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Deep forecasting models often suffer from attenuated periodic perception and entangled trend-noise representations as network depth increases. Moreover, the widely adopted channel-independent paradigm, while improving training stability,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Hua Wang , Xianhao Jiao , Fan Zhang

In this study, we delve into the Structured State Space Model (S4), Change Point Detection methodologies, and the Switching Non-linear Dynamics System (SNLDS). Our central proposition is an enhanced inference technique and long-range…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Jiaming Zhang , Yang Ding , Yunfeng Gao

Problem of adaptive state observer synthesis for linear time-varying (LTV) system with unknown time-varying parameter and delayed output measurements is considered. State observation problem has attracted the attention of many researchers…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-07-26 Alexey Bobtsov , Nikolay Nikolaev , Olga Slita , Olga Kozachek

Spatio-temporal forecasting is essential for real-world applications such as traffic management and urban computing. Although recent methods have shown improved accuracy, they often fail to account for dynamic deviations between current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Haotian Gao , Zheng Dong , Jiawei Yong , Shintaro Fukushima , Kenjiro Taura , Renhe Jiang

Knowledge about the hidden factors that determine particular system dynamics is crucial for both explaining them and pursuing goal-directed interventions. Inferring these factors from time series data without supervision remains an open…

We introduce a new version of deep state-space models (DSSMs) that combines a recurrent neural network with a state-space framework to forecast time series data. The model estimates the observed series as functions of latent variables that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-20 Haoxuan Wu , David S. Matteson , Martin T. Wells

Seasonal-trend decomposition is one of the most fundamental concepts in time series analysis that supports various downstream tasks, including time series anomaly detection and forecasting. However, existing decomposition methods rely on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-05 Xiao He , Ye Li , Jian Tan , Bin Wu , Feifei Li

Recently several deep learning based models have been proposed for end-to-end learning of dialogs. While these models can be trained from data without the need for any additional annotations, it is hard to interpret them. On the other hand,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-11-05 Dhiraj Madan , Dinesh Raghu , Gaurav Pandey , Sachindra Joshi

This paper introduces a data-driven time embedding method for modeling long-range seasonal dependencies in spatiotemporal forecasting tasks. The proposed approach employs Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) to extract temporal modes directly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Menglin Kong , Vincent Zhihao Zheng , Xudong Wang , Lijun Sun

Research on long-term time series prediction has primarily relied on Transformer and MLP models, while the potential of convolutional networks in this domain remains underexplored. To address this, we propose a novel multi-scale time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-03 Chenghan Li , Mingchen Li , Yipu Liao , Ruisheng Diao

Machine learning enables extracting clinical insights from large temporal datasets. The applications of such machine learning models include identifying disease patterns and predicting patient outcomes. However, limited interpretability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-30 Yu Chen , Nivedita Bijlani , Samaneh Kouchaki , Payam Barnaghi

Long-term forecasting of multivariate urban data poses a significant challenge due to the complex spatiotemporal dependencies inherent in such datasets. This paper presents DST, a novel multivariate time-series forecasting model that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-28 Amirhossein Sohrabbeig , Omid Ardakanian , Petr Musilek

Sequence modeling faces challenges in capturing long-range dependencies across diverse tasks. Recent linear and transformer-based forecasters have shown superior performance in time series forecasting. However, they are constrained by their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-25 Bong Gyun Kang , Dongjun Lee , HyunGi Kim , DoHyun Chung , Sungroh Yoon

The task of state estimation in active distribution systems faces a major challenge due to the integration of different measurements with multiple reporting rates. As a result, distribution systems are essentially unobservable in real time,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-13 J. G. De la Varga , S. Pineda , J. M. Morales , Á. Porras

Modeling the evolution of system with time-series data is a challenging and critical task in a wide range of fields, especially when the time-series data is regularly sampled and partially observable. Some methods have been proposed to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Mengbang Zou , Weisi Guo

Existing methods for multi-modal time series representation learning aim to disentangle the modality-shared and modality-specific latent variables. Although achieving notable performances on downstream tasks, they usually assume an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Ruichu Cai , Zhifang Jiang , Zijian Li , Weilin Chen , Xuexin Chen , Zhifeng Hao , Yifan Shen , Guangyi Chen , Kun Zhang

Information diffusion prediction is a fundamental task which forecasts how an information item will spread among users. In recent years, deep learning based methods, especially those based on recurrent neural networks (RNNs), have achieved…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-12-17 Haoran Wang , Cheng Yang

The decomposition of a time series is an essential task that helps to understand its very nature. It facilitates the analysis and forecasting of complex time series expressing various hidden components such as the trend, seasonal…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-25 Grzegorz Dudek

We propose a stochastic approximation (SA) based method with randomization of samples for policy evaluation using the least squares temporal difference (LSTD) algorithm. Our proposed scheme is equivalent to running regular temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-27 L. A. Prashanth , Nathaniel Korda , Rémi Munos

We present Latent Diffeomorphic Dynamic Mode Decomposition (LDDMD), a new data reduction approach for the analysis of non-linear systems that combines the interpretability of Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) with the predictive power of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-04 Willem Diepeveen , Jon Schwenk , Andrea Bertozzi