the assumption of complete observation of the constituent series of curves, assumed stationary. Nevertheless,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-02 Tomáš Rubín , Victor M. Panaretos

Functional Data Analysis represents a field of growing interest in statistics. Despite several studies have been proposed leading to fundamental results, the problem of obtaining valid and efficient prediction sets has not been thoroughly…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-13 Jacopo Diquigiovanni , Matteo Fontana , Simone Vantini

We propose nonparametric methods for functional linear regression which are designed for sparse longitudinal data, where both the predictor and response are functions of a covariate such as time. Predictor and response processes have smooth…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Fang Yao , Hans-Georg Müller , Jane-Ling Wang

Spatial classification with limited feature observations has been a challenging problem in machine learning. The problem exists in applications where only a subset of sensors are deployed at certain spots or partial responses are collected…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-03 Arpan Man Sainju , Wenchong He , Zhe Jiang , Da Yan , Haiquan Chen

Non-parametric inference for functional data over two-dimensional domains entails additional computational and statistical challenges, compared to the one-dimensional case. Separability of the covariance is commonly assumed to address these…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-19 Tomas Masak , Tomas Rubin , Victor Panaretos

Recent works have introduced methods to estimate segmentation performance without ground truth, relying solely on neural network softmax outputs. These techniques hold potential for intuitive output quality control. However, such…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-08-30 Anna M. Wundram , Paul Fischer , Michael Muehlebach , Lisa M. Koch , Christian F. Baumgartner

Distribution-free uncertainty estimation for ensemble methods is increasingly desirable due to the widening deployment of multi-modal black-box predictive models. Conformal prediction is one approach that avoids such distributional…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-26 Eduardo Ochoa Rivera , Yash Patel , Ambuj Tewari