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This article presents a holistic compound Poisson regression model framework to forecast number of corner kicks taken in association football. Corner kick taken events are often decisive in the match outcome and inherently arrive in batch…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-08 Stan Yip , Yinghong Zou , Ronald Tsz Hin Hung , Ka Fai Cedric Yiu

The expected goal provides a more representative measure of the team and player performance which also suit the low-scoring nature of football instead of score in modern football. The score of a match involves randomness and often may not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-14 Mustafa Cavus , Przemysław Biecek

Analyzing defenses in team sports is generally challenging because of the limited event data. Researchers have previously proposed methods to evaluate football team defense by predicting the events of ball gain and being attacked using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-02 Rikuhei Umemoto , Kazushi Tsutsui , Keisuke Fujii

Although orientation has proven to be a key skill of soccer players in order to succeed in a broad spectrum of plays, body orientation is a yet-little-explored area in sports analytics' research. Despite being an inherently ambiguous…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-05-20 Adrià Arbués-Sangüesa , Adrián Martín , Javier Fernández , Carlos Rodríguez , Gloria Haro , Coloma Ballester

Measuring soccer shooting skill is a challenging analytics problem due to the scarcity and highly contextual nature of scoring events. The introduction of more advanced data surrounding soccer shots has given rise to model-based metrics…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-08 Ethan Baron , Nathan Sandholtz , Devin Pleuler , Timothy C. Y. Chan

When the performance of a team of agents exceeds our expectations or fall short of them, we often explain this by saying that there was some synergy in the team---either positive (the team exceeded our expectations) or negative (they fell…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-04-14 Talal Rahwan , Tomasz Michalak , Michael Wooldridge

We argue for the application of bibliometric indices to quantify the long-term uncertainty of outcome in sports. The Euclidean index is proposed to reward quality over quantity, while the rectangle index can be an appropriate measure of…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-10 László Csató , Dóra Gréta Petróczy

Football forecasting models traditionally rate teams on past match results, that is based on the number of goals scored. Goals, however, involve a high element of chance and thus past results often do not reflect the performances of the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-07 Edward Wheatcroft , Ewelina Sienkiewicz

In this work we develop an innovative hierarchical clustering method to divide a sample of undirected weighted networks into groups. The methodology consists of two phases: the first phase is aimed at putting the single networks in a…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-31 Jacopo Diquigiovanni , Bruno Scarpa

We present a systematic approach to the prediction of soccer matches. First, we show that the information about chances for goals is by far more informative than about the actual results. Second, we present a multivariate regression…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-07-20 Andreas Heuer , Oliver Rubner

Accurate camera calibration is essential for transforming 2D images from camera sensors into 3D world coordinates, enabling precise scene geometry interpretation and supporting sports analytics tasks such as player tracking, offside…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-11 Nikolay S. Falaleev , Ruilong Chen

We use European football performance data to select teams to form the proposed European football Super League, using only unsupervised techniques. We first used random forest regression to select important variables predicting goal…

Applications · Statistics 2021-04-21 A. J. Bond , C. B. Beggs

Techniques for clustering student behaviour offer many opportunities to improve educational outcomes by providing insight into student learning. However, one important aspect of student behaviour, namely its evolution over time, can often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-08 Jessica McBroom , Kalina Yacef , Irena Koprinska

We consider the task of determining the number of chances a soccer team creates, along with the composite nature of each chance-the players involved and the locations on the pitch of the assist and the chance. We propose an interpretable…

Applications · Statistics 2018-02-26 Gavin A. Whitaker , Ricardo Silva , Daniel Edwards

An important issue in public goods game is whether player's behaviour changes over time, and if so, how significant it is. In this game players can be classified into different groups according to the level of their participation in the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-09-12 Polla Fattah , Uwe Aickelin , Christian Wagner

Measuring similarity between two objects is the core operation in existing clustering algorithms in grouping similar objects into clusters. This paper introduces a new similarity measure called point-set kernel which computes the similarity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-07 Kai Ming Ting , Jonathan R. Wells , Ye Zhu

We present a framework that gives a deep insight into the link between physical and technical-tactical aspects of soccer and it allows associating physical performance with value generation thanks to a top-down approach. First, we estimate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-06 Sergio Llana , Borja Burriel , Pau Madrero , Javier Fernández

This study outlines a light gradient boosted model aimed at predicting shot outcomes in the NHL. The model uses the NHL's spatiotemporal data to account for both the skill of shooters and goaltenders. This approach involves isolating and…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-11-18 J. T. P. Noel

Group activity detection in soccer can be done by using either video data or player and ball trajectory data. In current soccer activity datasets, activities are labelled as atomic events without a duration. Given that the state-of-the-art…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-04-23 Ryan Sanford , Siavash Gorji , Luiz G. Hafemann , Bahareh Pourbabaee , Mehrsan Javan

Premier League is known as one of the most competitive football league in the world, hence there are many goals are scored here every match. Which are the factors that affect to the number of goal scored in each match? We use Poisson…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-22 Cuong Pham , Tung Le
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