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The rapid growth of distributed energy resources (DERs) presents both opportunities and operational challenges for electric grid management. Accurately predicting DER adoption is critical for proactive infrastructure planning, but the…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-17 Wenbin Zhou , Shixiang Zhu

Solar power becomes one of the most promising renewable energy resources in recent years. However, the weather is continuously changing, and this causes a discontinuity of energy generation. PV Power forecasting is a suitable solution to…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-22 Mohamed Massaoudi , Ines Chihi , Lilia Sidhom , Mohamed Trabelsi , Shady S. Refaat , Fakhreddine S. Oueslati

As the world shifts towards utilizing natural resources for electricity generation, there is need to enhance forecasting systems to guarantee a stable electricity provision and to incorporate the generated power into the network systems.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-24 Ismum Ul Hossain , Mohammad Nahidul Islam

In this article, we propose a novel ensemble technique with a multi-scheme weighting based on a technique called coopetitive soft gating. This technique combines both, ensemble member competition and cooperation, in order to maximize the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-03-20 André Gensler , Bernhard Sick

The increasing use of renewable energy sources (RESs) and responsive loads has made power systems more uncertain. Meanwhile, thanks to the development of advanced metering and forecasting technologies, predictions by RESs and load owners…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Rui Xie , Pierre Pinson , Yin Xu , Yue Chen

In the last decades wind power became the second largest energy source in the EU covering 16% of its electricity demand. However, due to its volatility, accurate short range wind power predictions are required for successful integration of…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-22 Sándor Baran , Ágnes Baran

In power system operation, characterizing the stochastic nature of wind power is an important albeit challenging issue. It is well known that distributions of wind power forecast errors often exhibit significant variability with respect to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-12-05 Zhiwen Wang , Chen Shen , Feng Liu

The increasing penetration of variable renewable energy (VRE) has brought significant challenges for power systems planning and operation. These highly variable sources are typically distributed in the grid; therefore, a detailed…

Probabilistic forecasts of wind speed are important for a wide range of applications, ranging from operational decision making in connection with wind power generation to storm warnings, ship routing and aviation. We present a statistical…

Applications · Statistics 2016-08-06 Michael Scheuerer , David Möller

The popular choice of using a $direct$ forecasting scheme implies that the individual predictions do not contain information on cross-horizon dependence. However, this dependence is needed if the forecaster has to construct, based on…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-12-10 Matteo Mogliani , Florens Odendahl

The future energy system will largely depend on volatile renewable energy sources and temperature-dependent loads, which makes the weather a central influencing factor. This article presents a novel approach for simulating weather scenarios…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-31 Jan Peper , David Kröger , Jonathan Kipp , Florian Ziel , Christian Rehtanz

The increasing penetration of volatile renewables combined with increasing demands poses a challenge to modern power grids. Furthermore, distributed energy resources and flexible devices (electric vehicles, PV generation, ...) are becoming…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-01 Emrah Öztürk , Kevin Kaspar , Timm Faulwasser , Karl Worthmann , Peter Kepplinger , Klaus Rheinberger

Wind energy is a widely distributed, renewable, and environmentally friendly energy source that plays a crucial role in mitigating global warming and addressing energy shortages. Nevertheless, wind power generation is characterized by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Meiyu Jiang , Jun Shen , Xuetao Jiang , Lihui Luo , Rui Zhou , Qingguo Zhou

The increasing rate of penetration of non-conventional renewable energies is affecting the traditional assumption of controllability over energy sources. Power dispatching scheduling methods need to integrate the intrinsic randomness of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-05-14 Claudio Risso , Gustavo Guerberoff

With the rapid growth of renewable energy, lots of small photovoltaic (PV) prosumers emerge. Due to the uncertainty of solar power generation, there is a need for aggregated prosumers to predict solar power generation and whether solar…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-23 Yucun Lu , Ilgiz Murzakhanov , Spyros Chatzivasileiadis

The integration of renewable resources has increased in power generation as a means to reduce the fossil fuel usage and mitigate its adverse effects on the environment. However, renewables like solar energy are stochastic in nature due to…

One essential component of operational space weather forecasting is the prediction of solar flares. With a multitude of flare forecasting methods now available online it is still unclear which of these methods performs best, and none are…

Space Physics · Physics 2020-08-04 Jordan A. Guerra , Sophie A. Murray , D. Shaun Bloomfield , Peter T. Gallagher

This study delves into the shift from centralized to decentralized approaches in the electricity industry, with a particular focus on how machine learning (ML) advancements play a crucial role in empowering renewable energy sources and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-25 Mohammad Mohammadi , Ali Mohammadi

We consider the performance modeling and evaluation of network systems powered with renewable energy sources such as solar and wind energy. Such energy sources largely depend on environmental conditions, which are hard to predict…

Performance · Computer Science 2011-08-09 Kui Wu , Yuming Jiang , Dimitri Marinakis

Future grid management systems will coordinate distributed production and storage resources to manage, in a cost effective fashion, the increased load and variability brought by the electrification of transportation and by a higher share of…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-21 Christian Capezza , Biagio Palumbo , Yannig Goude , Simon N. Wood , Matteo Fasiolo