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Electricity load forecasting plays an important role in the energy planning such as generation and distribution. However, the nonlinearity and dynamic uncertainties in the smart grid environment are the main obstacles in forecasting…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-11-09 Faisal Mohammad , Ki Boem Lee , Young-Chon Kim

The dynamics of power consumption constitutes an essential building block for planning and operating energy systems based on renewable energy supply. Whereas variations in the dynamics of renewable energy generation are reasonably well…

This paper addresses the use of smart-home sensor streams for continuous prediction of energy loads of individual households which participate as an agent in local markets. We introduces a new device level energy consumption dataset…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-16 Christoph Doblander , Martin Strohbach , Holger Ziekow , Hans-Arno Jacobsen

It is challenging to scale time series forecasting models such that they forecast accurately for multiple distinct domains and datasets, all with potentially different underlying collection procedures (e.g., sample resolution), patterns…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-26 Luke Darlow , Qiwen Deng , Ahmed Hassan , Martin Asenov , Rajkarn Singh , Artjom Joosen , Adam Barker , Amos Storkey

For short-term solar irradiance forecasting, the traditional point forecasting methods are rendered less useful due to the non-stationary characteristic of solar power. The amount of operating reserves required to maintain reliable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-02 Sakshi Mishra , Praveen Palanisamy

The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) is a critical tool for monitoring drought conditions, typically relying on normalized accumulated precipitation. While longer historical records of precipitation yield more accurate parameter…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-22 Touqeer Ahmad , Taha Hasan

Accurate state estimation is a crucial requirement for the reliable operation and control of electric power systems. Here, we construct a data-driven, numerical method to infer missing power load values in large-scale power grids. Given…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-23 Philippe Jacquod , Laurent Pagnier , Daniel J. Gauthier

In this paper, statistical machine learning algorithms, as well as deep neural networks, are used to predict the values of the price gap between day-ahead and real-time electricity markets. Several exogenous features are collected and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-24 Nika Nizharadze , Arash Farokhi Soofi , Saeed D. Manshadi

Forecasting thermal load is a key component for the majority of optimization solutions for controlling district heating and cooling systems. Recent studies have analysed the results of a number of data-driven methods applied to thermal load…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-10-18 Davy Geysen , Oscar De Somer , Christian Johansson , Jens Brage , Dirk Vanhoudt

Many residential energy consumers have installed photovoltaic (PV) panels and energy storage systems. These residential users can aggregate and participate in the energy markets. A stochastic decision making model for an aggregation of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-02-21 Hossein Khazaei , Ramin Moslemi , Ratnesh Sharma

The prediction of high-resolution hourly traffic volumes of a given roadway is essential for transportation planning. Traditionally, Automatic Traffic Recorders (ATR) are used to collect this hourly volume data. These large datasets are…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-26 MD Zadid Khan , Sakib Mahmud Khan , Mashrur Chowdhury , Kakan Dey

Management and efficient operations in critical infrastructure such as Smart Grids take huge advantage of accurate power load forecasting which, due to its nonlinear nature, remains a challenging task. Recently, deep learning has emerged in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-23 Alberto Gasparin , Slobodan Lukovic , Cesare Alippi

The emergence of distributed energy resources has led to new challenges in the operation and planning of power networks. Of particular significance is the introduction of a new layer of complexity that manifests in the form of new…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-26 Aaqib Peerzada , Miroslav Begovic , Wesam Rohouma , Robert S. Balog

Scheduling a residential building short-term to optimize the electricity bill can be difficult with the inclusion of capacity-based grid tariffs. Scheduling the building based on a proposed measured-peak (MP) grid tariff, which is a cost…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-25 Kasper Emil Thorvaldsen , Sigurd Bjarghov , Hossein Farahmand

Integration of renewable energy sources and emerging loads like electric vehicles to smart grids brings more uncertainty to the distribution system management. Demand Side Management (DSM) is one of the approaches to reduce the uncertainty.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-28 Elahe Khoshbakhti Vaygan , Roozbeh Rajabi , Abouzar Estebsari

Global leaders and policymakers are unified in their unequivocal commitment to decarbonization efforts in support of Net-Zero agreements. District Heating Systems (DHS), while contributing to carbon emissions due to the continued reliance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-13 Adithya Ramachandran , Thorkil Flensmark B. Neergaard , Andreas Maier , Siming Bayer

Generation and load balance is required in the economic scheduling of generating units in the smart grid. Variable energy generations, particularly from wind and solar energy resources, are witnessing a rapid boost, and, it is anticipated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-04-07 Mohamed Abuella , Badrul Chowdhury

This paper presents a framework for processing EV charging load data in order to forecast future load predictions using a Recurrent Neural Network, specifically an LSTM. The framework processes a large set of raw data from multiple…

In this study we investigate the heat load patterns in one building using multi-step forecasting model. We combine the Autoregressive models that use multiple eXogenous variables (ARX) with Seasonally adaptable Time of Week and Climate…

Emergency Department overcrowding is a critical issue that compromises patient safety and operational efficiency, necessitating accurate demand forecasting for effective resource allocation. This study evaluates and compares three distinct…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-23 Jakub Antczak , James Montgomery , Małgorzata O'Reilly , Zbigniew Palmowski , Richard Turner