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Predicting the behavior of a dynamical system from noisy observations of its past outputs is a classical problem encountered across engineering and science. For linear systems with Gaussian inputs, the Kalman filter -- the best linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Usman Akram , Haris Vikalo

Contemporary data assimilation often involves more than a million prediction variables. Ensemble Kalman filters (EnKF) have been developed by geoscientists. They are successful indispensable tools in science and engineering, because they…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-26 Andrew J. Majda , Xin T. Tong

Online Surgical Phase Recognition (SPR) models can reach high frame-wise accuracy, yet their predictions often lack temporal stability, fragmenting workflow understanding and reducing the reliability of downstream assistance. We show that…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Yang Liu , Ning Zhu , Jingjing Peng , Xiwu Chen , Alejandro Granados , Guotai Wang , Sebastien Ourselin

This paper introduces a framework for state estimation on a humanoid robot platform using only common proprioceptive sensors and knowledge of leg kinematics. The presented approach extends that detailed in [1] on a quadruped platform by…

Robotics · Computer Science 2014-12-11 Nicholas Rotella , Michael Bloesch , Ludovic Righetti , Stefan Schaal

We develop a distribution-free, unsupervised anomaly detection method called ECAD, which wraps around any regression algorithm and sequentially detects anomalies. Rooted in conformal prediction, ECAD does not require data exchangeability…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-04 Chen Xu , Yao Xie

The prediction of the temporal dynamics of chaotic systems is challenging because infinitesimal perturbations grow exponentially. The analysis of the dynamics of infinitesimal perturbations is the subject of stability analysis. In stability…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2023-03-31 Georgios Margazoglou , Luca Magri

This paper addresses the synthesis of interval observers for partially unknown nonlinear systems subject to bounded noise, aiming to simultaneously estimate system states and learn a model of the unknown dynamics. Our approach leverages…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-15 Mohammad Khajenejad , Zeyuan Jin

Robust state estimation in coupled dynamical systems depends critically not only on sensor quality but on the structural alignment between observation channels and the system's intrinsic dynamics. This paper develops a rigorous framework…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-08 Somasundhar Venkatasubramanian , Anirudh Venkat , Advaidh Venkat

This study presents an innovative hybrid Visual-Inertial Odometry (VIO) method for Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) that is resilient to environmental challenges and capable of dynamically assessing sensor reliability. Built upon a loosely…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-12-22 Ufuk Asil , Efendi Nasibov

We investigate the unsupervised learning of non-invertible observation functions in nonlinear state-space models. Assuming abundant data of the observation process along with the distribution of the state process, we introduce a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-13 Qingci An , Yannis Kevrekidis , Fei Lu , Mauro Maggioni

The intelligent fault diagnosis of rotating mechanical equipment usually requires a large amount of labeled sample data. However, in practical industrial applications, acquiring enough data is both challenging and expensive in terms of time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-12 Hanyang Wang , Yuxuan Yang , Hongjun Wang , Lihui Wang

This paper discusses stability and robustness properties of a recently proposed observer algorithm for linear time varying systems. The observer is based on the approximation and subsequent modification of the non-negative Lyapunov…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-09-19 Markus Tranninger , Sergiy Zhuk , Martin Steinberger , Leonid Fridman , Martin Horn

Conformal prediction, a post-hoc, distribution-free, finite-sample method of uncertainty quantification that offers formal coverage guarantees under the assumption of data exchangeability. Unfortunately, the resulting uncertainty regions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Nikolaos Bousias , Lars Lindemann , George Pappas

Concurrent observation technologies have made high-precision real-time data available in large quantities. Data assimilation (DA) is concerned with how to combine this data with physical models to produce accurate predictions. For…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Jana de Wiljes , Xin T. Tong

The Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) belongs to the class of iterative particle filtering methods and can be used for solving control--to--observable inverse problems. In this context, the EnKF is known as Ensemble Kalman Inversion (EKI). In…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-02-17 Dieter Armbruster , Michael Herty , Giuseppe Visconti

The three-dimensional CMKF-U with only position measurements is extended to solve the nonlinear tracking problem with range-rate measurements in this paper. A pseudo measurement is constructed by the product of range and range-rate…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-12-18 Lianmeng Jiao , Quan Pan , Yan Liang , Feng Yang

Efficiently modeling spatio-temporal (ST) physical processes and observations presents a challenging problem for the deep learning community. Many recent studies have concentrated on meticulously reconciling various advantages, leading to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Hao Wu , Yuxuan Liang , Wei Xiong , Zhengyang Zhou , Wei Huang , Shilong Wang , Kun Wang

In this paper, we trivially extend Tempered (Localized) Ensemble Transform Particle Filter---T(L)ETPF---to account for model error. We examine T(L)ETPF performance for non-additive model error in a low-dimensional and a high-dimensional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-01-11 Svetlana Dubinkina , Sangeetika Ruchi

This paper presents an Extended Kalman Filter (EKF) approach to localize a mobile robot with two quadrature encoders, a compass sensor, a laser range finder (LRF) and an omni-directional camera. The prediction step is performed by employing…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-01-05 T. T. Hoang , P. M. Duong , N. T. T. Van , D. A. Viet , T. Q. Vinh

This paper investigates the adaptive identification and prediction problems for stochastic dynamical systems with saturated observations, which arise from various fields in engineering and social systems, but up to now still lack…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-19 Lantian Zhang , Lei Guo
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