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Let $(X,\p_x)$ be a continuous time Markov chain with finite or countable state space $S$ and let $T$ be its first passage time in a subset $D$ of $S$. It is well known that if $\mu$ is a quasi-stationary distribution relatively to $T$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-25 Romain Bourget , Loïc Chaumont , Natalia Sapoukhina

We study the full distribution $P_{N}\left(A\right)$ of sums $A = \sum_{i=1}^N$ where $x_1, \dots, x_N$ are $N \gg 1$ independent and identically distributed random variables each sampled from a given distribution $p(x)$ with a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-07-09 Naftali R. Smith

We consider a class of tempered subordinators, namely a class of subordinators with one-dimensional marginal tempered distributions which belong to a family studied in [3]. The main contribution in this paper is a non-central moderate…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-05 Nikolai Leonenko , Claudio Macci , Barbara Pacchiarotti

We prove a moderate deviation principle for the continuous time interpolation of discrete time recursive stochastic processes. The methods of proof are somewhat different from the corresponding large deviation result, and in particular the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-24 Paul Dupuis , Dane Johnson

We determine the survival probability and first-passage time (FPT) to capture for a harmonically trapped particle, diffusing outside an absorbing spherical boundary by directly solving the differential equation for the survival probability.…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2025-06-18 Tianyu Yuan , Ivan Surovtsev , Megan C. King , Simon G. J. Mochrie

We prove moderate deviation principles for the tagged particle position and current in one-dimensional symmetric simple exclusion processes. There is at most one particle per site. A particle jumps to one of its two neighbors at rate $1/2$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-11 Xiaofeng Xue , Linjie Zhao

We study the rate of convergence in the Shape Theorem of first-passage percolation, obtaining the precise asymptotic rate of decay for the probability of linear order deviations under a moment condition. Our results are stated for a given…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-06 Daniel Ahlberg

We study a natural growth process with competition, which was recently introduced to analyze MDLA, a challenging model for the growth of an aggregate by diffusing particles. The growth process consists of two first-passage percolation…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-08 Elisabetta Candellero , Alexandre Stauffer

We study the first-passage time (FPT) problem for widespread recurrent processes in confined though large systems and present a comprehensive framework for characterizing the FPT distribution over many time scales. We find that the FPT…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-03-21 Talia Baravi , David A. Kessler , Eli Barkai

New theorems for the moments of the first passage time of one dimensional nonlinear stochastic processes with an entrance boundary are formulated. This important class of one dimensional stochastic processes results among others from…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-04-22 Leo Dostal , Navaratnam Sri Namachchivaya

The purpose of this paper is to investigate moderate deviations for the Durbin-Watson statistic associated with the stable first-order autoregressive process where the driven noise is also given by a first-order autoregressive process. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-01-18 S. Valère Bitseki Penda , Hacène Djellout , Frédéric Proïa

We consider a general class of maps of the interval having Lyapunov subexponential instability $|\delta x_{t}|\sim|\delta x_{0}|\exp[\Lambda_{t}(x_{0})\zeta(t)]$, where $\zeta(t)$ grows sublinearly as $t\rightarrow\infty$. We outline here a…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2014-10-22 Pierre Nazé , Roberto Venegeroles

In this paper we study the large deviations of time averaged mean square displacement (TAMSD) for Gaussian processes. The theory of large deviations is related to the exponential decay of probabilities of large fluctuations in random…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-29 J. Gajda , A. Wylomanska , H. Kantz , A. V. Chechkin , G. Sikora

We consider first-passage percolation with positive, stationary-ergodic weights on the square lattice $\mathbb{Z}^d$. Let $T(x)$ be the first-passage time from the origin to a point $x$ in $\mathbb{Z}^d$. The convergence of the scaled…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-25 Arjun Krishnan

Our main result is an extension of Pansu's theorem to random metrics, where the edges of the Cayley are i.i.d. random variable with some finite exponential moment. Based on a previous work by the second author, the proof relies on…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-13 Itai Benjamini , Romain Tessera

Time-fractional semilinear and quasilinear parabolic equations with a Caputo time derivative of order $\alpha\in(0,1)$ are considered, solutions of which exhibit a singular behaviour at an initial time of type $t^\sigma$ for any fixed…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Natalia Kopteva , Sean Kelly

We prove that first-passage percolation times across thin cylinders of the form $[0,n]\times [-h_n,h_n]^{d-1}$ obey Gaussian central limit theorems as long as $h_n$ grows slower than $n^{1/(d+1)}$. It is an open question as to what is the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-17 Sourav Chatterjee , Partha S. Dey

We prove large and moderate deviations for the output of Gaussian fully connected neural networks. The main achievements concern deep neural networks (i.e., when the model has more than one hidden layer) and hold for bounded and continuous…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-01 Claudio Macci , Barbara Pacchiarotti , Giovanni Luca Torrisi

We investigate some simple and surprising properties of a one-dimensional Brownian trajectory with diffusion coefficient $D$ that starts at the origin and reaches $X$ either: (i) at time $T$ or (ii) for the first time at time $T$. We…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-11-22 Uttam Bhat , S. Redner

In this paper we consider first-passage percolation on certain 1-dimensional periodic graphs, such as the $\Z\times\{0,1,\ldots,K-1\}^{d-1}$ nearest neighbour graph for $d,K\geq1$. We find that both length and weight of minimal-weight paths…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-28 Daniel Ahlberg
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