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This document describes standard approaches for filtering and estimation for quadrotors, created for the Udacity Flying Cars course. We assume previous knowledge of probability and some knowledge of linear algebra. We do not assume previous…

Robotics · Computer Science 2018-09-05 Stefanie Tellex , Andy Brown , Sergei Lupashin

The transient time correlation function (TTCF) method is widely used in molecular fluids to compute non-equilibrium transport quantities, providing improved signal-to-noise ratios in ensemble averages without requiring prohibitively large…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-03-30 Manuel Santos-Gutierrez , Valerio Lucarini , John Moroney , Niccolo Zagli

In this paper we propose a nonconforming finite element method for the solution of the ill-posed elliptic Cauchy problem. We prove error estimates using continuous dependence estimates in the $L^2$-norm. The effect of perturbations in data…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-06-18 Erik Burman

Switching Kalman Filters (SKF) are well known for their ability to solve the piecewise linear dynamic system estimation problem using the standard Kalman Filter (KF). Practical SKFs are heuristic, approximate filters that are not guaranteed…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-31 Parisa Karimi , Zhizhen Zhao , Mark Butala , Farzad Kamalabadi

Long-term time-series forecasting (LTTF) has become a pressing demand in many applications, such as wind power supply planning. Transformer models have been adopted to deliver high prediction capacity because of the high computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-06 Yan Li , Xinjiang Lu , Haoyi Xiong , Jian Tang , Jiantao Su , Bo Jin , Dejing Dou

This paper develops an efficient implementation of the ensemble Kalman filter based on a modified Cholesky decomposition for inverse covariance matrix estimation. This implementation is named EnKF-MC. Background errors corresponding to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-31 Elias D. Nino , Adrian Sandu , Xinwei Deng

This letter introduces two multi-sensor state estimation frameworks for quadruped robots, built on the Invariant Extended Kalman Filter (InEKF) and Invariant Smoother (IS). The proposed methods, named E-InEKF and E-IS, fuse kinematics, IMU,…

We propose \emph{Euler Mean Flows (EMF)}, a flow-based generative framework for one-step and few-step generation that enforces long-range trajectory consistency with minimal sampling cost. The key idea of EMF is to replace the trajectory…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Zhiqi Li , Yuchen Sun , Duowen Chen , Jinjin He , Bo Zhu

Estimating entropy production from real observation data can be difficult due to finite resolution in both space and time and finite measurement statistics. We characterize the statistical error introduced by finite sample size and compare…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-04-09 Jonas H. Fritz , Benjamin Ertel , Udo Seifert

The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is a widely used methodology for state estimation in partial, noisily observed dynamical systems, and for parameter estimation in inverse problems. Despite its widespread use in the geophysical sciences,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-09-21 Claudia Schillings , Andrew M. Stuart

We introduce a novel Bayesian method that can detect multiple structural breaks in the mean and variance of a length $T$ time-series. Our method quantifies uncertainty by returning $\alpha$-level credible sets around the estimated locations…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-14 Davis Berlind , Lorenzo Cappello , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

This paper considers a time-varying vector error-correction model that allows for different time series behaviours (e.g., unit-root and locally stationary processes) to interact with each other to co-exist. From practical perspectives, this…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-05-30 Jiti Gao , Bin Peng , Yayi Yan

The ensemble random forest filter (ERFF) is presented as an alternative to the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) for the purpose of inverse modeling. The EnKF is a data assimilation approach that forecasts and updates parameter estimates…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-11 Vanessa A. Godoy , Gian F. Napa-García , J. Jaime Gómez-Hernández

The optimal fusion of estimates in a Distributed Kalman Filter (DKF) requires tracking of the complete network error covariance, problematic in terms of memory and communication. A scalable alternative is to fuse estimates under unknown…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-14 Eduardo Sebastián , Eduardo Montijano , Carlos Sagüés

For additive actuator and sensor faults, we propose a systematic method to design a state-space fault estimation filter directly from Markov parameters identified from fault-free data. We address this problem by parameterizing a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-08-31 Yiming Wan , Tamas Keviczky , Michel Verhaegen

The Ensemble Kalman Filters (EnKF) employ a Monte-Carlo approach to represent covariance information, and are affected by sampling errors in operational settings where the number of model realizations is much smaller than the model state…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-06 Andrey A Popov , Adrian Sandu , Elias D. Nino-Ruiz , Geir Evensen

The Box-Cox transformation is applied to the linear mixed models for analyzing positive and grouped data. The problem in using Box Cox transformation is that the maximum likelihood estimator of the transformation parameter is generally…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-07 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

The problem of state reconstruction is considered for uncertain linear time-invariant systems with overparameterization, arbitrary state-space matrices and unknown additive perturbation described by an exosystem. A novel adaptive observer…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-14 Anton Glushchenko , Konstantin Lastochkin

This paper tackles the data-driven approximation of unknown dynamical systems using Koopman-operator methods. Given a dictionary of functions, these methods approximate the projection of the action of the operator on the finite-dimensional…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-02-28 Masih Haseli , Jorge Cortés

We consider the problem of subspace estimation in situations where the number of available snapshots and the observation dimension are comparable in magnitude. In this context, traditional subspace methods tend to fail because the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Pascal Vallet , Philippe Loubaton , Xavier Mestre
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