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In many data-driven decision-making problems, performance guarantees often depend heavily on the correctness of model assumptions, which may frequently fail in practice. We address this issue in the context of a feature-based newsvendor…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Junyu Cao

Neural Networks (NNs) have been extensively used for a wide spectrum of real-world regression tasks, where the goal is to predict a numerical outcome such as revenue, effectiveness, or a quantitative result. In many such tasks, the point…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-05 Xin Qiu , Elliot Meyerson , Risto Miikkulainen

Machine learning is rapidly making its path into natural sciences, including high-energy physics. We present the first study that infers, directly from experimental data, a functional form of fragmentation functions. The latter represent a…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-01-14 Nour Makke , Sanjay Chawla

This paper provides a method to construct simultaneous confidence bands for quantile functions and quantile effects in nonlinear network and panel models with unobserved two-way effects, strictly exogenous covariates, and possibly discrete…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-09 Victor Chernozhukov , Iván Fernández-Val , Martin Weidner

Conformal prediction is a framework for uncertainty quantification that constructs prediction sets for previously unseen data, guaranteeing coverage of the true label with a specified probability. However, the efficiency of these prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Erfan Hajihashemi , Yanning Shen

Accurate load forecasting is critical for reliable and efficient planning and operation of electric power grids. In this paper, we propose a unifying deep learning framework for load forecasting, which includes time-varying feature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-10 Jing Xiong , Yu Zhang

Locally weighted regression was created as a nonparametric learning method that is computationally efficient, can learn from very large amounts of data and add data incrementally. An interesting feature of locally weighted regression is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-02-05 Franziska Meier , Philipp Hennig , Stefan Schaal

Deep nonparametric regression, characterized by the utilization of deep neural networks to learn target functions, has emerged as a focus of research attention in recent years. Despite considerable progress in understanding convergence…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-01 Yuling Jiao , Lican Kang , Jin Liu , Heng Peng , Heng Zuo

In this article, basing on NQD samples, we investigate the fixed design nonparametric regression model, where the errors are pairwise NQD random errors, with fixed design points, and an unknown function. Nonparametric weighted estimator…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-04 Jian-hua Shi , Xiao-ping Chen , Yong Zhou

This paper introduces one new multivariate volatility model that can accommodate an appropriately defined network structure based on low-frequency and high-frequency data. The model reduces the number of unknown parameters and the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-28 Huiling Yuan , Guodong Li , Junhui Wang

High-dimensional functional data are becoming increasingly common in fields such as environmental monitoring and neuroimaging. This paper studies high-dimensional functional linear regression models that relate a scalar response to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Xingche Guo , Yehua Li , Pang Du

Sampled network data are widely used in empirical research because collecting complete network information is costly. However, empirical analyses based on sampled networks may lead to biased estimators. We propose a nonparametric imputation…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-12 Ge Sun , Weisheng Zhang

Functional variables are often used as predictors in regression problems. A commonly-used parametric approach, called {\it scalar-on-function regression}, uses the $\ltwo$ inner product to map functional predictors into scalar responses.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-02 Kyungmin Ahn , J. Derek Tucker , Wei Wu , Anuj Srivastava

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) augment deep networks with uncertainty quantification by Bayesian treatment of the network weights. However, such models face the challenge of Bayesian inference in a high-dimensional and usually…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-30 Zhijie Deng , Yucen Luo , Jun Zhu , Bo Zhang

In identification of dynamical systems, the prediction error method using a quadratic cost function provides asymptotically efficient estimates under Gaussian noise and additional mild assumptions, but in general it requires solving a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-03-28 Miguel Galrinho , Cristian R. Rojas , Hakan Hjalmarsson

This paper addresses how a recursive neural network model can automatically leave out useless information and emphasize important evidence, in other words, to perform "weight tuning" for higher-level representation acquisition. We propose…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2014-12-16 Jiwei Li

This work presents a novel resolution-invariant model order reduction strategy for multifidelity applications. We base our architecture on a novel neural network layer developed in this work, the graph feedforward network, which extends the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-06-07 Oisín M. Morrison , Federico Pichi , Jan S. Hesthaven

Recurrence networks are powerful tools used effectively in the nonlinear analysis of time series data. The analysis in this context is done mostly with unweighted and undirected complex networks constructed with specific criteria from the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-09-18 Rinku Jacob , K. P. Harikrishnan , R. Misra , G. Ambika

Recent results in nonparametric regression show that for deep learning, i.e., for neural network estimates with many hidden layers, we are able to achieve good rates of convergence even in case of high-dimensional predictor variables,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-12 Alina Braun , Michael Kohler , Adam Krzyzak

We develop a predictive inference procedure that combines conformal prediction (CP) with unconditional quantile regression (QR) -- a commonly used tool in econometrics that involves regressing the recentered influence function (RIF) of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-05 Ahmed M. Alaa , Zeshan Hussain , David Sontag