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Accurate forecasting of the electrical load, such as the magnitude and the timing of peak power, is crucial to successful power system management and implementation of smart grid strategies like demand response and peak shaving. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Dafang Zhao , Xihao Piao , Zheng Chen , Zhengmao Li , Ittetsu Taniguchi

Renewable energies are deployed worldwide to mitigate climate change and push power systems towards sustainability. However, the weather-dependent nature of renewable energy sources often hinders their integration to national grids.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-02-24 Fausto A. Canales , Jakub Jurasz , Alexandre Beluco , Alexander Kies

Ensemble weather forecasts based on multiple runs of numerical weather prediction models typically show systematic errors and require post-processing to obtain reliable forecasts. Accurately modeling multivariate dependencies is crucial in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-02 Jieyu Chen , Tim Janke , Florian Steinke , Sebastian Lerch

To address the intermittency of renewable energy source (RES) generation, scenario forecasting offers a series of stochastic realizations for predictive objects with superior flexibility and direct views. Based on a long time-series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Yifei Wu , Bo Wang , Jingshi Cui , Pei-chun Lin , Junzo Watada

The increasing global demand for clean and environmentally friendly energy resources has caused increased interest in harnessing solar power through photovoltaic (PV) systems for smart grids and homes. However, the inherent unpredictability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-24 Saman Soleymani , Shima Mohammadzadeh

Weather forecasts from numerical weather prediction models play a central role in solar energy forecasting, where a cascade of physics-based models is used in a model chain approach to convert forecasts of solar irradiance to solar power…

Applications · Statistics 2024-06-10 Nina Horat , Sina Klerings , Sebastian Lerch

Continuous integration of renewable energy sources into power networks is causing a paradigm shift in energy generation and distribution with regards to trading and control; the intermittent nature of renewable sources affects pricing of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-19 Pablo R. Baldivieso Monasterios , Nandor Verba , Euan A Morris , Thomas Morstyn , George. C , . Konstantopoulos , Elena Gaura , Stephen McArthur

Active distribution system with high penetration of inverter based distributed energy resources (DER) can be utilized for VAR-related ancillary services. To utilize the DER flexibility, transmission system operator (TSO) must be presented…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-21 Aditya Shankar Kar , Kiran Kumar Challa , Alok Kumar Bharati , Ankit Singhal , Venkataramana Ajjarapu

With the growing number of forecasting techniques and the increasing significance of forecast-based operation - particularly in the rapidly evolving energy sector - selecting the most effective forecasting model has become a critical task.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-24 Fabian Backhaus , Karoline Brucke , Peter Ruckdeschel , Sunke Schlüters

Wind power forecasting is essential to power system operation and electricity markets. As abundant data became available thanks to the deployment of measurement infrastructures and the democratization of meteorological modelling, extensive…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-30 Honglin Wen , Pierre Pinson , Jie Gu , Zhijian Jin

Wind power producers can benefit from forming coalitions to participate cooperatively in electricity markets. To support such collaboration, various profit allocation rules rooted in cooperative game theory have been proposed. However,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-15 Honglin Wen , Pierre Pinson

Some applications of deep learning require not only to provide accurate results but also to quantify the amount of confidence in their prediction. The management of an electric power grid is one of these cases: to avoid risky scenarios,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-25 Michele Guerra , Simone Scardapane , Filippo Maria Bianchi

The growing renewable energy sources have posed significant challenges to traditional power scheduling. It is difficult for operators to obtain accurate day-ahead forecasts of renewable generation, thereby requiring the future scheduling…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-03-14 Shaohuai Liu , Jinbo Liu , Weirui Ye , Nan Yang , Guanglun Zhang , Haiwang Zhong , Chongqing Kang , Qirong Jiang , Xuri Song , Fangchun Di , Yang Gao

Ensuring the frequency stability of electric grids with increasing renewable resources is a key problem in power system operations. In recent years, a number of advanced controllers have been designed to optimize frequency control. These…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-23 Wenqi Cui , Guanya Shi , Yuanyuan Shi , Baosen Zhang

In many parts of the world, electric power systems have seen a significant shift towards generation from renewable energy and natural gas. Because of their ability to flexibly adjust power generation in real time, gas-fired power plants are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-26 Line A. Roald , Kaarthik Sundar , Anatoly Zlotnik , Sidhant Misra , Göran Andersson

This paper analyzes the impact of production forecast errors on the expansion planning of a power system and investigates the influence of market design to facilitate the integration of renewable generation. For this purpose, we propose a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-03-03 Salvador Pineda , Juan Miguel Morales , Trine Krogh Boomsma

The ever-growing use of wind energy makes necessary the optimization of turbine operations through pitch angle controllers and their maintenance with early fault detection. It is crucial to have accurate and robust models imitating the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-28 Alfonso Gijón , Ainhoa Pujana-Goitia , Eugenio Perea , Miguel Molina-Solana , Juan Gómez-Romero

Since the 1990s, widespread introduction of central (wholesale) electricity markets has been seen across multiple continents, driven by the search for efficient operation of the power grid through competition. The increase of renewables has…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-15 Pål Forr Austnes , Matthieu Jacobs , Lu Wang , Mario Paolone

Renewable sources of energy are the future due to the environmental problems caused by non-renewable sources to produce energy. The biggest issue with renewable energy sources is that the power produced by devices such as PV solar panels…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-24 Rohaib Bhatti , Ali John Naqvi , Abdullah Tauqeer

We study a smart grid with wind power and battery storage. Traditionally, day-ahead planning aims to balance demand and wind power, yet actual wind conditions often deviate from forecasts. Short-term flexibility in storage and generation…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-08 Thom S. Badings , Arnd Hartmanns , Nils Jansen , Marnix Suilen