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Discrimination and calibration represent two important properties of survival analysis, with the former assessing the model's ability to accurately rank subjects and the latter evaluating the alignment of predicted outcomes with actual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Shi-ang Qi , Yakun Yu , Russell Greiner

We study the following basic machine learning task: Given a fixed set of $d$-dimensional input points for a linear regression problem, we wish to predict a hidden response value for each of the points. We can only afford to attain the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-07 Michał Dereziński , Manfred K. Warmuth

Given a full rank matrix $X$ with more columns than rows, consider the task of estimating the pseudo inverse $X^+$ based on the pseudo inverse of a sampled subset of columns (of size at least the number of rows). We show that this is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-07 Michał Dereziński , Manfred K. Warmuth

This work suggests fundamentally rethinking the current practice of pruning large language models (LLMs). The way it is done is by divide and conquer: split the model into submodels, sequentially prune them, and reconstruct predictions of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-10-14 Sungbin Shin , Wonpyo Park , Jaeho Lee , Namhoon Lee

Constraint satisfaction is a critical component in a wide range of engineering applications, including but not limited to safe multi-agent control and economic dispatch in power systems. This study explores violation-free distributed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-12 Changxin Liu , Xiao Tan , Xuyang Wu , Dimos V. Dimarogonas , Karl H. Johansson

We study the well known difficult problem of prediction in measurement error models. By targeting directly at the prediction interval instead of the point prediction, we construct a prediction interval by providing estimators of both the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-20 Fei Jiang , Yanyuan Ma

Conformal inference is a popular tool for constructing prediction intervals (PI). We consider here the scenario of post-selection/selective conformal inference, that is PIs are reported only for individuals selected from an unlabeled test…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-13 Yajie Bao , Yuyang Huo , Haojie Ren , Changliang Zou

Off-policy evaluation is critical in a number of applications where new policies need to be evaluated offline before online deployment. Most existing methods focus on the expected return, define the target parameter through averaging and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-10 Yingying Zhang , Chengchun Shi , Shikai Luo

Online imitation learning is the problem of how best to mimic expert demonstrations, given access to the environment or an accurate simulator. Prior work has shown that in the infinite sample regime, exact moment matching achieves value…

Conformal prediction is a framework for providing prediction intervals with distribution-free validity, guaranteeing predictive coverage for data drawn from any distribution. Its two main variants are full conformal prediction and split…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Aabesh Bhattacharyya , Boxuan Zhang , Rina Foygel Barber

In this paper, a finite volume element (FVE) method is considered for spatial approximations of time-fractional diffusion equations involving a Riemann-Liouville fractional derivative of order $\alpha \in (0,1)$ in time. Improving upon…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-02-14 Samir Karaa , Amiya K. Pani

Conformal prediction is a technique for constructing prediction intervals that attain valid coverage in finite samples, without making distributional assumptions. Despite this appeal, existing conformal methods can be unnecessarily…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-09 Yaniv Romano , Evan Patterson , Emmanuel J. Candès

We introduce Conformal Interquantile Regression (CIR), a conformal regression method that efficiently constructs near-minimal prediction intervals with guaranteed coverage. CIR leverages black-box machine learning models to estimate outcome…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-07 Naixin Guo , Rui Luo , Zhixin Zhou

We adapt a manifold sampling algorithm for the nonsmooth, nonconvex formulations of learning that arise when imposing robustness to outliers present in the training data. We demonstrate the approach on objectives based on trimmed loss.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-07-10 Matt Menickelly , Stefan M. Wild

Conformal prediction (CP) has become a cornerstone of distribution-free uncertainty quantification, conventionally evaluated by its coverage and interval length. This work critically examines the sufficiency of these standard metrics. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-30 Yizhou Min , Yizhou Lu , Lanqi Li , Zhen Zhang , Jiaye Teng

Vovk (2015) introduced cross-conformal prediction, a modification of split conformal designed to improve the width of prediction sets. The method, when trained with a miscoverage rate equal to $\alpha$ and $n \gg K$, ensures a marginal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-22 Matteo Gasparin , Aaditya Ramdas

Active Learning (AL) is a learning task that requires learners interactively query the labels of the sampled unlabeled instances to minimize the training outputs with human supervisions. In theoretical study, learners approximate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-29 Xiaofeng Cao , Ivor W. Tsang , Guandong Xu

We consider a general linear parabolic problem with extended time boundary conditions (including initial value problems and periodic ones), and approximate it by the implicit Euler scheme in time and the Gradient Discretisation method in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-08-22 J Droniou , R Eymard , T Gallouët , C Guichard , R Herbin

Image segmentation is a challenging task influenced by multiple sources of uncertainty, such as the data labeling process or the sampling of training data. In this paper we focus on binary segmentation and address these challenges using…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-10 Luca Mossina , Corentin Friedrich

We investigate the calibration of estimations to increase performance with an optimal monotone transform on the estimator outputs. We start by studying the traditional square error setting with its weighted variant and show that the optimal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-02 Kaan Gokcesu , Hakan Gokcesu