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This paper studies higher-order inference properties of nonparametric local polynomial regression methods under random sampling. We prove Edgeworth expansions for $t$ statistics and coverage error expansions for interval estimators that (i)…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-07-26 Sebastian Calonico , Matias D. Cattaneo , Max H. Farrell

Transductive conformal prediction addresses the simultaneous prediction for multiple data points. Given a desired confidence level, the objective is to construct a prediction set that includes the true outcomes with the prescribed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-08 Arash Behboodi , Alvaro H. C. Correia , Fabio Valerio Massoli , Christos Louizos

We study the approximation of $\mathbb{E}f(X_T)$ by a Monte Carlo algorithm, where $X$ is the solution of a stochastic differential equation and $f$ is a given function. We introduce a new variance reduction method, which can be viewed as a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ahmed Kebaier

A highly influential ingredient of many techniques designed to exploit sparsity in numerical optimization is the so-called chordal extension of a graph representation of the optimization problem. The definitive relation between chordal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-18 Defeng Liu , Andrea Lodi , Mathieu Tanneau

The voting method, an ensemble approach for fundamental frequency estimation, is empirically known for its robustness but lacks thorough investigation. This paper provides a principled analysis and improvement of this technique. First, we…

Sound · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Junya Koguchi , Tomoki Koriyama

We provide several algorithms for constrained optimization of a large class of convex problems, including softmax, $\ell_p$ regression, and logistic regression. Central to our approach is the notion of width reduction, a technique which has…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-07 Deeksha Adil , Brian Bullins , Sushant Sachdeva

Conformal prediction has emerged as a widely used framework for constructing valid prediction sets in classification and regression tasks. In this work, we extend the split conformal prediction framework to hierarchical classification,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-13 Thomas Mortier , Alireza Javanmardi , Yusuf Sale , Eyke Hüllermeier , Willem Waegeman

Adaptive sampling algorithms are modern and efficient methods that dynamically adjust the sample size throughout the optimization process. However, they may encounter difficulties in risk-averse settings, particularly due to the challenge…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-17 Sandra Pieraccini , Tommaso Vanzan

We address the solution of time-varying optimization problems characterized by the sum of a time-varying strongly convex function and a time-invariant nonsmooth convex function. We design an online algorithmic framework based on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-07 Nicola Bastianello , Andrea Simonetto , Ruggero Carli

Conformal prediction can be used to construct prediction sets that cover the true outcome with a desired probability, but can sometimes lead to large prediction sets that are costly in practice. The most useful outcome is a singleton…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-05 Tao Wang , Yan Sun , Edgar Dobriban

In a typical optimization problem, the task is to pick one of a number of options with the lowest cost or the highest value. In practice, these cost/value quantities often come through processes such as measurement or machine learning,…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-07-20 Mohammad Mahdian , Jieming Mao , Kangning Wang

The paper algorithmizes the problem of regime change point identification for data measured in a system exhibiting impulsive behaviors. This is a fundamental challenge for annotation of measurement data relevant, e.g., for designing…

In this paper, we consider a class of structured nonsmooth fractional minimization, where the first part of the objective is the ratio of a nonnegative nonsmooth nonconvex function to a nonnegative nonsmooth convex function, while the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-25 Junpeng Zhou , Na Zhang , Qia Li

In spite of considerable progress, computing curvature in Volume of Fluid (VOF) methods continues to be a challenge. The goal is to develop a function or a subroutine that returns the curvature in computational cells containing an interface…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-11-14 Yinghe Qi , Jiacai Lu , Ruben Scardovelli , Stephane Zaleski , Gretar Tryggvason

Variance estimation is a fundamental problem in statistical modeling. In ultrahigh dimensional linear regressions where the dimensionality is much larger than sample size, traditional variance estimation techniques are not applicable.…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-12-27 Jianqing Fan , Shaojun Guo , Ning Hao

This paper introduces a boosted conformal procedure designed to tailor conformalized prediction intervals toward specific desired properties, such as enhanced conditional coverage or reduced interval length. We employ machine learning…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-12 Ran Xie , Rina Foygel Barber , Emmanuel J. Candès

We examine the problem of construction of confidence intervals within the basic single-parameter, single-iteration variation of the method of quasi-optimal weights. Two kinds of distortions of such intervals due to insufficiently large…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-05-27 A. D. Morozov , A. V. Lokhov , F. V. Tkachov

We study the problem of evaluating the excess risk of large-scale empirical risk minimization under the square loss. Leveraging the idea of wild refitting and resampling, we assume only black-box access to the training algorithm and develop…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Haichen Hu , David Simchi-Levi

Machine learning algorithms have grown in sophistication over the years and are increasingly deployed for real-life applications. However, when using machine learning techniques in practical settings, particularly in high-risk applications…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-06 Sukrita Singh , Neeraj Sarna , Yuanyuan Li , Yang Li , Agni Orfanoudaki , Michael Berger

Survey sampling is concerned with the estimation of finite population parameters. In practice, survey data suffer from item nonresponse, which is commonly handled through imputation, i.e., replacing missing values with predicted values. As…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-06 Ziming An , Mehdi Dagdoug , David Haziza