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Determining the number of change-points is a first-step and fundamental task in change-point detection problems, as it lays the groundwork for subsequent change-point position estimation. While the existing literature offers various methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Ao Sun , Jingyuan Liu

This paper investigates the interplay between sequential hypothesis testing (SHT) and adversarial decision-making in partially observable games, focusing on the deceptive strategies of red and blue teams. Inspired by Sun Zi's The Art of War…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-02 Haosheng Zhou , Daniel Ralston , Xu Yang , Ruimeng Hu

In order to test if a treatment is perceptibly different from a placebo in a randomized experiment with covariates, classical nonparametric tests based on ranks of observations/residuals have been employed (eg: by Rosenbaum), with…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-15 Boyan Duan , Aaditya Ramdas , Larry Wasserman

Hypothesis testing via e-variables can be framed as a sequential betting game, where a player each round picks an e-variable. A good player's strategy results in an effective statistical test that rejects the null hypothesis as soon as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-30 Eugenio Clerico

This paper considers the problem of Bayesian optimization for systems with safety-critical constraints, where both the objective function and the constraints are unknown, but can be observed by querying the system. In safety-critical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-06 Dinesh Krishnamoorthy , Francis J. Doyle

We propose a grid-based methodology for online changepoint detection that allows offline changepoint tests to be applied to sequentially observed data. The methodology achieves low update and storage costs by testing for changepoints over a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-20 Per August Jarval Moen

Online decision making aims to learn the optimal decision rule by making personalized decisions and updating the decision rule recursively. It has become easier than before with the help of big data, but new challenges also come along.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-16 Haoyu Chen , Wenbin Lu , Rui Song

Using bandit algorithms to conduct adaptive randomised experiments can minimise regret, but it poses major challenges for statistical inference (e.g., biased estimators, inflated type-I error and reduced power). Recent attempts to address…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-02 Nina Deliu , Joseph J. Williams , Sofia S. Villar

In this paper, we proposed an interior point method for constrained optimization, which is characterized by the using of quasi-tangential subproblem. This algorithm follows the main ideas of primal dual interior point methods and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-09-10 Songqiang Qiu , Zhongwen Chen

We present a robust framework with computational algorithms to support decision makers in sequential games. Our framework includes methods to solve games with complete information, assess the robustness of such solutions and, finally,…

Computation · Statistics 2024-02-22 Tahir Ekin , Roi Naveiro , Alberto Torres-Barrán , David Ríos-Insua

We introduce a new hypothesis testing-based learning dynamics in which players update their strategies by combining hypothesis testing with utility-driven exploration. In this dynamics, each player forms beliefs about opponents' strategies…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-08-01 Ruifan Yang , Manxi Wu

A new variant of Newton's method for empirical risk minimization is studied, where at each iteration of the optimization algorithm, the gradient and Hessian of the objective function are replaced by robust estimators taken from existing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-18 Eirini Ioannou , Muni Sreenivas Pydi , Po-Ling Loh

The construction of confidence intervals for the mean of a bounded random variable is a classical problem in statistics with numerous applications in machine learning and virtually all scientific fields. In particular, obtaining the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Václav Voráček , Francesco Orabona

The aim of this paper is to design computationally-efficient and optimal algorithms for the online and stochastic exp-concave optimization settings. Typical algorithms for these settings, such as the Online Newton Step (ONS), can guarantee…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-02-15 Zakaria Mhammedi , Khashayar Gatmiry

A stochastic-gradient-based interior-point algorithm for minimizing a continuously differentiable objective function (that may be nonconvex) subject to bound constraints is presented, analyzed, and demonstrated through experimental results.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-15 Frank E. Curtis , Vyacheslav Kungurtsev , Daniel P. Robinson , Qi Wang

Test-time prompt tuning enhances zero-shot generalization of vision-language models but tends to ignore the relatedness among test samples during inference. Online test-time prompt tuning provides a simple way to leverage the information in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-29 Zehao Xiao , Shilin Yan , Jack Hong , Jiayin Cai , Xiaolong Jiang , Yao Hu , Jiayi Shen , Qi Wang , Cees G. M. Snoek

In the recent years, a number of parameter-free algorithms have been developed for online linear optimization over Hilbert spaces and for learning with expert advice. These algorithms achieve optimal regret bounds that depend on the unknown…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-07 Francesco Orabona , Dávid Pál

This paper considers a class of convex optimization problems where both, the objective function and the constraints, have a continuously varying dependence on time. Our goal is to develop an algorithm to track the optimal solution as it…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-10-07 Mahyar Fazlyab , Santiago Paternain , Victor M. Preciado , Alejandro Ribeiro

We propose an algorithm for nonparametric online change point detection based on sequential score function estimation and the tracking the best expert approach. The core of the procedure is a version of the fixed share forecaster tailored…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-18 Anna Markovich , Nikita Puchkin

This paper investigates a novel offline change-point detection problem from an information-theoretic perspective. In contrast to most related works, we assume that the knowledge of the underlying pre- and post-change distributions are not…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-10-05 Haiyun He , Qiaosheng Zhang , Vincent Y. F. Tan