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This work introduces a new class of four-dimensional variational data assimilation (4D-Var) methods grounded in data-consistent inversion (DCI) theory. The methods extend classical 4D-Var by incorporating a predictability-aware…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Rylan Spence , Troy Butler , Clint Dawson

Four-dimensional variational data assimilation (4D-Var) on a seasonal-to-interdecadal time scale under the existence of unstable modes can be viewed as an optimization problem of synchronized, coupled chaotic systems. The problem is tackled…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-11-17 Nozomi Sugiura , Shuhei Masuda , Yosuke Fujii , Masafumi Kamachi , Yoichi Ishikawa , Toshiyuki Awaji

Data assimilation method consists in combining all available pieces of information about a system to obtain optimal estimates of initial states. The different sources of information are weighted according to their accuracy by the means of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-04-30 Angélique Ponçot , Jean-Philippe Argaud , Bertrand Bouriquet , Patrick Erhard , Serge Gratton , Olivier Thual

Variational data assimilation in continuous time is revisited. The central techniques applied in this paper are in part adopted from the theory of optimal nonlinear control. Alternatively, the investigated approach can be considered as a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-05-18 Jochen Bröcker

Long-range geophysical forecasts are fundamentally limited by chaotic dynamics and numerical errors. While data assimilation can mitigate these issues, classical variational smoothers require computationally expensive tangent-linear and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Phillip Si , Peng Chen

This paper develops a computational framework for optimizing the parameters of data assimilation systems in order to improve their performance. The approach formulates a continuous meta-optimization problem for parameters; the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2015-06-16 Alexandru Cioaca , Adrian Sandu

Data assimilation of atmospheric observations traditionally relies on variational and Kalman filter methods. Here, an alternative neural-network data assimilation (NNDA) with variational autoencoder (VAE) is proposed. The three-dimensional…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-04-29 Boštjan Melinc , Žiga Zaplotnik

Variational data assimilation and deep learning share many algorithmic aspects in common. While the former focuses on system state estimation, the latter provides great inductive biases to learn complex relationships. We here design a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-18 Arthur Filoche , Julien Brajard , Anastase Charantonis , Dominique Béréziat

The four-dimensional variational data assimilation (4D-Var) has emerged as an important methodology, widely used in numerical weather prediction, oceanographic modeling, and climate forecasting. Classical unconstrained gradient-based…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-10-08 Bowen Li , Bin Shi

Data assimilation refers to a set of algorithms designed to compute the optimal estimate of a system's state by refining the prior prediction (known as background states) using observed data. Variational assimilation methods rely on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Yi Xiao , Qilong Jia , Wei Xue , Lei Bai

Data assimilation is a method that combines observations (that is, real world data) of a state of a system with model output for that system in order to improve the estimate of the state of the system and thereby the model output. The model…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-05-18 Melina A. Freitag

Four-dimensional variational data assimilation (4DVAR) is a cornerstone of numerical weather prediction, but its cost function is difficult to optimize and computationally intensive. We propose a neural field-based reformulation in which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-29 Jaemin Oh

This paper presents a reduced-order approach for four-dimensional variational data assimilation, based on a prior EO F analysis of a model trajectory. This method implies two main advantages: a natural model-based definition of a mul…

A non-intrusive data assimilation methodology is developed to improve the statistical predictions of large-eddy simulations (LES). The ensemble-variational (EnVar) approach aims to minimize a cost function that is defined as the discrepancy…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-09-28 Vincent Mons , Yifan Du , Tamer A. Zaki

This paper proposes two practical implementations of Four-Dimensional Variational (4D-Var) Ensemble Kalman Filter (4D-EnKF) methods for non-linear data assimilation. Our formulations' main idea is to avoid the intrinsic need for adjoint…

Applications · Statistics 2023-05-05 Elias Nin-Ruiz , Jairo Diaz-Rodriguez

This paper addresses variational data assimilation from a learning point of view. Data assimilation aims to reconstruct the time evolution of some state given a series of observations, possibly noisy and irregularly-sampled. Using automatic…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-11-10 Ronan Fablet , Bertrand Chapron , Lucas. Drumetz , Etienne Memin , Olivier Pannekoucke , Francois Rousseau

Data assimilation combines prior (or background) information with observations to estimate the initial state of a dynamical system over a given time-window. A common application is in numerical weather prediction where a previous forecast…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-27 Coralia Cartis , Maha H. Kaouri , Amos S. Lawless , Nancy K. Nichols

The integration of observational data into numerical models, known as data assimilation (DA), is fundamental for making Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) possible, with breathtaking success over the past 60 years (Bauer et al. 2015).…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-06-04 Jan D. Keller , Roland Potthast

This study demonstrates how the incremental 4D-Var data assimilation method can be applied efficiently preconditione d in an application to an oceanographic problem. The approach consists in performing a few iterations of the reduced-order…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-09-19 Céline Robert , Eric Blayo , Jacques Verron

We prove consistence, convergence and stability of the Domain Decomposition in space and time method of 4DVAR Data Assimilation problem. We introduce the condition number of the problem and validate the theoretical analysis through…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-12-14 Luisa D'Amore , Rosalba Cacciapuoti
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