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We consider the unsupervised learning problem of assigning labels to unlabeled data. A naive approach is to use clustering methods, but this works well only when data is properly clustered and each cluster corresponds to an underlying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-05-02 Marthinus Christoffel du Plessis , Masashi Sugiyama

Ordinal classification problems, where labels exhibit a natural order, are prevalent in high-stakes fields such as medicine and finance. Accurate uncertainty quantification, including the decomposition into aleatoric (inherent variability)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-02 Stefan Haas , Eyke Hüllermeier

This paper deals with the binary classification task when the target class has the lower probability of occurrence. In such situation, it is not possible to build a powerful classifier by using standard methods such as logistic regression,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-02-26 Cheikh Ndour , Aliou Diop , Simplice Dossou-Gbété

The estimated accuracy of a classifier is a random quantity with variability. A common practice in supervised machine learning, is thus to test if the estimated accuracy is significantly better than chance level. This method of signal…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-28 Jonathan D. Rosenblatt , Yuval Benjamini , Roee Gilron , Roy Mukamel , Jelle J. Goeman

Binary classification is highly used in credit scoring in the estimation of probability of default. The validation of such predictive models is based both on rank ability, and also on calibration (i.e. how accurately the probabilities…

Econometrics · Economics 2017-10-25 Pedro G. Fonseca , Hugo D. Lopes

Classification is a machine learning method used in many practical applications: text mining, handwritten character recognition, face recognition, pattern classification, scene labeling, computer vision, natural langage processing. A…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-05 Doulaye Dembélé

Anomaly detection is not an easy problem since distribution of anomalous samples is unknown a priori. We explore a novel method that gives a trade-off possibility between one-class and two-class approaches, and leads to a better performance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-26 Maxim Borisyak , Artem Ryzhikov , Andrey Ustyuzhanin , Denis Derkach , Fedor Ratnikov , Olga Mineeva

We propose using performance metrics derived from zero-failure testing to assess binary classifiers. The principal characteristic of the proposed approach is the asymmetric treatment of the two types of error. In particular, we construct a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-08 Ioannis Ivrissimtzis , Matthew Houliston , Shauna Concannon , Graham Roberts

We study the problem of fair binary classification using the notion of Equal Opportunity. It requires the true positive rate to distribute equally across the sensitive groups. Within this setting we show that the fair optimal classifier is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-05 Evgenii Chzhen , Christophe Denis , Mohamed Hebiri , Luca Oneto , Massimiliano Pontil

Uncertainty sampling in active learning is heavily used in practice to reduce the annotation cost. However, there has been no wide consensus on the function to be used for uncertainty estimation in binary classification tasks and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-01 Anant Raj , Francis Bach

Formulating accurate and robust classification strategies is a key challenge of developing diagnostic and antibody tests. Methods that do not explicitly account for disease prevalence and uncertainty therein can lead to significant…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-01 Paul N. Patrone , Anthony J. Kearsley

Classification is a ubiquitous and fundamental problem in artificial intelligence and machine learning, with extensive efforts dedicated to developing more powerful classifiers and larger datasets. However, the classification task is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-22 Mario Franco , Gerardo Febres , Nelson Fernández , Carlos Gershenson

The paper studies binary classification and aims at estimating the underlying regression function which is the conditional expectation of the class labels given the inputs. The regression function is the key component of the Bayes optimal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-26 Balázs Csanád Csáji , Ambrus Tamás

In a data-scarce field such as healthcare, where models often deliver predictions on patients with rare conditions, the ability to measure the uncertainty of a model's prediction could potentially lead to improved effectiveness of decision…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-26 Lotta Meijerink , Giovanni Cinà , Michele Tonutti

Conducting a randomization test is a common method for testing causal null hypotheses in randomized experiments. The popularity of randomization tests is largely because their statistical validity only depends on the randomization design,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-15 Siyu Heng , Pamela A. Shaw

A user-focused verification approach for evaluating probability forecasts of binary outcomes (also known as probabilistic classifiers) is demonstrated that is (i) based on proper scoring rules, (ii) focuses on user decision thresholds, and…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-25 Nicholas Loveday , Robert Taggart , Mohammadreza Khanarmuei

Classification is the task of predicting the class labels of objects based on the observation of their features. In contrast, quantification has been defined as the task of determining the prevalences of the different sorts of class labels…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-15 Dirk Tasche

Quantitative characterizations and estimations of uncertainty are of fundamental importance in optimization and decision-making processes. Herein, we propose intuitive scores, which we call certainty and doubt, that can be used in both a…

Probabilistic classifiers output a probability distribution on target classes rather than just a class prediction. Besides providing a clear separation of prediction and decision making, the main advantage of probabilistic models is their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-20 Juozas Vaicenavicius , David Widmann , Carl Andersson , Fredrik Lindsten , Jacob Roll , Thomas B. Schön

We consider a problem of learning a binary classifier only from positive data and unlabeled data (PU learning) and estimating the class-prior in unlabeled data under the case-control scenario. Most of the recent methods of PU learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-18 Masahiro Kato , Liyuan Xu , Gang Niu , Masashi Sugiyama