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Survival analysis is a widely used statistical framework for modeling time-to-event data under censoring. Classical methods, such as the Cox proportional hazards (Cox PH) model, offer a semiparametric approach to estimating the effects of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-23 Yang Xu , Wenbin Lu , Rui Song

Complex data features, such as unmodelled censored event times and variables with time-dependent effects, are common in cancer recurrence studies and pose challenges for Bayesian survival modelling. Current methodologies for predictive…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-12 Saku Suorsa , Aki Vehtari

We present a neural network framework for learning a survival model to predict a time-to-event outcome while simultaneously learning a topic model that reveals feature relationships. In particular, we model each subject as a distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-06 George H. Chen , Linhong Li , Ren Zuo , Amanda Coston , Jeremy C. Weiss

Survival analysis provides a well-established framework for modeling time-to-event data, with hazard and survival functions formally defined as population-level quantities. In applied work, however, these quantities are often interpreted as…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-26 Xijia Liu

Modern health data science applications leverage abundant molecular and electronic health data, providing opportunities for machine learning to build statistical models to support clinical practice. Time-to-event analysis, also called…

High-throughput solid-state nanopore experiments generate continuous MHz-rate data streams in which only a small fraction of data contains informative molecular information. This creates storage and processing bottlenecks that limit…

Survival modeling predicts the time until an event occurs and is widely used in risk analysis; for example, it's used in medicine to predict the survival of a patient based on censored data. There is a need for large-scale, realistic, and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-22 Aaron Green , Zihan Nie , Hanzhen Qin , Oshani Seneviratne , Kristin P. Bennett

SocialED is a comprehensive, open-source Python library designed to support social event detection (SED) tasks, integrating 19 detection algorithms and 14 diverse datasets. It provides a unified API with detailed documentation, offering…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-19 Kun Zhang , Xiaoyan Yu , Pu Li , Hao Peng , Philip S. Yu

Survival analysis is a statistical framework for modeling time-to-event data, particularly valuable in healthcare for predicting outcomes like patient discharge or recurrence. This study implements and compares several survival models -…

This paper explores foundational and applied aspects of survival analysis, using fall risk assessment as a case study. It revisits key time-related probability distributions and statistical methods, including logistic regression, Poisson…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Tianhua Chen

Survival analysis is essential for clinical decision-making, as it allows practitioners to estimate time-to-event outcomes, stratify patient risk profiles, and guide treatment planning. Deep learning has revolutionized this field with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Pinar Erbil , Alberto Archetti , Eugenio Lomurno , Matteo Matteucci

Many applications involve reasoning about time durations before a critical event happens--also called time-to-event outcomes. When will a customer cancel a subscription, a coma patient wake up, or a convicted criminal reoffend?…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-03 George H. Chen

Recent advances in deep learning have driven rapid progress in time series forecasting, yet many state-of-the-art models continue to struggle with robust performance in real-world applications, even when they achieve strong results on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-24 Qitai Tan , Yiyun Chen , Mo Li , Ruiwen Gu , Yilin Su , Xiao-Ping Zhang

Censored survival data are common in clinical trial studies. We propose a unified framework for sensitivity analysis to censoring at random in survival data using multiple imputation and martingale, called SMIM. The proposed framework…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-17 Shu Yang , Yilong Zhang , Guanghan Frank Liu , Qian Guan

Access to real clinical data is often restricted due to privacy obligations, creating significant barriers for healthcare research. Synthetic datasets provide a promising solution, enabling secure data sharing and model development.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-24 Nicholas I-Hsien Kuo , Blanca Gallego , Louisa Jorm

One straightforward metric to evaluate a survival prediction model is based on the Mean Absolute Error (MAE) -- the average of the absolute difference between the time predicted by the model and the true event time, over all subjects.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-05 Shi-ang Qi , Neeraj Kumar , Mahtab Farrokh , Weijie Sun , Li-Hao Kuan , Rajesh Ranganath , Ricardo Henao , Russell Greiner

Medical time-series data captures the dynamic progression of patient conditions, playing a vital role in modern clinical decision support systems. However, real-world clinical data is highly heterogeneous and inconsistently formatted.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Zhongheng Jiang , Yuechao Zhao , Donglin Xie , Chenxi Sun , Rongchen Lu , Silu Luo , Zisheng Liang , Shenda Hong

The assessment of safety is an important aspect of the evaluation of new therapies in clinical trials, with analyses of adverse events being an essential part of this. Standard methods for the analysis of adverse events such as the…

We present SAInT, a Python-based tool for visually exploring and understanding the behavior of Machine Learning (ML) models through integrated local and global sensitivity analysis. Our system supports Human-in-the-Loop (HITL) workflows by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-07 Manuela Schuler

Deep learning survival models often outperform classical methods in time-to-event predictions, particularly in personalized medicine, but their "black box" nature hinders broader adoption. We propose a framework for gradient-based…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-10 Sophie Hanna Langbein , Niklas Koenen , Marvin N. Wright
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