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Causal structure discovery from observations can be improved by integrating background knowledge provided by an expert to reduce the hypothesis space. Recently, Large Language Models (LLMs) have begun to be considered as sources of prior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Victor-Alexandru Darvariu , Stephen Hailes , Mirco Musolesi

Nonlinear causal discovery from observational data imposes strict identifiability assumptions on the formulation of structural equations utilized in the data generating process. The evaluation of structure learning methods under assumption…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-17 Georg Velev , Stefan Lessmann

Methods of causal discovery aim to identify causal structures in a data driven way. Existing algorithms are known to be unstable and sensitive to statistical errors, and are therefore rarely used with biomedical or epidemiological data. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-01 Christine W Bang , Janine Witte , Ronja Foraita , Vanessa Didelez

Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) often rely on statistical correlations rather than causal reasoning, limiting their robustness and interpretability. While testing methods can identify failures, effective debugging and repair remain challenging.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-28 Fatemeh Vares , Brittany Johnson

Robust causal discovery from observational data under imperfect prior knowledge remains a significant and largely unresolved challenge. Existing methods typically presuppose perfect priors or can only handle specific, pre-identified error…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Zidong Wang , Xi Lin , Chuchao He , Xiaoguang Gao

Human-AI cooperative classification (HAI-CC) approaches aim to develop hybrid intelligent systems that enhance decision-making in various high-stakes real-world scenarios by leveraging both human expertise and AI capabilities. Current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-05 Zheng Zhang , Cuong Nguyen , Kevin Wells , Thanh-Toan Do , David Rosewarne , Gustavo Carneiro

Causal discovery in time-series is a fundamental problem in the machine learning community, enabling causal reasoning and decision-making in complex scenarios. Recently, researchers successfully discover causality by combining neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-17 Yuxiao Cheng , Lianglong Li , Tingxiong Xiao , Zongren Li , Qin Zhong , Jinli Suo , Kunlun He

Learning to defer uncertain predictions to costly experts offers a powerful strategy for improving the accuracy and efficiency of machine learning systems. However, standard training procedures for deferral algorithms typically require…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-31 Giulia DeSalvo , Clara Mohri , Mehryar Mohri , Yutao Zhong

A learning-to-defer (L2D) system decides, for each input, whether to predict on its own or to hand it to one of several available experts. The very well established recipe trains classifier and router jointly by treating the $K$ classes and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-29 Yannis Montreuil , Axel Carlier , Lai Xing Ng , Wei Tsang Ooi

Deferring systems extend supervised Machine Learning (ML) models with the possibility to defer predictions to human experts. However, evaluating the impact of a deferring strategy on system accuracy is still an overlooked area. This paper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Filippo Palomba , Andrea Pugnana , José Manuel Alvarez , Salvatore Ruggieri

The aim in many sciences is to understand the mechanisms that underlie the observed distribution of variables, starting from a set of initial hypotheses. Causal discovery allows us to infer mechanisms as sets of cause and effect…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-05 Ashka Shah , Adela DePavia , Nathaniel Hudson , Ian Foster , Rick Stevens

Causal discovery is an imperative foundation for decision-making across domains, such as smart health, AI for drug discovery and AIOps. Traditional statistical causal discovery methods, while well-established, predominantly rely on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-03 ChengAo Shen , Zhengzhang Chen , Dongsheng Luo , Dongkuan Xu , Haifeng Chen , Jingchao Ni

Temporal causal representation learning is a powerful tool for uncovering complex patterns in observational studies, which are often represented as low-dimensional time series. However, in many real-world applications, data are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-21 Jianhong Chen , Meng Zhao , Mostafa Reisi Gahrooei , Xubo Yue

Causal discovery for both cross-sectional and temporal data has traditionally followed a dataset-specific paradigm, where a new model is fitted for each individual dataset. Such an approach limits the potential of multi-dataset pretraining.…

Revealing hidden causal variables alongside the underlying causal mechanisms is essential to the development of science. Despite the progress in the past decades, existing practice in causal discovery (CD) heavily relies on high-quality…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Chenxi Liu , Yongqiang Chen , Tongliang Liu , Mingming Gong , James Cheng , Bo Han , Kun Zhang

Concept Bottleneck Models (CBMs) are machine learning models that improve interpretability by grounding their predictions on human-understandable concepts, allowing for targeted interventions in their decision-making process. However, when…

Revealing the underlying causal mechanisms in the real world is crucial for scientific and technological progress. Despite notable advances in recent decades, the lack of high-quality data and the reliance of traditional causal discovery…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Huaming Du , Tao Hu , Yijie Huang , Yu Zhao , Guisong Liu , Tao Gu , Gang Kou , Carl Yang

Differentiable causal discovery has made significant advancements in the learning of directed acyclic graphs. However, its application to real-world datasets remains restricted due to the ubiquity of latent confounders and the requirement…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Pingchuan Ma , Rui Ding , Qiang Fu , Jiaru Zhang , Shuai Wang , Shi Han , Dongmei Zhang

Disentangling complex causal relationships is important for accurate detection of anomalies. In multivariate time series analysis, dynamic interactions among data variables over time complicate the interpretation of causal relationships.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Wonah Kim , Jeonghyeon Park , Dongsan Jun , Jungkyu Han , Sejin Chun

Learning causal relationships among a set of variables, as encoded by a directed acyclic graph, from observational data is complicated by the presence of unobserved confounders. Instrumental variables (IVs) are a popular remedy for this…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-17 Jing Zou , Wei Li , Wei Lin