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The persistent volatility of construction material prices poses significant risks to cost estimation, budgeting, and project delivery, underscoring the urgent need for granular and scalable forecasting methods. This study develops a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-11 Boge Lyu , Qianye Yin , Iris Denise Tommelein , Hanyang Liu , Karnamohit Ranka , Karthik Yeluripati , Junzhe Shi

Building an accurate load forecasting model with minimal underpredictions is vital to prevent any undesired power outages due to underproduction of electricity. However, the power consumption patterns of the residential sector contain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-23 Jihan Ghanim , Maha Issa , Mariette Awad

In the context of global warming, even relatively cooler countries like the UK are experiencing a rise in cooling demand, particularly in southern regions such as London. This growing demand, especially during the summer months, presents…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-03-11 Meng Zhang , Zhihui Li , Zhibin Yu

Traditionally power distribution networks are either not observable or only partially observable. This complicates development and implementation of new smart grid technologies, such as those related to demand response, outage detection and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-03-02 Deepjyoti Deka , Scott Backhaus , Michael Chertkov

Load-forecasting problems have already been widely addressed with different approaches, granularities and objectives. Recent studies focus not only on deep learning methods but also on forecasting loads on single building level. This study…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-15 Thomas Steens , Jan-Simon Telle , Benedikt Hanke , Karsten von Maydell , Carsten Agert , Gian-Luca di Modica , Bernd Engel , Matthias Grottke

A well-performing prediction model is vital for a recommendation system suggesting actions for energy-efficient consumer behavior. However, reliable and accurate predictions depend on informative features and a suitable model design to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-20 Alona Zharova , Antonia Scherz

We present in this paper a model for forecasting short-term power loads based on deep residual networks. The proposed model is able to integrate domain knowledge and researchers' understanding of the task by virtue of different neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-31 Kunjin Chen , Kunlong Chen , Qin Wang , Ziyu He , Jun Hu , Jinliang He

For the purpose of Monte Carlo scenario generation, we propose a graphical model for the joint distribution of wind power and electricity demand in a given region. To conform with the practice in the electric power industry, we assume that…

Applications · Statistics 2022-09-28 Rene Carmona , Xinshuo Yang

Integrating renewable energy sources into the power grid is becoming increasingly important as the world moves towards a more sustainable energy future in line with SDG 7. However, the intermittent nature of renewable energy sources can…

Long-term load forecast (LTLF) for area distribution feeders is one of the most critical tasks frequently performed in electric distribution utility companies. For a specific planning area, cost-effective system upgrades can only be planned…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-02 Ming Dong , Jian Shi , QingXin Shi

Energy forecasting has a vital role to play in smart grid (SG) systems involving various applications such as demand-side management, load shedding, and optimum dispatch. Managing efficient forecasting while ensuring the least possible…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-25 Devinder Kaur , Shama Naz Islam , Md. Apel Mahmud , Md. Enamul Haque , ZhaoYang Dong

Short-term load forecasting is of paramount importance in the efficient operation and planning of power systems, given its inherent non-linear and dynamic nature. Recent strides in deep learning have shown promise in addressing this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-20 Paapa Kwesi Quansah , Edwin Kwesi Ansah Tenkorang

Renewable-energy-based grids development needs new methods to maintain the balance between the load and generation using the efficient energy storages models. Most of the available energy storages models do not take into account such…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-06-10 Denis Sidorov , Qing Tao , Ildar Muftahov , Aleksei Zhukov , Dmitriy Karamov , Aliona Dreglea , Fang Liu

Short-term forecasting models typically assume the availability of input data (features) when they are deployed and in use. However, equipment failures, disruptions, cyberattacks, may lead to missing features when such models are used…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-30 Akylas Stratigakos , Panagiotis Andrianesis

Accurate load forecasting is critical for efficient and reliable operations of the electric power system. A large part of electricity consumption is affected by weather conditions, making weather information an important determinant of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-16 Jonathan Yang , Mingjian Tuo , Jin Lu , Xingpeng Li

We study the joint scheduling of behind-the-meter distributed energy resources (DERs), including flexible loads, renewable generation, and battery energy storage systems, under net energy metering tariffs with demand charges. The problem is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-07 Ruixiao Yang , Gulai Shen , Ahmed S. Alahmed , Chuchu Fan

With the employment of smart meters, massive data on consumer behaviour can be collected by retailers. From the collected data, the retailers may obtain the household profile information and implement demand response. While retailers prefer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-19 Yi Dong , Yang Chen , Xingyu Zhao , Xiaowei Huang

In the context of global energy strategy, accurate natural gas demand forecasting is crucial for ensuring efficient resource allocation and operational planning. Traditional forecasting methods struggle to cope with the growing complexity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-25 Xinxing Zhou , Jiaqi Ye , Shubao Zhao , Ming Jin , Zhaoxiang Hou , Chengyi Yang , Zengxiang Li , Yanlong Wen , Xiaojie Yuan

India is expected to witness rapid growth in electricity use over the next two decades. Here, we introduce a custom regression model to project electricity consumption in India over the coming decades, which includes a bottom-up estimate of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-11 Marc Barbar , Dharik Mallapragada , Meia Alsup , Robert Stoner

Demand forecasting is a crucial component of demand management. While shortening the forecasting horizon allows for more recent data and less uncertainty, this frequently means lower data aggregation levels and a more significant data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-26 Jože M. Rožanec , Dunja Mladenić