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We consider the Chance Constrained Model Predictive Control problem for polynomial systems subject to disturbances. In this problem, we aim at finding optimal control input for given disturbed dynamical system to minimize a given cost…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-05-04 Ashkan Jasour , Constantino Lagoa

We address an optimal control problem for linear stochastic systems with unknown noise distributions and joint chance constraints using conformal prediction. Our approach involves designing a feedback controller to maintain an error system…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-10 Eleftherios E. Vlahakis , Lars Lindemann , Pantelis Sopasakis , Dimos V. Dimarogonas

Traditional Statistical Process Control (SPC) is essential for quality management but is limited by its reliance on often violated statistical assumptions, leading to unreliable monitoring in modern, complex manufacturing environments. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Christopher Burger

Conformal Predictors (CP) are wrappers around ML models, providing error guarantees under weak assumptions on the data distribution. They are suitable for a wide range of problems, from classification and regression to anomaly detection.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-06 Giovanni Cherubin , Konstantinos Chatzikokolakis , Martin Jaggi

Precise estimation of predictive uncertainty in deep neural networks is a critical requirement for reliable decision-making in machine learning and statistical modeling, particularly in the context of medical AI. Conformal Prediction (CP)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-05 Hamed Karimi , Reza Samavi

In the realm of control systems, model predictive control (MPC) has exhibited remarkable potential; however, its reliance on accurate models and substantial computational resources has hindered its broader application, especially within…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-14 Amin Vahidi-Moghaddam , Kaian Chen , Kaixiang Zhang , Zhaojian Li , Yan Wang , Kai Wu

Conformal testing is a way of testing the IID assumption based on conformal prediction. The topic of this note is computational evaluation of the performance of conformal testing in a model situation in which IID binary observations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-06 Vladimir Vovk

Reliable confidence measures of metrics derived from medical imaging reconstruction pipelines would improve the standard of decision-making in many clinical workflows. Conformal Prediction (CP) provides a robust framework for producing…

In this work, we investigate the data-driven safe control synthesis problem for unknown dynamic systems. We first formulate the safety synthesis problem as a robust convex program (RCP) based on notion of control barrier function. To…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-04 Yu Chen , Chao Shang , Xiaolin Huang , Xiang Yin

Predictive models are often required to produce reliable predictions under statistical conditions that are not matched to the training data. A common type of training-testing mismatch is covariate shift, where the conditional distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Matteo Zecchin , Fredrik Hellström , Sangwoo Park , Shlomo Shamai , Osvaldo Simeone

Conformal prediction methodology has recently been extended to the covariate shift setting, where the distribution of covariates differs between training and test data. While existing results ensure that the prediction sets from these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-09 Mehrdad Pournaderi , Yu Xiang

Conformal prediction (CP) is a powerful framework for quantifying uncertainty in machine learning models, offering reliable predictions with finite-sample coverage guarantees. When applied to classification, CP produces a prediction set of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-20 Floris den Hengst , Inès Blin , Majid Mohammadi , Syed Ihtesham Hussain Shah , Taraneh Younesian

Safety and tracking stability are crucial for safety-critical systems such as self-driving cars, autonomous mobile robots, industrial manipulators. To efficiently control safety-critical systems to ensure their safety and achieve tracking…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-09-22 Lei Zheng , Jiesen Pan , Rui Yang , Hui Cheng , Haifeng Hu

For any black-box model, conformal prediction (CP) returns prediction sets guaranteed to include the true label with high adjustable probability. Robust CP (RCP) extends the guarantee to the worst case noise up to a pre-defined magnitude.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Soroush H. Zargarbashi , Mohammad Sadegh Akhondzadeh , Aleksandar Bojchevski

Unlike the typical classification setting where each instance is associated with a single class, in multi-label learning each instance is associated with multiple classes simultaneously. Therefore the learning task in this setting is to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-30 Harris Papadopoulos

Adaptive Conformal Inference (ACI) provides finite-sample coverage guarantees, enhancing the prediction reliability under non-exchangeability. This study demonstrates that these desirable properties of ACI do not require the use of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-02 Johan Hallberg Szabadváry , Tuwe Löfström

This paper offers a direct data-driven approach for learning robust control barrier certificates (R-CBCs) and robust safety controllers (R-SCs) for discrete-time input-affine polynomial systems with unknown dynamics under…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-22 Omid Akbarzadeh , MohammadHossein Ashoori , Abolfazl Lavaei

In statistics, forecast uncertainty is often quantified using a specified statistical model, though such approaches may be vulnerable to model misspecification, selection bias, and limited finite-sample validity. While bootstrapping can…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-12 Han Lin Shang

This paper addresses the design of safety certificates for stochastic systems, with a focus on ensuring long-term safety through fast real-time control. In stochastic environments, set invariance-based methods that restrict the probability…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-07 Zhuoyuan Wang , Haoming Jing , Christian Kurniawan , Albert Chern , Yorie Nakahira

In many real-world problems, predictions are leveraged to monitor and control cyber-physical systems, demanding guarantees on the satisfaction of reliability and safety requirements. However, predictions are inherently uncertain, and…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-10-17 Matteo Zecchin , Sangwoo Park , Osvaldo Simeone
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