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Dengue virus has caused major problems for public health officials for decades in tropical and subtropical countries. We construct a compartmental model that includes the risk of hospitalization and its impact on public health policies. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-08-09 Fabio Sanchez , Jorge Arroyo-Esquivel , Paola Vasquez

Branching processes are widely used to model the viral epidemic evolution. For more adequate investigation of viral epidemic modelling, we suggest to apply branching processes with transport of particles usually called branching random…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-29 Elizaveta Ermakova , Polina Makhmutova , Elena Yarovaya

One of the popular dynamics on complex networks is the epidemic spreading. An epidemic model describes how infections spread throughout a network. Among the compartmental models used to describe epidemics, the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-07-14 Faryad Darabi Sahneh , Caterina Scoglio

We propose a new model that describes the dynamics of epidemic spreading on connected graphs. Our model consists in a PDE-ODE system where at each vertex of the graph we have a standard SIR model and connexions between vertices are given by…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-11-25 Christophe Besse , Grégory Faye

In this paper we study disease spread over a randomly switched network, which is modeled by a stochastic switched differential equation based on the so called $N$-intertwined model for disease spread over static networks. Assuming that all…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-04 Masaki Ogura , Victor M. Preciado

Dengue is one of the major international public health concerns. Although progress is underway, developing a vaccine against the disease is challenging. Thus, the main approach to fight the disease is vector control. A model for the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Helena Sofia Rodrigues , M. Teresa T. Monteiro , Delfim F. M. Torres , Alan Zinober

A random graph model with prescribed degree distribution and degree dependent edge weights is introduced. Each vertex is independently equipped with a random number of half-edges and each half-edge is assigned an integer valued weight…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-28 Tom Britton , Maria Deijfen , Fredrik Liljeros

Whole genome sequencing of pathogens from multiple hosts in an epidemic offers the potential to investigate who infected whom with unparalleled resolution, potentially yielding important insights into disease dynamics and the impact of…

Contagion, broadly construed, refers to anything that can spread infectiously from peer to peer. Examples include communicable diseases, rumors, misinformation, ideas, innovations, bank failures, and electrical blackouts. Sometimes, as in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-08 Jonas S. Juul , Steven H. Strogatz

A wide range of infectious diseases are both vertically and horizontally transmitted. Such diseases are spatially transmitted via multiple species in heterogeneous environments, typically described by complex meta-population models. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-03-05 Ling Xue , Caterina Scoglio

This paper describes a mathematical model for the spread of a virus through an isolated population of a given size. The model uses three, color-coded components, called molecules (red for infected and still contagious; green for infected,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-01 Neil R. Sheeley

There is a rich history of models for the interaction of a biological contagion like influenza with the spread of related information such as an influenza vaccination campaign. Recent work on the spread of interacting contagions on networks…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-09-02 Laurent Hébert-Dufresne , Dina Mistry , Benjamin M. Althouse

We study a system of random walks, known as the frog model, starting from a profile of independent Poisson($\lambda$) particles per site, with one additional active particle planted at some vertex $\mathbf{o}$ of a finite connected simple…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Itai Benjamini , Luiz Renato Fontes , Jonathan Hermon , Fabio Prates Machado

Built environment supports all the daily activities and shapes our health. Leveraging informative street view imagery, previous research has established the profound correlation between the built environment and chronic, non-communicable…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-17 Zhenyu Han , Yanxin Xi , Tong Xia , Yu Liu , Yong Li

It is possible to model vector-borne infection using the classical Ross-Macdonald model. This attempt, however fails in several respects. First, using measured (or estimated) parameters, the model predicts a much greater number of cases…

We consider the spread of infectious disease through contact networks of Configuration Model type. We assume that the disease spreads through contacts and infected individuals recover into an immune state. We discuss a number of existing…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-03-11 Joel C Miller , Istvan Z Kiss

We examine how spatial heterogeneity combines with mobility network structure to influence vector-borne disease dynamics. Specifically, we consider a Ross-Macdonald-type disease model on $n$ spatial locations that are coupled by host…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-04-22 Omar Saucedo , Joseph H. Tien

Vector-borne diseases with reservoir cycles are complex to understand because new infections come from contacts of the vector with humans and different reservoirs. In this scenario, the basic reproductive number $\mathcal{R}^h_0$ of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-02-10 Esteban Vargas , Camilo Sanabria

Understanding how contagions (information, infections, etc) are spread on complex networks is important both from practical as well as theoretical point of view. Considerable work has been done in this regard in the past decade or so.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-05 Afshin Montakhab , Pouya Manshour

Epidemiological models may give some basic guidelines for public health practitioners, allowing to analyze issues that can influence the strategies to prevent and fight a disease. To be used in decision-making, however, a mathematical model…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-08-15 Helena Sofia Rodrigues , M. Teresa T. Monteiro , Delfim F. M. Torres