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Existing calibration algorithms address the problem of covariate shift via unsupervised domain adaptation. However, these methods suffer from the following limitations: 1) they require unlabeled data from the target domain, which may not be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-19 Yunye Gong , Xiao Lin , Yi Yao , Thomas G. Dietterich , Ajay Divakaran , Melinda Gervasio

Reliable uncertainty estimates are an important tool for helping autonomous agents or human decision makers understand and leverage predictive models. However, existing approaches to estimating uncertainty largely ignore the possibility of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-22 Sangdon Park , Osbert Bastani , James Weimer , Insup Lee

Foundation models like CLIP and SAM have advanced computer vision and medical imaging via low-shot transfer learning, aiding CADD with limited data. However, their deployment faces two key challenges. \textit{distribution shift} where…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Behraj Khan , Tahir Qasim Syed , Nouman M. Durrani , Bilal Naseem , Shabir Ahmad , Rizwan Qureshi

Confidence calibration for classification models is vital in safety-critical decision-making scenarios and has received extensive attention. General confidence calibration methods assume training and test data are independent and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Jinzong Dong , Zhaohui Jiang , Bo Yang

A probabilistic model is said to be calibrated if its predicted probabilities match the corresponding empirical frequencies. Calibration is important for uncertainty quantification and decision making in safety-critical applications. While…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-01 Anusri Pampari , Stefano Ermon

Confidence calibration is an emerging challenge in real-world decision systems based on foundations models when used for downstream vision classification tasks. Due to various reasons exposed, logit scores on the CLIP head remain large…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-26 Behraj Khan , Tahir Syed

Pre-trained vision-language models have inspired much research on few-shot learning. However, with only a few training images, there exist two crucial problems: (1) the visual feature distributions are easily distracted by class-irrelevant…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-05-22 Runqi Wang , Hao Zheng , Xiaoyue Duan , Jianzhuang Liu , Yuning Lu , Tian Wang , Songcen Xu , Baochang Zhang

Deep neural networks often produce overconfident predictions, undermining their reliability in safety-critical applications. This miscalibration is further exacerbated under distribution shift, where test data deviates from the training…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-08-28 Yilin Zhang , Cai Xu , You Wu , Ziyu Guan , Wei Zhao

Transfer learning enables the sharing of common knowledge among models for a variety of downstream tasks, but traditional methods suffer in limited training data settings and produce narrow models incapable of effectively generalizing under…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Kevin Vogt-Lowell , Noah Lee , Theodoros Tsiligkaridis , Marc Vaillant

The Segment Anything Model (SAM) exhibits strong zero-shot performance on natural images but suffers from domain shift and overconfidence when applied to medical volumes. We propose \textbf{CalSAM}, a lightweight adaptation framework that…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Behraj Khan , Tahir Qasim Syed

When training data are distributed across{ time or space,} covariate shift across fragments of training data biases cross-validation, compromising model selection and assessment. We present \textit{Fragmentation-Induced covariate-shift…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Behraj Khan , Behroz Mirza , Nouman Durrani , Tahir Syed

Machine learning models used in medical applications often face challenges due to the covariate shift, which occurs when there are discrepancies between the distributions of training and target data. This can lead to decreased predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Mingyang Cai , Thomas Klausch , Mark A. van de Wiel

Modern neural networks have proven to be powerful function approximators, providing state-of-the-art performance in a multitude of applications. They however fall short in their ability to quantify confidence in their predictions - this is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-29 Alex J. Chan , Ahmed M. Alaa , Zhaozhi Qian , Mihaela van der Schaar

An important challenge facing modern machine learning is how to rigorously quantify the uncertainty of model predictions. Conveying uncertainty is especially important when there are changes to the underlying data distribution that might…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-17 Sangdon Park , Edgar Dobriban , Insup Lee , Osbert Bastani

A pervasive phenomenon in machine learning applications is distribution shift, where training and deployment conditions for a machine learning model differ. As distribution shift typically results in a degradation in performance, much…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-23 Philip Amortila , Tongyi Cao , Akshay Krishnamurthy

Cross-Domain Few-Shot Learning (CDFSL) adapts models trained with large-scale general data (source domain) to downstream target domains with only scarce training data, where the research on vision-language models (e.g., CLIP) is still in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Yaze Zhao , Yixiong Zou , Yuhua Li , Ruixuan Li

Covariate shift has been shown to sharply degrade both predictive accuracy and the calibration of uncertainty estimates for deep learning models. This is worrying, because covariate shift is prevalent in a wide range of real world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-18 Zachary Nado , Shreyas Padhy , D. Sculley , Alexander D'Amour , Balaji Lakshminarayanan , Jasper Snoek

Varying domains and biased datasets can lead to differences between the training and the target distributions, known as covariate shift. Current approaches for alleviating this often rely on estimating the ratio of training and target…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-27 Bijan Mazaheri , Siddharth Jain , Jehoshua Bruck

Improving out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization during in-distribution (ID) adaptation is a primary goal of robust fine-tuning of zero-shot models beyond naive fine-tuning. However, despite decent OOD generalization performance from…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-11-08 Changdae Oh , Hyesu Lim , Mijoo Kim , Dongyoon Han , Sangdoo Yun , Jaegul Choo , Alexander Hauptmann , Zhi-Qi Cheng , Kyungwoo Song

Recent progress in few-shot learning promotes a more realistic cross-domain setting, where the source and target datasets are from different domains. Due to the domain gap and disjoint label spaces between source and target datasets, their…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-24 Pan Li , Shaogang Gong , Chengjie Wang , Yanwei Fu
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