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Related papers: Reducing Aleatoric and Epistemic Uncertainty throu…

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Active learning for continuous regression has lacked an acquisition function that targets epistemic uncertainty when the predictive distribution is multimodal: variance misses modal disagreement, and information-theoretic targets like BALD…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Leonardo Ferreira Guilhoto , Akshat Kaushal , Paris Perdikaris

Despite AI's impressive achievements, including recent advances in generative and large language models, there remains a significant gap in the ability of AI systems to handle uncertainty and generalize beyond their training data. AI models…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-06-30 Shireen Kudukkil Manchingal , Andrew Bradley , Julian F. P. Kooij , Keivan Shariatmadar , Neil Yorke-Smith , Fabio Cuzzolin

The ability to acknowledge the inevitable uncertainty in their knowledge and reasoning is a prerequisite for AI systems to be truly truthful and reliable. In this paper, we present a taxonomy of uncertainty specific to vision-language AI…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-07-03 Khyathi Raghavi Chandu , Linjie Li , Anas Awadalla , Ximing Lu , Jae Sung Park , Jack Hessel , Lijuan Wang , Yejin Choi

Most estimators collapse all uncertainty modes into a single confidence score, preventing reliable reasoning about when to allocate more compute or adjust inference. We introduce Uncertainty-Guided Inference-Time Selection, a lightweight…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Divake Kumar , Patrick Poggi , Sina Tayebati , Devashri Naik , Nilesh Ahuja , Amit Ranjan Trivedi

Neural networks are powerful tools in various applications, and quantifying their uncertainty is crucial for reliable decision-making. In the deep learning field, the uncertainties are usually categorized into aleatoric (data) and epistemic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-21 Wang Zhang , Ziwen Ma , Subhro Das , Tsui-Wei Weng , Alexandre Megretski , Luca Daniel , Lam M. Nguyen

Reliability of machine learning (ML) systems is crucial in safety-critical applications such as healthcare, and uncertainty estimation is a widely researched method to highlight the confidence of ML systems in deployment. Sequential and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-23 Utkarsh Sarawgi , Rishab Khincha , Wazeer Zulfikar , Satrajit Ghosh , Pattie Maes

Multimodal foundation models offer a promising framework for robotic perception and planning by processing sensory inputs to generate actionable plans. However, addressing uncertainty in both perception (sensory interpretation) and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-04-18 Neel P. Bhatt , Yunhao Yang , Rohan Siva , Daniel Milan , Ufuk Topcu , Zhangyang Wang

Cross-modal Retrieval methods build similarity relations between vision and language modalities by jointly learning a common representation space. However, the predictions are often unreliable due to the Aleatoric uncertainty, which is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Hao Li , Jingkuan Song , Lianli Gao , Xiaosu Zhu , Heng Tao Shen

Aleatoric (data) and epistemic (knowledge) uncertainty are textbook components of Uncertainty Quantification. Jointly estimating these components has been shown to be problematic and non-trivial. As a result, there are multiple ways to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-12 Ivo Pascal de Jong , Andreea Ioana Sburlea , Matthia Sabatelli , Matias Valdenegro-Toro

The idea to distinguish and quantify two important types of uncertainty, often referred to as aleatoric and epistemic, has received increasing attention in machine learning research in the last couple of years. In this paper, we consider…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-13 Mohammad Hossein Shaker , Eyke Hüllermeier

Uncertainty estimation has been extensively studied in recent literature, which can usually be classified as aleatoric uncertainty and epistemic uncertainty. In current aleatoric uncertainty estimation frameworks, it is often neglected that…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Jing Zhang , Yuchao Dai , Mehrtash Harandi , Yiran Zhong , Nick Barnes , Richard Hartley

Deep unrolling is an emerging deep learning-based image reconstruction methodology that bridges the gap between model-based and purely deep learning-based image reconstruction methods. Although deep unrolling methods achieve…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-21 Canberk Ekmekci , Mujdat Cetin

Decomposing predictive uncertainty into epistemic (model ignorance) and aleatoric (data ambiguity) components is central to reliable decision making, yet most methods estimate both from the same predictive distribution. Recent empirical and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Tanmoy Mukherjee , Marius Kloft , Pierre Marquis , Zied Bouraoui

With the rise of large language models, neural text summarization has advanced significantly in recent years. However, even state-of-the-art models continue to rely heavily on high-quality human-annotated data for training and evaluation.…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Petros Stylianos Giouroukis , Alexios Gidiotis , Grigorios Tsoumakas

Uncertainty representation and quantification are paramount in machine learning and constitute an important prerequisite for safety-critical applications. In this paper, we propose novel measures for the quantification of aleatoric and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-22 Paul Hofman , Yusuf Sale , Eyke Hüllermeier

Eliciting information to reduce uncertainty about a latent entity is a critical task in many application domains, e.g., assessing individual student learning outcomes, diagnosing underlying diseases, or learning user preferences. Though…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-07-10 Jimmy Wang , Thomas Zollo , Richard Zemel , Hongseok Namkoong

Combining multi-site data can strengthen and uncover trends, but is a task that is marred by the influence of site-specific covariates that can bias the data and therefore any downstream analyses. Post-hoc multi-site correction methods…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-09 Pedro Borges , Richard Shaw , Thomas Varsavsky , Kerstin Klaser , David Thomas , Ivana Drobnjak , Sebastien Ourselin , M Jorge Cardoso

An artificial intelligence (AI) model can be viewed as a function that maps inputs to outputs in high-dimensional spaces. Once designed and well trained, the AI model is applied for inference. However, even optimized AI models can produce…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Sha Hu

The ethical decisions behind the acquisition and analysis of audio, video or physiological human data, harnessed for (deep) machine learning algorithms, is an increasing concern for the Artificial Intelligence (AI) community. In this…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-03-19 Alice Baird , Simone Hantke , Björn Schuller

Multi-Agent Debate (MAD) has shown promise in leveraging collective intelligence to improve reasoning and reduce hallucinations, yet it remains unclear how information exchange shapes the underlying ability. Empirically, MAD exhibits…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Dan Qiao , Binbin Chen , Fengyu Cai , Jianlong Chen , Wenhao Li , Fuxin Jiang , Zuzhi Chen , Hongyuan Zha , Tieying Zhang , Baoxiang Wang