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We present a novel Bayesian approach to semiotic dynamics, which is a cognitive analogue of the naming game model restricted to two conventions. The one-shot learning that characterizes the agent dynamics in the basic naming game is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-30 Gionni Marchetti , Marco Patriarca , Els Heinsalu

This paper describes an application of Bayesian programming to the control of an autonomous avatar in a multiplayer role-playing game (the example is based on World of Warcraft). We model a particular task, which consists of choosing what…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-05-20 Gabriel Synnaeve , Pierre Bessiere

Evolutionary game dynamics in structured populations has been extensively explored in past decades. However, most previous studies assume that payoffs of individuals are fully determined by the strategic behaviors of interacting parties and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-06-19 Qi Su , Lei Zhou , Long Wang

The complexity of game play in online multiplayer games has generated strong interest in modeling the different play styles or strategies used by players for success. We develop a hierarchical Bayesian regression approach for the online…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-15 Aline Normoyle , Shane T. Jensen

In common-interest stochastic games all players receive an identical payoff. Players participating in such games must learn to coordinate with each other in order to receive the highest-possible value. A number of reinforcement learning…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-06-28 R. I. Brafman , M. Tennenholtz

Bayesian optimal experimental design is a sub-field of statistics focused on developing methods to make efficient use of experimental resources. Any potential design is evaluated in terms of a utility function, such as the (theoretically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-21 Noble Kennamer , Steven Walton , Alexander Ihler

Baseball is a game of strategic decisions including bullpen usage, pinch-hitting and intentional walks. Managers must adjust their strategies based on the changing state of the game in order to give their team the best chance of winning. In…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Tristan Mott , Caleb Bradshaw , David Grimsman , Christopher Archibald

The objective of this paper is to identify and analyze the response actions of a set of players embedded in sub-networks in the context of interaction and learning. We characterize strategic network formation as a static game of…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-10-28 Alex Centeno

Although the definition of what empathetic preferences exactly are is still evolving, there is a general consensus in the psychology, science and engineering communities that the evolution toward players' behaviors in interactive…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-08-08 Brian Powers , Michalis Smyrnakis , Hamidou Tembine

Classical results of Decision Theory, and its extension to a multi-agent setting: Game Theory, operate only at the associative level of information; this is, classical decision makers only take into account probabilities of events; we go…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-10-16 Mauricio Gonzalez-Soto , Luis E. Sucar , Hugo J. Escalante

Motivated by the scarcity of accurate payoff feedback in practical applications of game theory, we examine a class of learning dynamics where players adjust their choices based on past payoff observations that are subject to noise and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-06-03 Mario Bravo , Panayotis Mertikopoulos

Originating in evolutionary game theory, the class of "zero-determinant" strategies enables a player to unilaterally enforce linear payoff relationships in simple repeated games. An upshot of this kind of payoff constraint is that it can…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-11-26 Nikos Dimou , Alex McAvoy

This paper investigates the effect of learning a forward model on the performance of a statistical forward planning agent. We transform Conway's Game of Life simulation into a single-player game where the objective can be either to preserve…

Gameplay under various forms of uncertainty has been widely studied. Feldman et al. (2010) studied a particularly low-information setting in which one observes the opponent's actions but no payoffs, not even one's own, and introduced an…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-04-02 Avrim Blum , Melissa Dutz

Social learning is learning through the observation of or interaction with other individuals; it is critical in the understanding of the collective behaviors of humans in social physics. We study the learning process of agents in a restless…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-01 Kazuaki Nakayama , Ryuzo Nakamura , Masato Hisakado , Shintaro Mori

This work contains the mathematical exploration of a few prototypical games in which central concepts from statistics and probability theory naturally emerge. The first two kinds of games are termed Fisher and Bayesian games, which are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-27 Jozsef Konczer

Measuring contributions is a classical problem in cooperative game theory where the Shapley value is the most well-known solution concept. In this paper, we establish the convergence property of the Shapley value in parametric Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-15 Lucas Agussurja , Xinyi Xu , Bryan Kian Hsiang Low

Reinforcement learning studies how to balance exploration and exploitation in real-world systems, optimizing interactions with the world while simultaneously learning how the world operates. One general class of algorithms for such learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-10 Iñigo Urteaga , Chris H. Wiggins

In this paper, we derive a Bayesian model order selection rule by using the exponentially embedded family method, termed Bayesian EEF. Unlike many other Bayesian model selection methods, the Bayesian EEF can use vague proper priors and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-24 Zhenghan Zhu , Steven Kay

The present contribution reviews a set of different versions of the basic naming game model, differing in the underlying topology or in the mechanisms regulating the interactions between agents. We include also a Bayesian naming game model…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-24 Gionni Marchetti , Els Heinsalu , Marco Patriarca
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