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Recent innovations in diffusion probabilistic models have paved the way for significant progress in image, text and audio generation, leading to their applications in generative time series forecasting. However, leveraging such abilities to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-07 Yuansan Liu , Sudanthi Wijewickrema , Dongting Hu , Christofer Bester , Stephen O'Leary , James Bailey

In order to support the advancement of machine learning methods for predicting time-series data, we present a comprehensive dataset designed explicitly for long-term time-series forecasting. We incorporate a collection of datasets obtained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-29 Jacek Cyranka , Szymon Haponiuk

This contribution proposes a recursive, computationally efficient, ready-to-use, online method for the ellipsoidal state characterization for linear discrete-time models with additive unknown disturbances vectors (bounded by known possibly…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-28 Yasmina Becis-Aubry

Time series forecasting plays a critical role in decision-making across many real-world applications. Unlike data in vision and language domains, time series data is inherently tied to the evolution of underlying processes and can only…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Suhan Guo , Bingxu Wang , Shaodan Zhang , Furao Shen

In the framework of time series analysis with recurrence networks, we introduce a self-adaptive method that determines the elusive recurrence threshold and identifies metastable states in complex real-world time series. As initial step, we…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-10-22 Iliusi Vega , Christof Schütte , Tim O. F. Conrad

Extreme weather frequently cause widespread outages in distribution systems (DSs), demonstrating the importance of hardening strategies for resilience enhancement. However, the well-utilization of real-world outage data with associated…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-06 Wenlong Shi , Hongyi Li , Zhaoyu Wang

Long Short-Term Memory Networks (LSTMs) have been applied to daily discharge prediction with remarkable success. Many practical scenarios, however, require predictions at more granular timescales. For instance, accurate prediction of short…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-20 Martin Gauch , Frederik Kratzert , Daniel Klotz , Grey Nearing , Jimmy Lin , Sepp Hochreiter

Global oil demand is rapidly increasing and is expected to reach 106.3 million barrels per day by 2040. Thus, it is vital for hydrocarbon extraction industries to forecast their production to optimize their operations and avoid losses. Big…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-31 Siavash Hosseini , Thangarajah Akilan

Dynamic graph neural networks (DyGNNs) have demonstrated powerful predictive abilities by exploiting graph structural and temporal dynamics. However, the existing DyGNNs fail to handle distribution shifts, which naturally exist in dynamic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-11 Zeyang Zhang , Xin Wang , Ziwei Zhang , Haoyang Li , Wenwu Zhu

Digital twins (DTs), serving as the core enablers for real-time monitoring and predictive maintenance of complex cyber-physical systems, impose critical requirements on their virtual models: high predictive accuracy, strong…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-01-16 He Ren , Gaowei Yan , Hang Liu , Lifeng Cao , Zhijun Zhao , Gang Dang

Several applications in time series forecasting require predicting multiple steps ahead. Despite the vast amount of literature in the topic, both classical and recent deep learning based approaches have mostly focused on minimising…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-15 Ignacio Hounie , Javier Porras-Valenzuela , Alejandro Ribeiro

Temporal Difference (TD) algorithms are widely used in Deep Reinforcement Learning (RL). Their performance is heavily influenced by the size of the neural network. While in supervised learning, the regime of over-parameterization and its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-20 David Brellmann , Eloïse Berthier , David Filliat , Goran Frehse

Disentangled representations seek to recover latent factors of variation underlying observed data, yet their identifiability is still not fully understood. We introduce a unified framework in which disentanglement is achieved through…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Stefan Matthes , Zhiwei Han , Hao Shen

This paper discusses stability and robustness properties of a recently proposed observer algorithm for linear time varying systems. The observer is based on the approximation and subsequent modification of the non-negative Lyapunov…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-09-19 Markus Tranninger , Sergiy Zhuk , Martin Steinberger , Leonid Fridman , Martin Horn

We study the problem of modeling a non-linear dynamical system when given a time series by deriving equations directly from the data. Despite the fact that time series data are given as input, models for dynamics and estimation algorithms…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-16 Ren Fujiwara , Yasuko Matsubara , Yasushi Sakurai

We propose a simple yet effective divide-and-discard (DD) approach to guaranteed state estimation for nonlinear discrete-time systems. Our method iteratively subdivides interval enclosures of the state and propagates them forward in time…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-14 Nico Holzinger , Matthias Althoff

Offline policy evaluation is a fundamental statistical problem in reinforcement learning that involves estimating the value function of some decision-making policy given data collected by a potentially different policy. In order to tackle…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-20 Juan C. Perdomo , Akshay Krishnamurthy , Peter Bartlett , Sham Kakade

Quantum state discrimination is one of the most fundamental problems studied in quantum information theory. Applications range from channel coding to metrology and cryptography. In this work, we introduce a new variant of this task: Local…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-05-20 Christian Majenz , Maris Ozols , Christian Schaffner , Mehrdad Tahmasbi

Deep learning has achieved incredible success over the past years, especially in various challenging predictive spatio-temporal analytics (PSTA) tasks, such as disease prediction, climate forecast, and traffic prediction, where intrinsic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-18 Qi Tan , Yang Liu , Jiming Liu

Urban spatio-temporal prediction under extreme conditions (e.g., heavy rain) is challenging due to event rarity and dynamics. Existing data-driven approaches that incorporate weather as auxiliary input often rely on coarse-grained…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Qian Hong , Siyuan Chang , Xiao Zhou
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