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Game-based decision-making involves reasoning over both world dynamics and strategic interactions among the agents. Typically, empirical models capturing these respective aspects are learned and used separately. We investigate the potential…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2023-05-24 Max Olan Smith , Michael P. Wellman

Implicit stochastic models, where the data-generation distribution is intractable but sampling is possible, are ubiquitous in the natural sciences. The models typically have free parameters that need to be inferred from data collected in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-17 Steven Kleinegesse , Michael U. Gutmann

Poker is ideal for testing automated reasoning under uncertainty. It introduces uncertainty both by physical randomization and by incomplete information about opponents hands.Another source OF uncertainty IS the limited information…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-30 Kevin B. Korb , Ann Nicholson , Nathalie Jitnah

Decomposition methods are often used for producing counterfactual predictions in non-strategic settings. When the outcome of interest arises from a game-theoretic setting where agents are better off by deviating from their strategies after…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-03 Nathan Canen , Kyungchul Song

We present a framework that incorporates the idea of bounded rationality into dynamic stochastic pursuit-evasion games. The solution of a stochastic game is characterized, in general, by its (Nash) equilibria in feedback form. However,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-17 Yue Guan , Dipankar Maity , Christopher M. Kroninger , Panagiotis Tsiotras

In the need for low assumption inferential methods in infinite-dimensional settings, Bayesian adaptive estimation via a prior distribution that does not depend on the regularity of the function to be estimated nor on the sample size is…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-23 Catia Scricciolo

We propose a model of interdependent scheduling games in which each player controls a set of services that they schedule independently. A player is free to schedule his own services at any time; however, each of these services only begins…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-06-01 Andres Abeliuk , Haris Aziz , Gerardo Berbeglia , Serge Gaspers , Petr Kalina , Nicholas Mattei , Dominik Peters , Paul Stursberg , Pascal Van Hentenryck , Toby Walsh

Imitation is widely observed in populations of decision-making agents. Using our recent convergence results for asynchronous imitation dynamics on networks, we consider how such networks can be efficiently driven to a desired equilibrium…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-04-17 James Riehl , Pouria Ramazi , Ming Cao

The stochastic multi-armed bandit setting has been recently studied in the non-stationary regime, where the mean payoff of each action is a non-decreasing function of the number of rounds passed since it was last played. This model captures…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-13 Orestis Papadigenopoulos , Constantine Caramanis , Sanjay Shakkottai

Access to a fast and easily copied forward model of a game is essential for model-based reinforcement learning and for algorithms such as Monte Carlo tree search, and is also beneficial as a source of unlimited experience data for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-04-02 Chris Bamford , Simon Lucas

We consider payoff-based learning of a generalized Nash equilibrium (GNE) in multi-agent systems. Our focus is on games with jointly convex constraints of a linear structure and strongly monotone pseudo-gradients. We present a convergent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-18 Tatiana Tatarenko , Maryam Kamgarpour

The framework of uncoupled online learning in multiplayer games has made significant progress in recent years. In particular, the development of time-varying games has considerably expanded its modeling capabilities. However, current regret…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-08-18 Aymeric Capitaine , Etienne Boursier , Eric Moulines , Michael I. Jordan , Alain Durmus

We have developed a sophisticated statistical model for predicting the hitting performance of Major League baseball players. The Bayesian paradigm provides a principled method for balancing past performance with crucial covariates, such as…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-21 Shane T. Jensen , Blake McShane , Abraham J. Wyner

We examine perfect information stochastic mean-payoff games - a class of games containing as special sub-classes the usual mean-payoff games and parity games. We show that deterministic memoryless strategies that are optimal for discounted…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2010-06-09 Hugo Gimbert , Wiesław Zielonka

We consider network games where a large number of agents interact according to a network sampled from a random network model, represented by a graphon. By exploiting previous results on convergence of such large network games to graphon…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-03-21 Feras Al Taha , Francesca Parise

Inferring the causal structure of a system typically requires interventional data, rather than just observational data. Since interventional experiments can be costly, it is preferable to select interventions that yield the maximum amount…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-30 Michele Zemplenyi , Jeffrey W. Miller

We study two-sided matching markets in which one side of the market (the players) does not have a priori knowledge about its preferences for the other side (the arms) and is required to learn its preferences from experience. Also, we assume…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-23 Lydia T. Liu , Feng Ruan , Horia Mania , Michael I. Jordan

We study the problem of causal structure learning over a set of random variables when the experimenter is allowed to perform at most $M$ experiments in a non-adaptive manner. We consider the optimal learning strategy in terms of minimizing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-03-01 AmirEmad Ghassami , Saber Salehkaleybar , Negar Kiyavash

We study a class of two-player repeated games with incomplete information and informational externalities. In these games, two states are chosen at the outset, and players get private information on the pair, before engaging in repeated…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-27 Dinah Rosenberg , Eilon Solan , Nicolas Vieille

We study the problem of Bayesian learning in a dynamical system involving strategic agents with asymmetric information. In a series of seminal papers in the literature, this problem has been investigated under a simplifying model where…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-07-09 Deepanshu Vasal , Achilleas Anastasopoulos
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