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In the sequential learning problem, agents in a network attempt to predict a binary ground truth, informed by both a noisy private signal and the predictions of neighboring agents before them. It is well known that social learning in this…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-02-10 William Guo , Edward Xiong , Jie Gao

We study a sequential-learning model featuring a network of naive agents with Gaussian information structures. Agents apply a heuristic rule to aggregate predecessors' actions. They weigh these actions according the strengths of their…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-05 Krishna Dasaratha , Kevin He

The problem of estimating event truths from conflicting agent opinions in a social network is investigated. An autoencoder learns the complex relationships between event truths, agent reliabilities and agent observations. A Bayesian network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-26 Jielong Yang , Wee Peng Tay

We consider a group of strategic agents who must each repeatedly take one of two possible actions. They learn which of the two actions is preferable from initial private signals, and by observing the actions of their neighbors in a social…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-07-27 Elchanan Mossel , Allan Sly , Omer Tamuz

We study how long-lived, rational agents learn in a social network. In every period, after observing the past actions of his neighbors, each agent receives a private signal, and chooses an action whose payoff depends only on the state.…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-07-22 Wanying Huang , Philipp Strack , Omer Tamuz

We study the computations that Bayesian agents undertake when exchanging opinions over a network. The agents act repeatedly on their private information and take myopic actions that maximize their expected utility according to a fully…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-21 Jan Hązła , Ali Jadbabaie , Elchanan Mossel , M. Amin Rahimian

Consider a network of agents that all want to guess the correct value of some ground truth state. In a sequential order, each agent makes its decision using a single private signal which has a constant probability of error, as well as…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Kevin Lu , Jordan Chong , Matt Lu , Jie Gao

We consider long-lived agents who interact repeatedly in a social network. In each period, each agent learns about an unknown state by observing a private signal and her neighbors' actions from the previous period before choosing her own…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-08-19 Florian Brandl

A network of agents attempt to learn some unknown state of the world drawn by nature from a finite set. Agents observe private signals conditioned on the true state, and form beliefs about the unknown state accordingly. Each agent may face…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-13 Shahin Shahrampour , Mohammad Amin Rahimian , Ali Jadbabaie

A Bayesian net (BN) is more than a succinct way to encode a probabilistic distribution; it also corresponds to a function used to answer queries. A BN can therefore be evaluated by the accuracy of the answers it returns. Many algorithms for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-08 Russell Greiner , Adam J. Grove , Dale Schuurmans

We conduct a sequential social-learning experiment where subjects each guess a hidden state based on private signals and the guesses of a subset of their predecessors. A network determines the observable predecessors, and we compare…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-05-21 Krishna Dasaratha , Kevin He

This work addresses the problem of sharing partial information within social learning strategies. In traditional social learning, agents solve a distributed multiple hypothesis testing problem by performing two operations at each instant:…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-07 Virginia Bordignon , Vincenzo Matta , Ali H. Sayed

This paper addresses the problem of distributed learning of average belief with sequential observations, in which a network of $n>1$ agents aim to reach a consensus on the average value of their beliefs, by exchanging information only with…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2018-11-20 Kaiqing Zhang , Yang Liu , Ji Liu , Mingyan Liu , Tamer Başar

One of the basic tasks for Bayesian networks (BNs) is that of learning a network structure from data. The BN-learning problem is NP-hard, so the standard solution is heuristic search. Many approaches have been proposed for this task, but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-09 Marc Teyssier , Daphne Koller

We study the outcomes of information aggregation in online social networks. Our main result is that networks with certain realistic structural properties avoid information cascades and enable a population to effectively aggregate…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-08-25 Michal Feldman , Nicole Immorlica , Brendan Lucier , S. Matthew Weinberg

In this paper, we consider the problem of social learning, where a group of agents embedded in a social network are interested in learning an underlying state of the world. Agents have incomplete, noisy, and heterogeneous sources of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-27 Mahyar JafariNodeh , Amir Ajorlou , Ali Jadbabaie

We study a social learning model in which agents iteratively update their beliefs about the true state of the world using private signals and the beliefs of other agents in a non-Bayesian manner. Some agents are stubborn, meaning they…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-09-21 Daniel Vial , Vijay Subramanian

We study the Bayesian model of opinion exchange of fully rational agents arranged on a network. In this model, the agents receive private signals that are indicative of an unkown state of the world. Then, they repeatedly announce the state…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2018-09-05 Jan Hązła , Ali Jadbabaie , Elchanan Mossel , M. Amin Rahimian

It is well understood that the structure of a social network is critical to whether or not agents can aggregate information correctly. In this paper, we study social networks that support information aggregation when rational agents act…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-11-11 Itai Arieli , Fedor Sandomirskiy , Rann Smorodinsky

Decision-theoretic troubleshooting is one of the areas to which Bayesian networks can be applied. Given a probabilistic model of a malfunctioning man-made device, the task is to construct a repair strategy with minimal expected cost. The…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-08-02 Václav Lín
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