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Performative prediction is an emerging paradigm in machine learning that addresses scenarios where the model's prediction may induce a shift in the distribution of the data it aims to predict. Current works in this field often rely on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Guangzheng Zhong , Yang Liu , Jiming Liu

This paper studies the estimation of network weights for a class of systems with binary-valued observations. In these systems only quantized observations are available for the network estimation. Furthermore, system states are coupled with…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-03-19 Yu Xing , Xingkang He , Haitao Fang , Karl Henrik Johansson

Next generation deep neural networks for classification hosted on embedded platforms will rely on fast, efficient, and accurate learning algorithms. Initialization of weights in learning networks has a great impact on the classification…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-07-21 Julius , Gopinath Mahale , Sumana T. , C. S. Adityakrishna

In this paper we describe the implementation of semi-structured deep distributional regression, a flexible framework to learn conditional distributions based on the combination of additive regression models and deep networks. Our…

Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) is a widely recognized technique for modeling spatial heterogeneity. However, it is commonly assumed that the relationships between dependent and independent variables are linear. To overcome this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Jianfei Cao , Dongchao Wang

Feedforward neural networks with random hidden nodes suffer from a problem with the generation of random weights and biases as these are difficult to set optimally to obtain a good projection space. Typically, random parameters are drawn…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-18 Grzegorz Dudek

In federated learning, model personalization can be a very effective strategy to deal with heterogeneous training data across clients. We introduce WAFFLE (Weighted Averaging For Federated LEarning), a personalized collaborative machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-14 Martin Beaussart , Felix Grimberg , Mary-Anne Hartley , Martin Jaggi

Combining additive models and neural networks allows to broaden the scope of statistical regression and extend deep learning-based approaches by interpretable structured additive predictors at the same time. Existing attempts uniting the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-12 David Rügamer , Chris Kolb , Nadja Klein

We introduce a fine-grained framework for uncertainty quantification of predictive models under distributional shifts. This framework distinguishes the shift in covariate distributions from that in the conditional relationship between the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-20 Jiahao Ai , Zhimei Ren

Classical finite mixture regression is useful for modeling the relationship between scalar predictors and scalar responses arising from subpopulations defined by the differing associations between those predictors and responses. Here we…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-04 Adam Ciarleglio , R. Todd Ogden

A rich set of frequentist model averaging methods has been developed, but their applications have largely been limited to point prediction, as measuring prediction uncertainty in general settings remains an open problem. In this paper we…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-21 Zhongjun Qu , Wendun Wang , Xiaomeng Zhang

This study examines the optimal selections of bandwidth and semi-metric for a functional partial linear model. Our proposed method begins by estimating the unknown error density using a kernel density estimator of residuals, where the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-17 Han Lin Shang

Effective decision making requires understanding the uncertainty inherent in a prediction. In regression, this uncertainty can be estimated by a variety of methods; however, many of these methods are laborious to tune, generate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-02 Tianhui Zhou , Yitong Li , Yuan Wu , David Carlson

Statistical techniques are needed to analyse data structures with complex dependencies such that clinically useful information can be extracted. Individual-specific networks, which capture dependencies in complex biological systems, are…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-30 Mariella Gregorich , Sean L. Simpson , Georg Heinze

In this paper, we empirically analyze a simple, non-learnable, and nonparametric Nadaraya-Watson (NW) prediction head that can be used with any neural network architecture. In the NW head, the prediction is a weighted average of labels from…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-02-24 Alan Q. Wang , Mert R. Sabuncu

Multivariate time series forecasting is a pivotal task in several domains, including financial planning, medical diagnostics, and climate science. This paper presents the Neural Fourier Transform (NFT) algorithm, which combines…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Noam Koren , Kira Radinsky

The function-on-function linear regression model in which the response and predictors consist of random curves has become a general framework to investigate the relationship between the functional response and functional predictors.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-03 Ufuk Beyaztas , Han Lin Shang

New procedures for detecting a change in the cross-sectional mean of panel data are proposed. The procedures rely on estimating nuisance parameters using certain cross-sectional means across panels using a weighted least squares regression.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-07 Charl Pretorius , Heinrich Roodt

Random Forest (Breiman, 2001) is a successful and widely used regression and classification algorithm. Part of its appeal and reason for its versatility is its (implicit) construction of a kernel-type weighting function on training data,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-13 Domagoj Ćevid , Loris Michel , Jeffrey Näf , Nicolai Meinshausen , Peter Bühlmann

Neural networks make accurate predictions but often fail to provide reliable uncertainty estimates, especially under covariate distribution shifts between training and testing. To address this problem, we propose a Bayesian framework for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-22 Yuli Slavutsky , David M. Blei
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